Wednesday, December 30, 2009

The Hail Mary - Week 17

It's the last week of the NFL regular season! I would love to give you a full preview to go with my predictions but it is New Year's Eve. All I really feel like doing is drinking. So enjoy the picks. Next week I will be back to full strength for the Wild Card round!

Games That I Will Be Watching

Pittsburgh (8-7) at Miami (7-8), No Line

Prediction: Miami 23, Pittsburgh 21

New York Giants (8-7) at Minnesota (11-4), Minnesota favored by 9

Prediction: Minnesota 28, New York Giants 17

Washington (4-11) at San Diego (12-3), San Diego favored by 3 1/2

Prediction: San Diego 24, Washington 14

Baltimore (8-7) at Oakland (5-10), Baltimore favored by 10 1/2

Prediction: Baltimore 23, Oakland 17

Cincinnati (10-5) at New York Jets (8-7), New York Jets favored by 10

Prediction: New York Jets 19, Cincinnati 14

Rest of Week 17

Cleveland (4-11) at Jacksonville (7-8), Cleveland favored by 1

Prediction: Cleveland 21, Jacksonville 14

Chicago (6-9) at Detroit (2-13), Chicago favored by 3

Prediction: Chicago 27, Detroit 17

New England (10-5) at Houston (8-7), Houston favored by 8

Prediction: Houston 27, New England 23

San Francisco (7-8) at St. Louis (1-14), San Francisco favored by 7

Prediction: San Francisco 22, St. Louis 16

Atlanta (8-7) at Tampa Bay (3-12), Atlanta favored by 2 1/2

Prediction: Atlanta 20, Tampa Bay 14

Philadelphia (11-4) at Dallas (10-5), Dallas favored by 3

Prediction: Philadelphia 28, Dallas 25

Green Bay (10-5) at Arizona (10-5), Arizona favored by 3 1/2

Prediction: Arizona 34, Green Bay 31

Kansas City (3-12) at Denver (8-7), Denver favored by 13

Prediction: Denver 17, Kansas City 14

Tennessee (7-8) at Seattle (5-10), Tennessee favored by 4

Prediction: Tennessee 24, Seattle 13

Indianapolis (14-1) at Buffalo (5-10), No Line

Prediction: Indianapolis 18, Buffalo 15

New Orleans (13-2) at Carolina (7-8), No Line


Prediction: New Orleans 21, Carolina 17

Last Week Against the Spread: 6-10
Overall Against the Spread:
121-116-3

Last Week Straight Up:
9-7
Overall Straight Up:
154-85

Cram Session (Bowl Edition) - Week 3

We are now into the third week of bowl season and are at the point where the top teams begin to play. The BCS bowls begin on Friday, but more importantly to me, Ndamukong Suh will play his last game for Nebraska tonight in the Holiday Bowl. I hope Suh and the rest of the senior class can go out in style and whoop up on the Wildcats.

Humanitarian Bowl - December 30

Bowling Green (7-5) vs. Idaho (7-5)

I couldn't begin to pretend I know anything or give two craps about this game.

Prediction: Idaho 30, Bowling Green 24

Holiday Bowl - December 30

#20 Arizona (8-4) vs. #22 Nebraska (9-4)

Huskers coach Bo Pelini looks to win his second straight bowl game. The Huskers face a tough test against Mike Stoops and his Wildcats. This Wildcats team is the best Arizona team since the one that beat Nebraska in the 1998 Holiday Bowl. This game could be decided in the trenches, where the Huskers top-10 defense will face off against a Wildcats offensive line that allowed the 10th fewest sacks in Division I. The Huskers will have their work cut out for them on offense. Not only because of their own limitations, but also because Arizona finished with the 21st best defense in Division I. Nebraska has little to no passing game, so any offense will have to come from their RBs Roy Helu Jr. and Rex Burkhead. The defense will have to create turnovers and give the offense a short field to work with. The Wildcats don't have a very explosive offense, led by QB Nick Foles, who threw 19 TDs and 8 INTs. I think Suh will have a monster game in his going away party and will seal the victory and a 10-win season for Nebraska.

Prediction: Nebraska 19, Arizona 17

Armed Forces Bowl - December 31

Houston (10-3) vs. Air Force (7-5)

This is a rematch of last year's Armed Forces Bowl, where Houston came out victorious 34-28. It will be an interesting battle between prolific Cougars QB Case Keenum and the Falcons top-ranked passing defense. The Falcons defense will stop Keenum enough to get revenge for Air Force.

Prediction: Air Force 27, Houston 24

Sun Bowl - December 31

Oklahoma (7-5) vs. #21 Stanford (8-4)

The Sun Bowl should be a much better game this year, than last year's 3-0 snooze fest between Pittsburgh and Oregon State. Cardinal RB Toby Gerhart will be the player to watch.

Prediction: Stanford 24, Oklahoma 23

Texas Bowl - December 31

Navy (9-4) vs. Missouri (8-4)

Navy has had some great success this decade but has come up short in bowl games. I think they end the decade with a bowl win.

Prediction: Navy 28, Missouri 21

Insight Bowl - December 31

Minnesota (6-6) vs. Iowa State (6-6)

Games like these are what make people rail against the bowl system. Two 6-6 teams face off! Feel the excitement!

Prediction: Iowa State 17, Minnesota 13

Chick-fil-A Bowl - December 31

#11 Virginia Tech (9-3) vs. Tennessee (7-5)

2009 will wrap up with the Hokies taking on the Volunteers. Lane Kiffin has people excited in Tennessee, as the Vols showed improvement towards the end of the season. Hokies fans have high hopes for next year, especially with the emergence of the offense in recent weeks, led by stud RB freshman Ryan Williams. I think Williams has a great game and the Hokies get another 10-win season.

Prediction: Virginia Tech 34, Tennessee 20

Outback Bowl - January 1

Northwestern (8-4) vs. Auburn (7-5)

Auburn limped to the finish line, losing 5 of their last 7 games after a 5-0 start. Northwestern got some huge wins to close the season, upsetting previously unbeaten Iowa, and knocking off Wisconsin. This game could be a high-scoring entertaining affair, and might help cure some hangovers.

Prediction: Northwestern 35, Auburn 31

Gator Bowl - January 1

#16 West Virginia (9-3) vs. Florida State (6-6)

Despite being 6-6, the Seminoles get to play on New Year's Day. That is because it will be the last game that legendary coach Bobby Bowden ever coaches in. Sure Bowden actually stopped coaching about 10 years ago, but we won't see him looking dumbfounded on the sidelines anymore. I think the Seminoles will play very inspired football and pull off the upset.

Prediction: Florida State 34, West Virginia 27

Capital One Bowl - January 1

#13 Penn State (10-2) vs. #12 LSU (9-3)

One of the better non-BCS games will be this Big 10/SEC clash. Penn State had probably the most uninspiring 10-2 season in history, as they beat no one of significance, and lost to the two good teams they faced. LSU always seemed kind of overrated this year as well, living more off their conference affiliation, then anything of note they had done on the field. The Nittany Lions win and lose on the back of QB Daryl Clark. I think he struggles and the Nittany Lions lose.

Prediction: LSU 26, Penn State 23

Rose Bowl - January 1

#8 Ohio State (10-2) vs. #7 Oregon (10-2)

The Buckeyes get another shot at beating a good team outside of the Big 10. The Buckeyes defense will have to slow down a potent Oregon offense, led by QB Jeremiah Masoli. He will be dueling with Buckeyes QB Terrelle Pryor, who almost chose Oregon. I think Ohio State has to win a big game sometimes and they came very close against Texas last year. I think this is their breakthrough year.

Prediction: Ohio State 30, Oregon 24

Sugar Bowl - January 1

#3 Cincinnati (12-0) vs. #5 Florida (12-1)

Both these teams have faced major distractions since this game was announced. Cincinnati lost its coach Brian Kelly to Notre Dame, and even their interim coach for this game, Jeff Quinn, has already taken the job at Buffalo. It will be hard to imagine the Bearcats players could have their minds completely on the Gators. However, Gators coach Urban Meyer caused plenty of unrest for his own team, by first resigning due to health issues, then saying he will only take a leave of absence after the Sugar Bowl. This is also the last college game for QB Tim Tebow, so the game is not devoid of interesting subplots. It will be devoid of a close finish.

Prediction: Florida 38, Cincinnati 21

International Bowl - January 2

South Florida (7-5) vs. Northern Illinois (7-5)

The Bulls better win or coach Jim Leavitt will beat the holy hell out of them.

Prediction: South Florida 24, Northern Illinois 17

Papajohns.com Bowl - January 2

South Carolina (7-5) vs. Connecticut (7-5)

Gamecocks coach Steve Spurrier has sure been humbled this decade. From the top of the college football world, to an NFL flame out and now the Papajohns.com Bowl. I think the Huskies will be a little more excited for this one.

Prediction: Connecticut 27, South Carolina 17

Cotton Bowl - January 2

#19 Oklahoma State (9-3) vs. Mississippi (8-4)

It was last year's Cotton Bowl performance against Texas Tech that made everyone completely overrate Ole Miss coming into this season. Oklahoma State didn't have quite the season they wanted, although they were hurt by the suspension of WR Dez Bryant. I think Ole Miss wins a second straight Cotton Bowl and slightly redeems their season.

Prediction: Mississippi 41, Oklahoma State 30

Liberty Bowl - January 2

Arkansas (7-5) vs. East Carolina (9-4)

East Carolina is back in the Liberty Bowl for the second straight season as C-USA champions. The Razorbacks feature a potent offense, led by QB Ryan Mallett but not much defense. However, talent wise, I think they win out in this one.

Prediction: Arkansas 45, East Carolina 38

Alamo Bowl - January 2

Michigan State (6-6) vs. Texas Tech (8-4)

This is another bowl game where stories off the field are bigger than the stories the teams have made on the field. Michigan State will be missing 11 players, who were suspended for an on campus fight. Texas Tech will be without coach Mike Leach, who has been suspended for alleged mistreatment of a player. The Red Raiders will miss Leach but its far different missing a coach, than it is missing 11 of your players. Michigan State has a very weak pass defense, that the Red Raiders figure to exploit.

Prediction: Texas Tech 48, Michigan State 31

Fiesta Bowl - January 4

#6 Boise State (13-0) vs. #4 TCU (12-0)

Some were complaining that these two would have been better off facing major conference teams, to try to prove they were on equal footing. I agree that it would have been more interesting that way, but now we get to see which mid-major is the best. TCU has been dominant all season and was about a second away from likely playing for the national championship. Boise State had an impressive win over Oregon to start the year, but played cupcakes the rest of the way. I think TCU shows their dominance yet again.

Prediction: TCU 42, Boise State 24

Orange Bowl - January 5

#10 Iowa (10-2) vs. #9 Georgia Tech (11-2)

The Orange Bowl has a far more appealing matchup than last year's bore fest between Virginia Tech and Cincinnati. It will be Georgia Tech's prolific offense matching up against Iowa's stout defense. The Hawkeyes get QB Ricky Stanzi back from injury. Stanzi was 9-0 as the starter this year before being injured against Northwestern. I think the Yellow Jackets have too much firepower for the Hawkeyes.

Prediction: Georgia Tech 27, Iowa 17

Bowl Record

Last Week: 6-3
Overall: 8-5

Overall Record (Regular season and bowl record combined)

230-68

Wednesday, December 23, 2009

The Hail Mary - Week 16

Merry Christmas everyone! Abbreviated Hail Mary this week, just my picks. Enjoy your Christmas!

Games That I Will Be Watching

Carolina (6-8) at New York Giants (8-6), New York Giants favored by 7

Prediction: New York Giants 23, Carolina 17

Baltimore (8-6) at Pittsburgh (7-7), Pittsburgh favored by 2 1/2

Prediction: Baltimore 19, Pittsburgh 17

Denver (8-6) at Philadelphia (10-4), Philadelphia favored by 7

Prediction: Philadelphia 24, Denver 14

Dallas (9-5) at Washington (4-10), Dallas favored by 7

Prediction: Dallas 21, Washington 17

Minnesota (11-3) at Chicago (5-9), Minnesota favored by 7

Prediction: Minnesota 21, Chicago 15

Rest of Week 16

San Diego (11-3) at Tennessee (7-7), Tennessee favored by 3

Prediction: San Diego 28, Tennessee 23

Buffalo (5-9) at Atlanta (7-7), Atlanta favored by 9

Prediction: Atlanta 20, Buffalo 13

Kansas City (3-11) at Cincinnati (9-5), Cincinnati favored by 13 1/2

Prediction: Cincinnati 24, Kansas City 10

Oakland (5-9) at Cleveland (3-11), Cleveland favored by 3

Prediction: Oakland 17, Cleveland 14

Seattle (5-9) at Green Bay (9-5), Green Bay favored by 14

Prediction: Green Bay 31, Seattle 10

Houston (7-7) at Miami (7-7), Miami favored by 3

Prediction: Miami 27, Houston 23

Jacksonville (7-7) at New England (9-5), New England favored by 8

Prediction: New England 28, Jacksonville 21

Tampa Bay (2-12) at New Orleans (13-1), New Orleans favored by 14

Prediction: New Orleans 30, Tampa Bay 14

St. Louis (1-13) at Arizona (9-5), Arizona favored by 14

Prediction: Arizona 27, St. Louis 14

Detroit (2-12) at San Francisco (6-8), San Francisco favored by 12

Prediction: San Francisco 21, Detroit 10

New York Jets (7-7) at Indianapolis (14-0), Indianapolis favored by 5 1/2

Prediction: Indianapolis 19, New York Jets 18

Last Week Against the Spread: 6-8-2
Overall Against the Spread: 115-106-3

Last Week Straight Up: 9-7
Overall Straight Up: 145-78

Cram Session (Bowl Edition) - Week 2

Merry Christmas everyone! I have watched about 5 seconds of the bowl games so far but that doesn't stop me from predicting and pontificating! The best game of the week is in the Champs Sports Bowl as #15 Miami takes on #25 Wisconsin.

Poinsettia Bowl - December 23

#23 Utah (9-3) vs. California (8-4)

After last night's awful performance by Oregon State, the Pac-10 could use a boost from California. If Utah takes this one, the whispers about the Mountain West being better than the Pac-10 will become a full roar. The Utes have an eight game postseason winning streak, while Cal has been up and down all season. They have had some impressive performances, but when they lose, they lose big. I think the Golden Bears will supply the Pac-10 with some much needed luster

Prediction: California 28, Utah 21

Hawaii Bowl - December 24

Nevada (8-4) vs. SMU (7-5)

Mustangs coach June Jones returns to Hawaii, and the Mustangs are in their first bowl game since 1984. They have a tall task against an explosive Nevada offense. A little too tall a task if you ask me.

Prediction: Nevada 45, SMU 27

Little Caesars Bowl - December 26

Marshall (6-6) vs. Ohio (9-4)

Former Huskers coach Frank Solich has done a pretty good job at Ohio. I hope for him he can get back to a major program at some point in his coaching career. Marshall is back in a bowl for the first time since 2004. Their coach, Mark Snyder, resigned after the Thundering Herd finished the season with losses in three of their final four games. These two teams aren't that unfamiliar with each other, as Marshall used to be a member of the MAC.

Prediction: Ohio 27, Marshall 17

Meineke Car Care Bowl - December 26

#17 Pittsburgh (9-3) vs. North Carolina (8-4)

Both of these teams had disappointing endings to their regular seasons. Pitt dropped a game they were in complete control of against Cincinnati, while UNC was thumped by a bad NC State team. Offensively, Pitt is much more accomplished than UNC, led by freshman RB sensation Dion Lewis. Pitt hopes to put up more than the 0 points they put up in their bowl game last year.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 34, North Carolina 24

Emerald Bowl - December 26

Boston College (8-4) vs. #24 USC (8-4)

Strange to see USC playing this early in bowl season. Also strange to see that they are still ranked, as they have done nothing this year to show they are a Top 25 team. They may be without RB Joe McKnight, who has run in to some trouble because of an SUV that may or may not have been purchased for him. Boston College's best chance to win is that USC will show up uninterested but I have a feeling the Trojans are tired of being embarrassed this year.

Prediction: USC 30, Boston College 20

Music City Bowl - December 27

Kentucky (7-5) vs. Clemson (8-5)

The Music City Bowl may not seem like a bowl worth watching, but RB C.J. Spiller of the Tigers is worth seeing. The man has single-handily carried the Tigers to 8 wins this season. Wildcats coach Rich Brooks has to be given some credit for getting a basketball school to four straight bowl games. Spiller will leave behind one more classic performance, before he starts tearing it up in the NFL.

Prediction: Clemson 37, Kentucky 34

Independence Bowl - December 28

Texas A & M (6-6) vs. Georgia (7-5)

Both of these teams had disappointing seasons, which has put Aggies coach Mike Sherman on the hot seat. A bowl win the Aggies would give fans some relief but I don't think it will come at the hands of the Bulldogs. Don't expect to see a lot of defense in this game.

Prediction: Georgia 41, Texas A & M 38

EagleBank Bowl - December 29

UCLA (6-6) at Temple (9-3)

Temple is making its first bowl game appearance in 30 years. Sure they had to leave the big boys of the Big East, and play with the kids in the MAC to do it, but they are playing a meaningful game in late December! UCLA coach Rick Neuheisel hasn't done much to show that he can revive UCLA's football program. If Army had beaten Navy, UCLA wouldn't even be bowling. Under no circumstance should the Bruins lose to Temple.

Prediction: UCLA 27, Temple 20

Champs Sports Bowl - December 29

#15 Miami (9-3) vs. #25 Wisconsin (9-3)

As it turned out, the U wasn't back. They are making strides though and could be a force next year. QB Jacory Harris has been up and down all season, throwing 23 TDs but also throwing 17 INTs. These two teams are evenly matched and this game should come down to the final seconds. I think the Badgers pull the semi-upset.

Prediction: Wisconsin 31, Miami 30

Bowl Record

Last Week: 2-2

Overall Record (Regular season and Bowl record combined)

224-65

I will be back next Wednesday with a super-sized Cram Session for Week 3 of Bowl season.

Thursday, December 17, 2009

The Hail Mary - Week 15

The quest for perfection by the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints continues to be the talk of the NFL. The NFL had no idea when they made the schedule that both teams would have prime time all to themselves in Week 15 but that is exactly what has happened. The Colts play at Jacksonville tonight, while the Saints host the Cowboys on Saturday night. It seems the Colts will start their best players Thursday but it isn't known how long they will play. The Saints are still going full speed ahead, as they have not yet locked up home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs.

Games That I Will Be Watching

Indianapolis (13-0) at Jacksonville (7-6), Indianapolis favored by 3

If the Colts play their starters the whole game I have no doubt they will win. However, the Colts have made it seem like that is not what they will do, increasing the anxiety of gamblers and fantasy football players. Jacksonville has virtually no good wins this season and is not deserving of a playoff berth. Their remaining schedule will make sure that they are home come January. I predict the game remains close, and Colts coach Jim Caldwell plays his starters the entire game.

Prediction: Indianapolis 24, Jacksonville 20

Dallas (8-5) at New Orleans (13-0), New Orleans favored by 7

Dallas is 0-2 in December and while it might be harsh to say they are choking again, the really good teams win tough games. It gets no tougher than a game at the Superdome against the undefeated Saints. Cowboys WR Roy Williams came out talking a lot of trash, which is especially funny considering he sucks. Some people think the Boys will spring an upset in this one, but its December, those people need to get real.

Prediction: New Orleans 30, Dallas 24

Chicago (5-8) at Baltimore (7-6), Baltimore favored by 10 1/2

I think Vegas got a little too excited by the Ravens demolition of sorry Detroit. Jay Cutler will definitely be good for a few interceptions, but I don't think the Ravens will blow the Bears out.

Prediction: Baltimore 24, Chicago 14

Cincinnati (9-4) at San Diego (10-3), San Diego favored by 6 1/2

Who knows what kind of frame of mind the Bengals will be in after the death of WR Chris Henry. They could either come out inspired to play or just be too emotionally drained. The Chargers have won eight in a row and are doing it despite not having much of a running game. That will come back to bite them in January.

Prediction: San Diego 23, Cincinnati 17

Green Bay (9-4) at Pittsburgh (6-7), Pittsburgh favored by 1

The Steelers are completely pathetic. Losing to the Raiders, Chiefs, and Browns is downright embarrassing, especially for a defending Super Bowl champion. That being said, I still think the Steelers have a little bit of fight left in them. I think the defense can make life for Aaron Rodgers hell, creating some turnovers, and ending the Steelers five game losing streak.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 14, Green Bay 10

Minnesota (11-2) at Carolina (5-8), Minnesota favored by 9

Pretty lousy Sunday night game, not really sure why the NFL didn't flex this one out. The Panthers will still be without QB Jake Delhomme, which might actually be a good thing. The Vikings got back on track against the Bengals last weekend, but QB Brett Favre still didn't look very sharp, and with his age, the concern of wear and tear is there. The formula for the Vikings needs to be to pound the ball with RB Adrian Peterson. The Panthers only shot at winning is running the ball well behind DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. However, seeing that the Vikings run defense is their biggest strength, the Vikes should win.

Prediction: Minnesota 23, Carolina 16

New York Giants (7-6) at Washington (4-9), New York Giants favored by 3

The Giants defense was eviscerated by the Eagles on Sunday night. The Redskins offense continues to look improved since Sherm Lewis started helping with the play calling. Redskins fans are getting a little too optimistic, remember this team is still just 4-9. Despite my pessimism I do like the Redskins in this game. The Giants haven't played good football for months, while the Skins seem to be hitting their stride. That, combined with what should be a good crowd for a Monday night game, will propel the Skins to the upset.

Prediction: Washington 27, New York Giants 23

Rest of Week 15

New England (8-5) at Buffalo (5-8), New England favored by 7

Vegas is hoping people jump on the Bills, especially because the Patriots haven't won a true road game all season. I think the Patriots win, and maybe I am a sucker, but the Bills will cover.

Prediction: New England 21, Buffalo 17

Arizona (8-5) at Detroit (2-11), Arizona favored by 12

Bad Arizona showed up against the 49ers on Monday night, but I have a feeling against the sorry Lions, we will see good Arizona.

Prediction: Arizona 35, Detroit 13

Miami (7-6) at Tennessee (6-7), No Line

Huge game with major playoff implications. The Dolphins jumped on the Jaguars early and were able to hang on in Jacksonville. If Titans QB Vince Young plays, that will increase the Titans chances considerably. Even if he doesn't, I think Tennessee squeaks by. But I hope I am wrong.

Prediction: Tennessee 19, Miami 16

Cleveland (2-11) at Kansas City (3-10), Kansas City favored by 2

The Browns might win two in a row!

Prediction: Cleveland 4, Kansas City 3

Houston (6-7) at St. Louis (1-12), No Line

To steal a line from Peter King, now that the games don't matter, the Texans will win.

Prediction: Houston 34, St. Louis 17

Atlanta (6-7) at New York Jets (7-6), No Line

Matt Ryan and Michael Turner are once again questionable for the Falcons. What isn't questionable is that the Falcons will once again be unable to string together back to back winning seasons.

Prediction: New York Jets 21, Atlanta 20

San Francisco (6-7) at Philadelphia (9-4), Philadelphia favored by 9

The Niners kept alive their slim playoff hopes by sweeping the season series with the Cardinals. The odds are stacked against them in this one. Having to play a 1:00 Eastern game, against an Eagles team that is clicking on offense, and has won four straight. However, the Eagles always seem to lose a game they shouldn't and I am a huge Niners homer.

Prediction: San Francisco 20, Philadelphia 16

Oakland (4-9) at Denver (8-5), Denver favored by 14

You know you suck when your team chooses to start Charlie Frye over you, even when you are healthy.

Prediction: Denver 28, Oakland 10

Tampa Bay (1-12) at Seattle (5-8), Seattle favored by 7

How did the Niners lose at Seattle? Why did they not use Frank Gore at all? These questions will haunt me all off-season.

Prediction: Seattle 27, Tampa Bay 6

Last Week Against the Spread: 10-6
Overall Against the Spread: 109-98-1

Last Week Straight Up: 13-3
Overall Straight Up: 136-71

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Cram Session (Bowl Edition) - Week 1

The importance of bowl season has certainly diminished over the years. Not only with the creation of the BCS, which finally allowed #1 to play #2 basically making only one game truly matter, but also because what once was a somewhat exclusive club of teams that were invited to bowls has ballooned to almost any school getting an invitation. However, some of the games that are created by the bowls are intriguing and games you won't ever see normally. That really isn't the case with the games I will be previewing this week but as the weeks move on the games will start to get better and better.

I will not be including sponsor names in the titles of the bowls. Firstly, they aren't giving me any money so why should I give them free advertising? Secondly, I think it is silly and miss the days of it just being the Fiesta Bowl rather than the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl. Some bowls have no regular names and are just corporate names so my hands will be tied on those unfortunately.

New Mexico Bowl - December 19

Fresno State (8-4) vs. Wyoming (6-6)

This will probably be a game I will skip. Wyoming is making a return to bowl games after a long absence. Fresno State's record isn't overly impressive but two of their four losses came to undefeated teams Cincinnati and Boise State. Fresno State is a pretty prolific offensive team and should have more than enough firepower to win.

Prediction: Fresno State 35, Wyoming 23

St. Petersburg Bowl - December 19

UCF (8-4) vs. Rutgers (8-4)

UCF comes into this game playing their best football of the year, winners of five of their last six, including knocking off Houston. Rutgers didn't live up to the hype this year, but coach Greg Schiano once again has them in a bowl game. These teams are pretty evenly matched so expect a close game.

Prediction: Rutgers 27, UCF 24

New Orleans Bowl - December 20

Southern Mississippi (7-5) vs. Middle Tennessee State (9-3)

Brett Favre and his Alma mater will both be playing on Sunday night. Middle Tennessee State has won six in a row and will likely make it seven. However, this game should be fun to watch, with lots of offense.

Prediction: Middle Tennessee State 38, Southern Mississippi 34

Maaco Bowl Las Vegas - December 22

#18 Oregon State (8-4) vs. #14 BYU (10-2)

Best game of the week by far. Oregon State is led by RB Jacquizz Rodgers, who led the Beavers in rushing and was also a receiving threat, finishing the season with 1,377 rushing yards, 20 TDs, and 74 catches for 509 yards. The Cougars have their own star player, QB Max Hall who completed the season with 30 touchdowns for 3,368 yards. BYUs two losses were not even close, but otherwise they were quite the dominant team. Oregon State was a win away from the Rose Bowl and really caught fire as the season finished up. I think Jacquizz adds to his legend, hard to believe that he is only a sophomore.

Prediction: Oregon State 37, BYU 27

Last Week: 6-4
Overall: 222-63

Check back next Wednesday as I preview Week 2 of Bowl Season.

Thursday, December 10, 2009

The Hail Mary - Week 14

Just four weeks left in the regular season, meaning every game takes on more significance. The Saints and Colts are both 12-0 and looking to not only clinch home field advantage but perhaps make a run at 16-0. Then there are the teams that are battling for divisions and wild card spots. These are exciting times in the NFL!

Games That I Will Be Watching

Pittsburgh (6-6) at Cleveland (1-11), Pittsburgh favored by 9

What has happened to the Steelers? The defending champions are on the ropes, losers of four straight, including a shocking home loss to Oakland last Sunday. They have to win out to have any chance of sneaking into the playoffs. The Steelers know they can do it, when they won the Super Bowl in 2006, they were 7-5, in danger of missing the playoffs, then reeled off 8 wins in a row to become Super Bowl champions. The Browns are a good team to get back on track against, but they could be dangerous. This is still a rivalry game, despite the Steelers dominance of the series, and the crowd in Cleveland should be revved up. Browns QB Brady Quinn has also played much better of late. This game will be closer than it should be, but the Steelers will end their losing streak.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 24, Cleveland 17

Cincinnati (9-3) at Minnesota (10-2), Minnesota favored by 6 1/2

The Vikings showed some chinks in their armor last Sunday night against Arizona. The running game couldn't get going, making Brett Favre the focal point, and he struggled, throwing 2 INTs. The Vikings have to pretty much win out to maintain any hope of having home field advantage. The Bengals can clinch the AFC North with a win. Their defense could give the Vikings some problems. Questions also remain about the Vikings, as they have struggled against some of the better teams they have faced. I think they come through in a close game.

Prediction: Minnesota 23, Cincinnati 20

San Diego (9-3) at Dallas (8-4), Dallas favored by 3

The Chargers are very hot, winning seven in a row and becoming legitimate Super Bowl contenders. QB Philip Rivers has been excellent, and he pretty much single-handedly carried my FFL fantasy team into the playoffs. The Cowboys are into December so of course they lost. The schedule is brutal for them this month, almost like a cruel joke from the schedule makers. Full blown panic will set in if they lose this one, especially with a game against New Orleans looming next week. Like I said last week, until the Cowboys prove they can win in December, I will pick against them.

Prediction: San Diego 27, Dallas 23

Washington (3-9) at Oakland (4-8), Washington favored by 1

For the third straight week the Redskins watched a fourth quarter lead go by the wayside. I was there in person to see it and was mad at myself for actually thinking they wouldn't find a way to choke the game. The Raiders are coming off a surprising win at Pittsburgh, where QB Bruce Gradkowski threw more touchdowns in the 4th quarter then Jamarcus Russell had thrown all season. The Raiders and Skins are both tough teams to figure out. If Washington plays like they have the last three weeks then that should be good enough to beat a bad Oakland team.

Prediction: Washington 21, Oakland 17

Philadelphia (8-4) at New York Giants (7-5), New York Giants favored by 1

Huge NFC East battle. The Giants got a much needed boost after defeating Dallas, while the Eagles have won three straight after throttling Atlanta. The Eagles embarrassed the Giants in their first meeting, so revenge will definitely be on New York's minds. The Eagles haven't always done well when having to play the Giants in prime time and unfortunately I think it will remain that way Sunday night.

Prediction: New York Giants 27, Philadelphia 21

Arizona (8-4) at San Francisco (5-7), Arizona favored by 3

The 49ers were all but eliminated from the playoff race after their loss at Seattle. They squandered a great opportunity to make their Monday night matchup against Arizona really mean something. The Cardinals will clinch the NFC West with a victory. Hopefully, the 49ers are motivated enough to not want to give up the division on their home field. The Cardinals have been excellent on the road all season, especially QB Kurt Warner. The Niners will play valiantly, but as has been the case all season, it won't be enough.

Prediction: Arizona 26, San Francisco 20

Rest of Week 14

New Orleans (12-0) at Atlanta (6-6), No Line

It is still unknown whether Falcons QB Matt Ryan will play. The Falcons have really been killed by injuries and it looks like their string of never putting together back to back winning seasons will continue. The only thing standing in the way of the Saints and 16-0 is next Saturday's game against Dallas.

Prediction: New Orleans 31, Atlanta 14

Green Bay (8-4) at Chicago (5-7), Green Bay favored by 3

The Packers are peaking, winners of four straight. The Bears finally got a win, albeit an unimpressive one against St. Louis. This is another case where the home team could be aided by a pumped up crowd for a rivalry game. The Bears just aren't very good though and the scream for change, something Chicagoans are used, will become louder after this one.

Prediction: Green Bay 34, Chicago 17

Denver (8-4) at Indianapolis (12-0), Indianapolis favored by 7

Indianapolis has been a house of horrors for the Broncos in recent history. This may be the last time this season we see the Colts full squad, as a win clinches them home field advantage. I really think the Colts should play for 16-0, as resting their starters in the past has never done any good. We shall see.

Prediction: Indianapolis 24, Denver 13
Buffalo (4-8) at Kansas City (3-9), Line is EVEN

Vegas doesn't even care enough about this game to pick a favorite.

Prediction: Buffalo 9, Kansas City 6

Carolina (5-7) at New England (7-5), New England favored by 13 1/2

The other heavyweight that has hit hard times in the AFC is the Patriots. Their AFC East lead is down to just one after falling to the Dolphins. Thankfully for them, they are home, where they are undefeated, and playing the Panthers. The Panthers defense played magnificently last week, but don't get too excited Pinto, it was against the Buccaneers. New England gets a much needed win, however, if they lose, expect to see some Patriots fans jumping off bridges.

Prediction: New England 24, Carolina 14

New York Jets (6-6) at Tampa Bay (1-11), New York Jets favored by 3

Left for dead two weeks ago, the Jets suddenly have a playoff pulse. They will be without QB Mark Sanchez, and will start Kellen Clemens. Jets fans are expecting a loss here, as the team gets their hopes up and then tends to lose games they should win. I think things will be different this time.

Prediction: New York Jets 17, Tampa Bay 12

Miami (6-6) at Jacksonville (7-5), Jacksonville favored by 3

The Dolphins saved their season with the upset of New England at home. The Jaguars got back on track at home against Houston, although only 20 people showed up to watch it. Maybe the Dolphins fans can pack the Jags stadium so the game won't be blacked out. Every game is a must win for Miami, while the Jaguars also need to win to hold on to the sixth and final playoff spot. I still think the Jags are huge fluke frauds.

Prediction: Miami 21, Jacksonville 20

Detroit (2-10) at Baltimore (6-6), Baltimore favored by 13

The Lions are still losers, they just aren't losing quite as badly. Daunte Culpepper will start for the injured Matthew Stafford. The Ravens are another AFC team that pretty much have to win out to make the playoffs. QB Joe Flacco has really struggled lately, and with the defense not being nearly as good as last year, the Ravens have dropped six of their last nine. Good time to play the Lions.

Prediction: Baltimore 20, Detroit 10

Seattle (5-7) at Houston (5-7), Houston favored by 6

Texans coach Gary Kubiak is squarely on the hot seat, as a 5-3 start has turned into a 5-7 mess. The Seahawks have also been disappointing. It is kind of hard to figure out why they have struggled as QB Matt Hasslebeck has actually put up decent numbers. It probably comes from their lack of a running game. I must be foolish because I am actually picking the Texans. However, all of the pressure is off of them now, which is when they play their best.

Prediction: Houston 26, Seattle 23

St. Louis (1-11) at Tennessee (5-7), Tennessee favored by 13

Ten years ago this was a Super Bowl matchup. Now it is just a meaningless December game between two teams who will be home in January. The Rams, much like the Lions, are still losers, but are at least competitive. They won't embarrass themselves in Tennessee.

Prediction: Tennessee 19, St. Louis 13

Last Week Against the Spread: 6-10
Overall Against the Spread: 99-92-1

Last Week Straight Up: 10-6
Overall Straight Up: 123-68

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Hirsch Hits

There won't be a Cram Session this week due to their not being any games in the Top 25. Cram Session will return next week with the beginning of my bowl predictions series. However, I have decided to begin a column called Hirsch Hits. I have written about many different subjects for different sports websites and wanted to share them with my loyal readers. Today's edition is the greatest games and moments I have witnessed in person.

Even in the days of HD TV, high ticket prices, and the ability to see just about any game you want from the comfort of your living room, there is still nothing like attending a sporting event live. I have been fortunate enough to attend many different sporting events. Some have been more memorable than others, below are the most memorable sporting events I have attended.

2006 NCAA Final Four in Indianapolis, IN

I never thought I would make it to any sort of championship for a major sport but the miraculous run that my alma mater, George Mason, made to the Final Four in 2006 changed that. Despite Mason playing at the Verizon Center for the Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight, I didn’t make much effort to get tickets. However, as soon as Mason finished beating mighty UCONN, I knew that no matter the cost I had to make it to Indianapolis to see Mason in the Final Four. Despise being a graduate of a year I still had my student ID, which doesn’t expire until 2010, so I was able to get the discount the school was offering for a bus ride to Indiana, 3 nights in a hotel, and tickets to all 3 games. I was able to get all of this for about $600, which I considered a great deal. Even better, I was friends with a girl in the Mason ticket department and she hooked us up with courtside seats. Mason ended up losing to Florida but that didn’t dampen my excitement at being able to see it live. UCLA destroyed LSU in the other game, and then Florida killed UCLA in the championship game. I was disappointed that all 3 games were blowouts but still would never trade that experience for anything.

1991: Last Baltimore Orioles Game at Memorial Stadium, Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles

This game is memorable to me not only because it was the last baseball game ever played at Memorial Stadium but also because of a personal story that happened at the game. The Orioles were getting routed by the Tigers and us fans were looking for anything to be excited about. Longtime Oriole Mike Flanagan had resigned with the team that year and was beloved in Baltimore. We wanted to see Flanagan get the final defensive outs for the Orioles at Memorial Stadium. My step dad started to chant “We Want Flanagan”, eventually the chant spread across the entire stadium. Flanagan entered in the top of the 9th and mowed down the Tigers batters, striking out 2 of them. Despite being 8 years old the memory of that day is still very vivid for me.

1997: New York Giants at Washington Redskins at Jack Kent Cooke Stadium

This game is more famously known as the “Gus Frerotte head butt game”
It was a key game in the NFC East as the Redskins (6-5) and Giants (7-4) were battling neck and neck for the division. Even better it was a primetime game, making the atmosphere even more intense. The game was a defensive struggle, with the scored tied 0-0 in the 2nd quarter. Gus Frerotte changed that when he scored a 1-yard touchdown run. The stadium was going crazy and I actually missed Frerotte head butting the wall. Frerotte played the remainder of the first half but then the second half started with Jeff Hostettler at QB for the Redskins. It wasn’t until I got home late that night that I saw what Gus had done. The Giants would score a TD in the 3rd quarter to tie the game at 7. In Overtime the clock was winding down and the Redskins had one last chance to score. Redskins WR Michael Westbrook had had a tremendous game, 9 catches for 125 yards; however, he ended up costing Washington dearly. Westbrook took off his helmet while complaining about an official not giving him a catch on a play near the sideline. The Redskins were at the Giants 38 yard line before the penalty and would have had a chance at moving in position for a makeable field goal. Westbrook’s gaffe moved the Skins back to their own 47-yard line. The Redskins were later forced to try a 54-yard field goal, which missed and the game ended in a 7-7 tie. Stupid plays cost the Redskins the game and later on would be the reason they missed the playoffs that year. That game pretty much encapsulated Norv Turner’s run as head coach in Washington.

Thursday, December 3, 2009

The Hail Mary - Week 13

No real marquee, stand-out games in Week 13 but there are some good ones. Five of this weekend's sixteen games pits teams with winning records against each other. With just five more games to go every game becomes crucial as the drive to playoffs rolls on.

Games That I Will Be Watching

New Orleans (11-0) at Washington (3-8), New Orleans favored by 9 1/2

This is the first and probably only Redskins game I will attend this season. I had this one marked on my calendar months ago as a game I wanted to see in person. I wasn't counting on the Saints being 11-0, but I was excited at the chance to see their high powered offense. The Saints put the entire NFL on notice with their demolition of the Patriots on Monday night. If the Saints can secure home-field advantage they will reach the Super Bowl. The Skins are completely banged up but have played pretty well the last three weeks. The offense has looked better and they have been competitive with good teams. They have been unable to finish games though, so any lead the Skins have never feels like enough. The weather is supposed to be about 45 degrees so I don't expect the Saints offense to be as dominant as people think. The Skins will get burned deep a few times, but I think the defense can keep Washington in the game. The Saints are too good to lose to a bad team like Washington, but the Skins will cover in a loss for the third straight week.

Prediction: New Orleans 31, Washington 24

Dallas (8-3) at New York Giants (6-5), Dallas favored by 2

The Cowboys enter another December looking primed for a playoff run. The question is, will this season end up like so many other recent seasons, that is with a disastrous December. The schedule certainly sets the Cowboys up for a fall, beginning with a tough test in New York. These two opened up the new Cowboys Stadium in Week 2, with the Giants winning a shoot out. The Giants have played horribly for most of the last month and a half and will be desperate for a victory. Eli Manning is having toe issues, and the running game has struggled all season. On defense, the Giants put leader Antonio Pierce on IR. All signs point to a Cowboys win, however, until the Boys prove they can win tough games in December, I have to pick against them.

Prediction: New York Giants 24, Dallas 17

Minnesota (10-1) at Arizona (7-4), No line

Cardinals QB Kurt Warner is a question mark heading into this game. The Cardinals offense seemed to sputter last week with Matt Leinart behind center, and will have virtually no chance if he has to start this game. I think Warner will end up playing, but the Vikings tenacious defense will turn him into the bad Warner, that fumbles and throws interceptions. The Vikings know they have to keep winning to keep pace with the Saints. I also expect future league MVP QB Brett Favre to have another sterling performance.

Prediction: Minnesota 31, Arizona 20

Baltimore (6-5) at Green Bay (7-4), Green Bay favored by 3

Very tough game to call as these two teams couldn't be more evenly matched. Both are in the thick of their individual conference playoff races and neither can afford a loss. More than likely, the Ravens will have must win games for the rest of the season. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is having a fantastic season and seems to be learning to get rid of the ball sooner rather than later. I think he leads the Packers on a last minute drive for the win.

Prediction: Green Bay 27, Baltimore 20

Rest of Week 13

New York Jets (5-6) at Buffalo (4-7), New York Jets favored by 3

The Bills play their annual game in Toronto tonight. Not really sure why they keep having divisional opponents play in Toronto and lose a true home game, but they suck anyway so I suppose it doesn't matter. No real reasoning behind it, just like Buffalo to win tonight.

Prediction: Buffalo 20, New York Jets 17

Philadelphia (7-4) at Atlanta (6-5), Philadelphia favored by 6

Both teams are going to be missing key players in this game. The Falcons will be without QB Matt Ryan, and possibly RB Michael Turner. The Eagles are likely to be without WR Desean Jackson. The side story to this game is the return of Eagles QB Mike Vick to Atlanta. Vick has barely done anything of note with the Eagles but it will be interesting to hear the reaction he receives in Atlanta. I actually expect him to get a lot of cheers, as he was beloved by the Atlanta fans. Even without Jackson the Eagles have plenty of weapons and will have no excuses if they lose to a Chris Redman led team.

Prediction: Philadelphia 30, Atlanta 16

St. Louis (1-10) at Chicago (4-7), Chicago favored by 9

A game between two teams just playing out the string. I think the Bears will relish being able to feast on a lesser opponent for a change.

Prediction: Chicago 28, St. Louis 14

Detroit (2-9) at Cincinnati (8-3), Cincinnati favored by 12 1/2

Since winning at Pittsburgh two weeks ago the Bengals have looked pretty ugly in a loss to the Raiders, and a win against the Browns. They get another chance to look impressive, as the hapless Lions come to town.

Prediction: Cincinnati 27, Detroit 13

Tennessee (5-6) at Indianapolis (11-0), Indianapolis favored by 6 1/2

The Colts have already wrapped up the AFC South, their next goal is to clinch home field. The Titans have miraculously gotten themselves back in the playoff race, going 5-0 since inserting Vince Young as the starter. I have been one of Young's harshest critics but he really showed something with his 99-yard TD winning drive against Arizona last weekend. This will be a close, back and forth game, but Peyton is greater than all.

Prediction: Indianapolis 24, Tennessee 21

Denver (7-4) at Kansas City (3-8), Denver favored by 4 1/2

Denver got a much needed win Thanksgiving night against the Giants. They should be able to get another win at Arrowhead. If they do, they will be in the driver's seat for a wild card spot, and still very much alive in the AFC West.

Prediction: Denver 23, Kansas City 18

New England (7-4) at Miami (5-6), New England favored by 5

A really disappointing performance by the Dolphins in Buffalo last weekend. If they were going to make the playoffs that was a game they had to have. Now they have to face the Patriots, who rarely lose two in a row. The Patriots have had their share of problems playing in Miami over the years, and have been dreadful on the road this season, but I can't pick them to lose back to back.

Prediction: New England 31, Miami 27

Oakland (3-8) at Pittsburgh (6-5), No line

The Steelers played valiantly in Baltimore without QB Ben Roethlisberger and S Troy Polomalu, but fell short, losing their third straight. They expect to have Roethlisberger back and will try to win their first game of the season without Polomalu. If they can't beat the sorry Raiders at home, they should give back their Super Bowl trophy now and save everyone the wait.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 30, Oakland 13

Tampa Bay (1-10) at Carolina (4-7), Carolina favored by 6 1/2

Panthers suck.

Prediction: Carolina 16, Tampa Bay 13

Houston (5-6) at Jacksonville (6-5), Line is EVEN

The Texans are a couple of losses away from getting coach Gary Kubiak fired as they continue their yearly act of teasing being a playoff team, before eventually crumbling. The Jags have beaten no one of note this year and are the worst over .500 team in history. Sounds like a great game!

Prediction: Houston 24, Jacksonville 23

San Diego (8-3) at Cleveland (1-10), San Diego favored by 12 1/2

Watch out for the Chargers in January.

Prediction: San Diego 28, Cleveland 12

San Francisco (5-6) at Seattle (4-7), Line is EVEN

Another must win for the 49ers to keep their very slim playoff hopes alive. They played inspired football against Jacksonville last week, but them playing hard hasn't been an issue this season under Mike Singletary. QB Alex Smith continues to be just a tad above average, and will probably have to play better if he wants to convince the Niners that he is their QB for years to come. Seattle tends to be a tough place to play but the Seahawks aren't very good. Incredibly, if the Niners win, they will be 4-0 in the division but could still be two games out. However, if they can win and the Cardinals lose, then next Monday night at home they would have a chance to play for first place in the division. Huge game for the Niners. Time for a homer pick.

Prediction: San Francisco 19, Seattle 17

Last Week Against the Spread: 9-7
Overall Against the Spread: 93-82-1

Last Week Straight Up: 11-5
Overall Straight Up: 113-63

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Cram Session - Week 14

The mystery of the BCS Championship will finally be solved after this weekend. #1 Florida meets #2 Alabama in the SEC Championship in a case of deja vu from last season. The winner of that game will go to the National Championship and meet #3 Texas if they can defeat Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship. #4 TCU will rest and hope that Texas loses, while #5 Cincinnati will need a Texas loss and a win at Pittsburgh to have a chance. Should be an exciting weekend.

Top 25

SEC Championship: #1 Florida (12-0, 8-0) vs. #2 Alabama (12-0, 8-0)

This is the game everyone has been waiting for. Sometimes in sports there are games fans want to see and seem too good to be true to happen. Almost every NBA fan wanted to see Kobe and LeBron go head to head in the NBA Finals, but it wasn't meant to be. However, for the second straight year college football fans have been fortunate enough to have number 1 meet number 2 in a virtual semi-final. Florida is already facing adversity with the DUI and subsequent suspension of Carlos Dunlap. He will be a big loss on the defensive side of the ball for the Gators, and is something the Crimson Tide will try to exploit behind star RB Mark Ingram. The Gators have the definite edge at QB with Tim Tebow so for the Tide to have a chance they will have to force turnovers, and the rushing game will have to get going. That also means they will have to find creative ways to get WR Julio Jones the ball, maybe on some reverses. The Gators haven't been the overwhelming dominant team that people expected heading into the preseason. It seems like the Tide would be ripe for an upset. But as much slobbing as Tebow gets, he seems to always carry the Gators to wins in big games. I know all my readers just barfed but its the truth. He will find a way to win this game for Florida.

Prediction: Florida 28, Alabama 24

Big 12 Championship: #3 Texas (12-0, 8-0) vs. #22 Nebraska (9-3, 6-2)

I have a funny feeling about this game. Everyone seems so sure that Texas is going to blow the doors off the Huskers, but to steal a Lee Corso line, not so fast my friend. The Huskers have a top 10 defense led by the beast Ndamukong Suh. Defense wins games and I think the Huskers have a good enough defense to keep this one close. The absolute key to the game will be the play of RB Roy Helu. The Huskers have shown that if they can get the running game going, and get some drives going, they are a tough team to beat. QB Zac Lee has to be a game manager, and not make costly turnovers. The Huskers margin for error is very slim in this game. It is too slim for them to win but they will put up a hell of a fight.

Prediction: Texas 24, Nebraska 17

#5 Cincinnati (11-0, 6-0) at #15 Pittsburgh (9-2, 5-1)

This game doesn't have a name brand sponsoring it but it is the Big East championship game. The winner of this game will earn the Big East's automatic BCS bid and the Bearcats may reach loftier status. Cincinnati has an outside chance of playing for the national title if they win and Texas loses to Nebraska. However, I think by time Texas plays the Bearcats will have settled for much less. Pittsburgh played sloppily at West Virginia but I think at home, with this much at stake they will play a tremendous game. RB Dion Lewis is going to step up in a big way and be the difference in the game. The Bearcats are better than people have given them credit for, but they don't have the defense of a team that can finish a season unbeaten. That will be their undoing.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 35, Cincinnati 28

New Mexico State (3-9, 1-6) at #6 Boise State (12-0, 7-0)

Boise State is just playing out the string, as they have done all they can do to try to earn a BCS berth. Really amazing what coach Chris Petersen has done in Boise.

Prediction: Boise State 50, New Mexico State 20

#16 Oregon State (8-3, 6-2) at #7 Oregon (9-2, 7-1)

The Civil War takes on national meaning this year as the winner will win the Pac-10 and its automatic Rose Bowl berth. Oregon has been dominant most of the season, while the Beavers have really come on strong, winning four in a row. The Beavers will be looking for revenge for last season when the Ducks crushed their Rose Bowl dreams. The atmosphere will be electric in Autzen and the difference in the game. QB Jeremiah Masoli is an amazing player to watch. He is a dual threat passing, 14 TDs against 4 INTs this year, as he is running, as evidenced by his 12 rushing touchdowns. He will be the best player on the field. Yes, better than Beavers RB Jacquizz Rodgers, and the Ducks will be back in Pasadena for the first time in 15 years.

Prediction: Oregon 38, Oregon State 24

ACC Championship: #10 Georgia Tech (10-2, 7-1) vs. Clemson (8-4, 6-2)

For all intents and purposes the expansion of the ACC has been a dud for the conference in football. I think in the short history of their championship game they have produced only one compelling matchup, Virginia Tech versus Florida State in 2005. This game had potential but then Clemson proved fraudalicious by getting routed by South Carolina. Seeing RB C.J. Spiller in person this year definitely allows me to implore you to watch him play at least once. This guy is going to be an NFL star and makes big plays every game. Tech suffered a hiccup against Georgia but rivalry games are always tough. I think the Yellow Jackets bounce back and head to the Orange Bowl.

Prediction: Georgia Tech 30, Clemson 24

Arizona (7-4, 5-3) at #18 USC (8-3, 5-3)

Kind of strange to see USC playing a virtually meaningless game at this point of the season. The Wildcats are not a good road team and that will come through in this game.

Prediction: USC 30, Arizona 17

#19 California (8-3, 5-3) at Washington (4-7, 3-5)

The Golden Bears have been a strange team all season. Some weeks they look great, but others they look awful. After all the excitement they generated to start the season the Huskies fell fast, losing four of their last five. This one will be close but I think Cal barely pulls it out.

Prediction: California 35, Washington 24

Conference USA Championship: #21 Houston (10-2, 6-2) vs. East Carolina (8-4, 7-1)

Houston and QB Case Keenum continue to amass points at an amazing rate each week. Keenum's 38 touchdowns and 6 interceptions are definitely Heisman worthy. The Pirates have been quiet for most of the year but steamrolled through Conference USA. As good as the Cougars offense has been, they have lost a couple of games due to their suspect defense. I think the Pirates defense will keep the Cougars offense relatively in check and pull off the upset.

Prediction: East Carolina 35, Houston 32

#23 West Virginia (8-3, 4-2) at Rutgers (8-3, 3-3)

Rutgers blowout loss at Syracuse still astounds me. RB Noel Devine and the Mountaineers for the win.

Prediction: West Virginia 31, Rutgers 20

Last Week: 15-6
Overall: 216-59

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

The Hail Mary - Week 12

An abbreviated Hail Mary this week. It is Thanksgiving week and I think I have earned a one week vacation from pontificating 16 NFL games. However, predictions are below and the Hail Mary will be back to normal next week.

Games That I Will Be Watching

Green Bay (6-4) at Detroit (2-8), Green Bay favored by 11 1/2

Prediction: Green Bay 31, Detroit 17

Oakland (3-7) at Dallas (7-3), Dallas favored by 13 1/2

Prediction: Dallas 28, Oakland 10

New York Giants (6-4) at Denver (6-4), New York Giants favored by 6 1/2

Prediction: New York Giants 21, Denver 17

Washington (3-7) at Philadelphia (6-4), Philadelphia favored by 9

Prediction: Philadelphia 24, Washington 17

Chicago (4-6) at Minnesota (9-1), Minnesota favored by 11

Prediction: Minnesota 31, Chicago 21

Pittsburgh (6-4) at Baltimore (5-5), No Line

Prediction: Baltimore 24, Pittsburgh 21

New England (7-3) at New Orleans (10-0), New Orleans favored by 1 1/2

Prediction: New England 30, New Orleans 27


Rest of Week 12


Tampa Bay (1-9) at Atlanta (5-5), Atlanta favored by 12

Prediction: Atlanta 24, Tampa Bay 13

Miami (5-5) at Buffalo (3-7), Miami favored by 3

Prediction: Miami 27, Buffalo 17

Cleveland (1-9) at Cincinnati (7-3), Cincinnati favored by 14

Prediction: Cincinnati 28, Cleveland 10

Seattle (3-7) at St. Louis (1-9), Seattle favored by 3

Prediction: St. Louis 21, Seattle 20

Carolina (4-6) at New York Jets (4-6), New York Jets favored by 3

Prediction: Carolina 28, New York Jets 20

Indianapolis (10-0) at Houston (5-5), Indianapolis favored by 3 1/2

Prediction: Indianapolis 30, Houston 27

Kansas City (3-7) at San Diego (7-3), San Diego favored by 13 1/2

Prediction: San Diego 30, Kansas City 16

Jacksonville (6-4) at San Francisco (4-6), San Francisco favored by 3

Prediction: San Francisco 24, Jacksonville 20

Arizona (7-3) at Tennessee (4-6), Tennessee favored by 3

Prediction: Tennessee 28, Arizona 25


Last Week Against the Spread: 8-8
Overall Against the Spread: 84-75-1

Last Week Straight Up: 12-4
Overall Straight Up: 102-58



Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Cram Session - Week 13

An abbreviated Cram Session this week. It is Thanksgiving week and I think I have earned a one week vacation from pontificating on over 20 college football games. However, predictions are below and Cram Session will be back to normal next week.

Games That Matter to Me That May Not Matter to You


Nebraska (8-3, 5-2) at Colorado (3-8, 2-5)

Prediction: Nebraska 21, Colorado 20

Notre Dame (6-5) at Stanford (7-4)

Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Stanford 24

Top 25

Florida State (6-5) at #1 Florida (11-0)

Prediction: Florida 42, Florida State 21

#2 Alabama (11-0, 7-0) at Auburn (7-4, 3-4)

Prediction: Alabama 30, Auburn 20

#3 Texas (11-0, 7-0) at Texas A & M (6-5, 3-4)

Prediction: Texas 45, Texas A & M 27

New Mexico (1-10, 1-6) at #4 TCU (11-0, 7-0)

Prediction: TCU 52, New Mexico 9

Illinois (3-7) at #5 Cincinnati (10-0)

Prediction: Cincinnati 38, Illinois 24

Nevada (8-3, 7-0) at #6 Boise State (11-0, 6-0)

Prediction: Boise State 44, Nevada 41

Georgia (6-5) at #7 Georgia Tech (10-1)

Prediction: Georgia Tech 34, Georgia 31

#9 Pittsburgh (9-1, 5-0) at West Virginia (7-3, 3-2)

Prediction: West Virginia 27, Pittsburgh 24

#12 Oklahoma State (9-2, 6-1) at Oklahoma (6-5, 4-3)

Prediction: Oklahoma 28, Oklahoma State 27

#14 Virginia Tech (8-3, 5-2) at Virginia (3-8, 2-5)

Prediction: Virginia Tech 28, Virginia 13

Arkansas (7-4, 3-4) at #15 LSU (8-3, 4-3)

Prediction: LSU 33, Arkansas 31

#17 Miami (8-3) at South Florida (7-3)

Prediction: South Florida 30, Miami 27

#18 Clemson (8-3) at South Carolina (6-5)

Prediction: Clemson 27, South Carolina 17

#21 Utah (9-2, 6-1) at #19 BYU (9-2, 6-1)

Prediction: BYU 29, Utah 27

UCLA (6-5, 3-5) at #20 USC (7-3, 4-3)

Prediction: USC 17, UCLA 16

Rice (2-9, 2-5) at #23 Houston (9-2, 5-2)

Prediction: Houston 51, Rice 20

#24 North Carolina (8-3, 4-3) at North Carolina State (4-7, 1-6)

Prediction: North Carolina 27, North Carolina State 21

#25 Mississippi (8-3, 4-3) at Mississippi State (4-7, 2-5)

Prediction: Mississippi 35, Mississippi State 24

Last Week: 19-3
Overall: 201-53

Monday, November 23, 2009

The Week That Was

Brett Favre is the MVP of the NFL right now. That isn't a popular belief to have but the season he has had through 10 games has been ridiculous. 21 TDs, 3 INTs, 2, 482 yards passing, and a 69.7 completion percentage. Those numbers are video game worthy and a 40 year old, supposedly broken down man, is performing at that level. He has taken the entire Minnesota franchise to another level. The Vikings are Super Bowl contenders and finally found the one piece they had been missing, a true quarterback.

The Washington Redskins suffered a heart breaking loss to Dallas yesterday, 7-6. The Skins defense played very well but couldn't hold the Cowboys scoreless. The Redskins offense performed at its usualy mediocre level, but were mostly killed by 2 missed field goals by the previously perfect, Shaun Suisham. The Skins had plenty of time to try to come back, but I had no confidence that Jason Campbell would be able to lead them. He then proved me right by throwing an interception. Jason Campbell can get you in a position to win games, but he can't win you a game. It is time to move on and draft a quarterback in this April's draft.

The 49ers lost to the Packers and at 4-6 are looking like a non-playoff team. They are now 3 games behind the Arizona Cardinals in the NFC West, and 2 games out of a wild card berth. They played terribly in the first half, much like the Houston game, rallied in the second half but fell short. Maybe they are just a team that is a year away.

The Eagles came from behind to beat the Bears and get a crucial victory. The offense made some plays when they needed to and Bears QB Jay Cutler looked awful pretty much the entire game.

In college football, Notre Dame lost another close game to fall to 6-5. Charlie Weis is done and the team will have a huge decision to make on the next coach. My choice would be current Cincinnati coach Brian Kelly. I would make a call to Florida and Urban Meyer but I don't expect him to take the job. The team has offense but no defense, and while the offense has played well, they have blown way too many chances. Nebraska has recovered from their mid-season swoon to win 4 in a row. They defeated Kansas State on Saturday night to win the Big 12 North. They still have Colorado this Friday, but the big game will be December 5th when they take on Texas in the Big 12 Championship game.

Due to it being Thanksgiving this week I will be posting both Cram Session and The Hail Mary tomorrow. It won't be my typical column, just predicted scores this week. Things will get back to normal next week.

College basketball is in full swing. I don't really get into college basketball too much until February but have been following Mason and North Carolina pretty closely. Mason went 1-2 in the Puerto Rico shootout. They nearly shocked #6 Villanova, were dominated by Georgia Tech, and beat Indiana yesterday. This is a very young group but they showed some encouraging signs in this tournament. The Tar Heels are also very young, and got demolished by Syracuse on Friday. I think Carolina can compete for the ACC Championship this season but will have some growing pains. Larry Drew III is quite a step down from Ty Lawson. The Tar Heels will shine with their big men, Deon Thompson, Ed Davis, and Tyler Zeller. But in a couple of years, watch out.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

The Hail Mary - Week 11

The Washington Redskins have added some intrigue to their rivalry game with the Dallas Cowboys this week. With the Redskins season quickly crashing to oblivion it appeared this game would be a cake walk for the Cowboys. However, last week, the Skins upset the Broncos and the Cowboys were manhandled by the Packers. Those performances have given Redskins fans hope that they can beat Dallas on the road for the second straight season.

Games That I Plan on Watching

Changing up the title this week as it is still undetermined if I will be in New York on Sunday. If so the only games I will probably watch are tonight's game, the Sunday Night game between Philadelphia and Chicago, and the Monday Night game. If I am in town then I will get to watch Washington at Dallas, Indianapolis at Baltimore, and New York Jets at New England.

Miami (4-5) at Carolina (4-5), Carolina favored by 3

The Dolphins have been dealt a huge blow with the news that RB Ronnie Brown is now out for the season. That means RB Ricky Williams takes over as the starter, which isn't a bad insurance policy to have. People are wondering if the Dolphins will still run the Wildcat offense without Brown. I expect them to, and I expect them to incorporate QB Pat White much more now with Brown out. The Panthers have won 4 of their last 6 games to get back in the playoff race. QB Jake Delhomme has 0 interceptions in his last three games, while the running game has also been producing. The Dolphins will miss Brown tonight and his absence will be the reason for the loss.

Prediction: Carolina 19, Miami 17

Washington (3-6) at Dallas (6-3), Dallas favored by 11

I think Vegas is giving the Cowboys way too many points for a rivalry game. The Dallas bandwagon had to let some people off last week, after the offense was embarrassed in Green Bay. The Redskins offense seems to have found a spark, whether it be Sherm Lewis calling plays, or the fact that at this stage in their careers RB Ladell Betts is better than RB Clinton Portis. The Redskins played their best game of the season against Denver but I consider that an anomaly. However, the games between these two are always close, and I expect nothing different this year. The Redskins secondary will give up one too many big plays to WR Miles Austin, giving the Cowboys the win.

Prediction: Dallas 27, Washington 20

Indianapolis (9-0) at Baltimore (5-4), Baltimore favored by 1

The Colts are surprisingly underdogs in this game. Indianapolis was a quarter away from losing their perfect season, and then the New England Patriots imploded. I was ready to pick the Ravens to win this game but then watched their awful performance against the Browns on Monday night. The Ravens are a far cry from the team that showed up the first three weeks of the season. Peyton Manning will lead another late game drive and the Colts will remain unbeaten.

Prediction: Indianapolis 24, Baltimore 21

New York Jets (4-5) at New England (6-3), New England favored by 10 1/2

The Jets have really fallen off since their Week 2 win against the Patriots. They have gone just 2-5 since and are barely alive in the AFC playoff race. The big question around the Patriots this week is can they bounce back from their crushing loss to the Colts. If any team can it is New England, led by QB Tom Brady and coach Bill Belichick. The Jets will play hard and not allow themselves to be blown out, but the Patriots are better.

Prediction: New England 24, New York Jets 14

Philadelphia (5-4) at Chicago (4-5), Philadelphia favored by 3

The Eagles head to Soldier Field for a Sunday night game for the second straight season. Last year, the story was how the Eagles couldn't convert a first and goal from the one, and it ended up costing them the game. QB Jay Cutler will certainly hear some boo birds from the home faithful, following his 5 INT performance at San Francisco last week. In prime time games this year Cutler has 9 INTs. The Bears will be playing for their season, a loss and there are sure to be lots of changes coming. The Eagles are also desperate for a win, as a 5-2 start has deteriorated with two straight losses.

Prediction: Philadelphia 28, Chicago 21

Tennessee (3-6) at Houston (5-4), Houston favored by 4 1/2

Titans QB Vince Young returns home, where last time he played he memorably led the Titans to victory in OT. The Titans have won three straight since putting Young back into the lineup, although the schedule has softened considerably since he took over. Titans fans will be fully behind him if he can lead them to an upset win at Houston. The Texans are still trying to get over the hump from being a mediocre team, to a good team. This is a must win game for them.

Prediction: Houston 31, Tennessee 20

Rest of Week 11

Cleveland (1-8) at Detroit (1-8), Detroit favored by 3 1/2

Watching this game would be like watching a movie starring Nic Cage and Keanu Reeves, torture.

Prediction: Detroit 5, Cleveland 3

San Francisco (4-5) at Green Bay (5-4), Green Bay favored by 6 1/2

The 49ers got a much needed win against the Bears, but it didn't do much to inspire confidence that they are back to their early season form. QB Alex Smith doesn't look nearly as good as he did in that second half against Houston. WR Michael Crabtree has been a bright spot. The team hasn't shied away from getting the rookie involved and he seems to be developing some chemistry with Smith. The Packers looked a lot like the team I expected them to be in their dominating win over Dallas. The defense played very well, especially QB Charles Woodson. I grew to hate the Packers due to their dominating playoff performances over the 49ers in the 90's so it would only be fitting for them to put the nail in the 49ers playoff chances.

Prediction: Green Bay 26, San Francisco 17

Pittsburgh (6-3) at Kansas City (2-7), Pittsburgh favored by 10

The Steelers played like absolute garbage at home against the Bengals and made me lose to an 0-9 team in fantasy football. The Chiefs picked up another win but then found out they will be without their best player, WR Dwayne Bowe for the next four games for violating the league's substance abuse policy. Doesn't really matter much though, the Steelers were winning this game regardless.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 34, Kansas City 14

Seattle (3-6) at Minnesota (8-1), Minnesota favored by 11

The Saints may be 9-0 but I think the Vikings have proven they are the best team in the NFC. QB Brett Favre continues to play tremendously and the entire team has a Super Bowl feel around them. The Seahawks are on the down slide as this year has proven that even with a healthy Matt Hasselbeck rebuilding years are ahead for them.

Prediction: Minnesota 28, Seattle 20

Atlanta (5-4) at New York Giants (5-4), No Line

This game has huge playoff implications, not only for right now but in any possible tie-breakers between these teams when the season concludes. The Falcons have really disappointed since starting the year 4-1. QB Matt Ryan has not been playing well, and now the Falcons may be without RB Michael Turner for this game. The Giants had a much needed bye week after losing four in a row. New York is already in panic mode but it will be a state emergency if they lose this one.

Prediction: New York Giants 24, Atlanta 23

New Orleans (9-0) at Tampa Bay (1-8), New Orleans favored by 11 1/2

The Saints keep winning but they have definitely showed some chink in their armor. They may be caught looking ahead to next week's Monday night game against the Patriots, which will prevent them from blowing out the hapless Bucs.

Prediction: New Orleans 30, Tampa Bay 20

Buffalo (3-6) at Jacksonville (5-4), Jacksonville favored by 8 1/2

The Bills finally fired coach Dick Jauron and have now decided to go with Ryan Fitzpatrick as their QB. The Jaguars schedule is keeping them in the thick of the AFC playoff race. They aren't very good but they keep getting to play teams that aren't any better than them.

Prediction: Jacksonville 30, Buffalo 24

Arizona (6-3) at St. Louis (1-8), Arizona favored by 9

The Cardinals are quickly pulling away in the sorry NFC West and showing no signs of being hit with the Super Bowl loser curse of the 2000s. If the Niners lose and the Cardinals win, then the Niners can already start thinking about 2010, blargh.

Prediction: Arizona 34, St. Louis 17

San Diego (6-3) at Denver (6-3), No Line

How quickly things can change. After these teams met in San Diego the Broncos were 6-0, the Chargers 2-3, and the Broncos were looking like a sure bet to take the AFC West. But for the second straight season, the Broncos have collapsed and now with a loss to San Diego, the Chargers would be in first place in the AFC West. The Broncos might be without starting QB Kyle Orton in this one, and anyone who saw last weekend's game knows how bad Chris Simms is. The Chargers are hot, the Broncos are not, Chargers win.

Prediction: San Diego 27, Denver 13

Cincinnati (7-2) at Oakland (2-7), Cincinnati favored by 9 1/2

The Bengals are looking like one of the best teams in football but something about this game makes me nervous. It has trap game written all over it. The Raiders have finally pulled the plug on awful QB Jamarcus Russell. It has not been confirmed yet if the reason Russell isn't playing is due to poor performance or because coach Tom Cable beat the crap out of him.

Prediction: Cincinnati 20, Oakland 13

Last Week Against the Spread: 8-7
Overall Against the Spread: 76-67-1

Last Week Straight Up: 9-6
Overall Straight Up: 90-54

I would be remiss if I did not give a shout out to Ron Burgundy FC. They defeated the undefeated Black Mambas 1-0 on Wednesday night. The Mambas entered the game 11-0, and had outscored their opponents 46-8. Burgundy was short handed for the game, missing their usual goal keeper and relying on just one male sub. They played the best game I have ever seen them play. I have a feeling me wearing my Champ Kind RB jersey had something to do with the win!