Thursday, December 30, 2010

Cram Session - Bowl Edition

Life got in the way of me doing a full set of predictions for every bowl game. That being said, I have decided to predict the bowl games for my favorite teams, Notre Dame and Nebraska, and all the BCS games. This Cram Session will cover the Sun, Holiday, Rose, and Fiesta Bowl. On Monday, I will post predictions for the Orange and Sugar Bowl. On January 10th, I will have a comprehensive preview of the BCS Championship game.

Holiday Bowl, Thursday, December 30th

Washington (6-6) vs. #18 Nebraska (10-3)

This is pretty much the no win bowl for the Cornhuskers. They already blasted Washington earlier this year, 56-21, and will be playing the Huskies again in September. If they lose this game it is a major disappointment, and if they win this game it basically means nothing. The Huskers seemed well on their way to the Fiesta Bowl when they built a 17-0 lead on Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship, but ended up choking and fumbling the game away. The Huskies have snuck into this game, winners of three in a row after a 3-6 start. It will be the last game for their overhyped QB Jake Locker. The Huskers shut Locker down in the first meeting, holding him to just 4 completions and 2 interceptions. The Huskies are weak on defense which should allow the Huskers to rush the ball effectively with Roy Helu, Jr., Rex Burkhead, and QB Taylor Martinez. The only way Nebraska loses this game is if they get another case of fumbleitis. They have to do a better job of holding on to the ball, and Martinez has to avoid the Freshman mistakes that have plagued him in the second half of the season.

Prediction: Nebraska 35, Washington 17

Sun Bowl, Friday, December 31st

Miami (7-5) vs. Notre Dame (7-5)

The Catholics vs. the Convicts rivalry is renewed in El-Paso, Texas. The stature of both programs has dropped significantly since their last game against each other 20 years ago. Miami just fired their head coach Randy Shannon after once again posting a disappointing season. Year after year people have wanted to proclaim that the U was back but its obvious they are still a ways away. The Irish are on a three game winning streak, including finally beating USC. They have overcome a multitude of injuries on the offensive end, and freshman QB Tommy Rees has played admirably since taking over for the injured Dayne Crist. The Canes will either start Jacory Harris or Stephen Morris at QB, but the player of most concern to the Irish is Canes WR
Leonard Hankerson, who had 12 TDs and 66 catches this season. Irish WR Michael Floyd may be playing his last game if he decides to go pro. He has had another outstanding year, hauling in 73 catches and 10 TDs. Rees will have his work cut out for him against a stout Hurricanes defense, that is exceptional against the pass and can rush the quarterback effectively. The Irish defense has stepped up during their winning streak, allowing 160 yards less per game during the streak.

Prediction: Notre Dame 20, Miami 17

Rose Bowl, Saturday, January 1st

#5 Wisconsin (11-1) vs. #3 TCU (12-0)

TCU will get their chance to stake a claim as the uncrowned champion of college football when they meet the Badgers in Pasadena. The public seems to be behind the Horned Frogs, as Vegas has them as somewhat surprising three point favorites. Both teams have high powered offenses that both averaged 43.3 points per game. The Horned Frogs have the edge on defense, allowing just 11.4 points per game, best in the nation. The Badgers rushing attack is quite the force, led by James White and John Clay. White rushed for 1,029 yards this season and Clay finished just 54 yards short of the 1,000 yard mark. They also combined for 27 touchdowns. TCU has an effective ground game but its most well known player is QB Andy Dalton who threw 26 TDs, and just 6 INTs. I don't think Wisconsin will manhandle the Horned Frogs defense, but I have no doubt that this is by far the best offense TCU has played against all season. That will be enough to give the Badgers the win.

Prediction: Wisconsin 24, TCU 21

Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, January 1st

Connecticut (8-4) vs. #7 Oklahoma (11-2)

The most interesting subplot to this game will be whether Oklahoma can muster up enough motivation, against what is considered to be a Huskies team that doesn't belong on the big stage. The Huskies aren't even ranked but still managed to win the sorry Big East. However, the Sooners have shrunk on the BCS stage in recent history, losing 5 straight BCS bowl games. The Huskies don't do much passing, quarterback Zach Frazer passed for just 1,202 yards this season and 5 TDs. If they pull off the upset it will be on the legs of RB Jordan Todman. Todman was second in the nation with 1,574 yards rushing and 14 TDs. The Sooners are effective at both running and passing. QB Landry Jones quietly had a monster year, throwing for 4,289 yards, and 35 TDs. He was helped by having a stud WR in Ryan Broyles, who is the Sooners all time leading receiver in receptions, TDs, and yards, and a stud RB in DeMarco Murray. Murray had over a 1,000 yards rushing this year, but hasn't broken the 100 yard rushing barrier in a game since October. On paper this is a complete mismatch, and really the only thing giving me any pause in picking Oklahoma is how horribly they have played in past BCS games. I think they exorcise those demons.

Prediction: Oklahoma 48, Connecticut 21

Overall Record: 72-14

The Hail Mary - Week 17

It is the last week of the regular season and there are still division titles and playoff spots to be decided. Let's waste no time, on to my picks!

Carolina (2-13) at Atlanta (12-3), Atlanta favored by 14 1/2

The Falcons blew an opportunity to wrap up the NFC South and homefield advantage on Monday night against the Saints. Lucky for them, they get a reprieve as they finish at home against the worst team in football, the Panthers. This is John Fox's swan song and I expect the Panthers to at least put up a fight for him in his last game with the team.

Prediction: Atlanta 21, Carolina 10

Pittsburgh (11-4) at Cleveland (5-10), Pittsburgh favored by 6

The Steelers need a win to clinch the AFC North and earn a First Round bye in the playoffs. The Browns have been tough all season but come in losers of three straight and this is likely the last game as coach for Eric Mangini.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 24, Cleveland 14

Minnesota (6-9) at Detroit (5-10), Detroit favored by 3

Will he or won't he? That is always the question with QB Brett Favre. Will he play in what is likely the final game of his career, or will he be forced to sit out? I think somehow, some way Favre will end up starting. Vikings QB Joe Webb played well against Philadelphia on Tuesday, but the Vikings still need to be looking for a quarterback in the offseason. The Lions appear to be on the right tract, mostly because of that beast of a DT Ndamukong Suh.

Prediction: Detroit 27, Minnesota 20

Oakland (7-8) at Kansas City (10-5), Kansas City favored by 4

With a win the Raiders would set an ignominious mark, becoming the first team since the 1970 merger to go undefeated in their division, yet miss the playoffs. With the Chiefs having already wrapped up the AFC West, and having very little to play for, I think Oakland accomplishes (is that even the right word for this) that mark.

Prediction: Oakland 28, Kansas City 27

Miami (7-8) at New England (13-2), New England favored by 4

I would be shocked if Tom Brady plays more than a couple series. The 2010 Dolphins may be the strangest team in history, finishing 1-7 at home, and currently 6-1 on the road. Because of their road record, and the fact that the Patriots will probably be playing a lot of backups I am picking the upset.

Prediction: Miami 20, New England 17

Tampa Bay (9-6) at New Orleans (11-4), New Orleans favored by 7 1/2

The Saints still have an outside shot at the NFC South and homefield throughout the playoffs but most likely this game is pretty meaningless. The Buccaneers also have a slight prayer of making the playoffs but that is unlikely as well. Even when the Bucs lose this game, a 9-7 record for them is something to be proud of. QB Josh Freeman has shown himself to be a legit player and the Bucs future with stars LaGarrette Blount, Mike Williams, and Kellen Winslow is very bright.

Prediction: New Orleans 24, Tampa Bay 21

Buffalo (4-11) at New York Jets (10-5), No Line

Completely meaningless game, as the Jets are locked in as the 6 seed in the AFC playoffs. That means we will likely get to see old fossil Mark Brunell chucking it around.

Prediction: New York Jets 20, Buffalo 17

Cincinnati (4-11) at Baltimore (11-4), Baltimore favored by 9 1/2

Pretty shocking to think that the Ravens actually lost to the Bengals earlier in the season. More shocking was how proficient the Bengals and Carson Palmer were last week without Chad Ochocinco or Terrell Owens. I think that will be just a one week aberration.

Prediction: Baltimore 31, Cincinnati 14

San Diego (8-7) at Denver (4-11), San Diego favored by 3 1/2

Control your Tebowners Broncos fans, the team he lit up last week was the hapless Houston Texans, who have made every QB look like a Hall of Famer this season. That being said, I think he leads them another victory against a deflated Chargers team with nothing to play for.

Prediction: Denver 26, San Diego 24

Chicago (11-4) at Green Bay (9-6), Green Bay favored by 10

This game lost most of its luster with the Eagles loss to the Vikings, which guaranteed the Bears a First Round bye. The Packers win and they are in the playoffs, keeping alive my preseason NFC Super Bowl representative prediction. Despite Chicago likely playing most of their backups, last week taught us that you can never take for granted a team playing without motivation against a team with motivation. I think the Bears keep this one close.

Prediction: Green Bay 21, Chicago 13

Tennessee (6-9) at Indianapolis (9-6), Indianapolis favored by 10

A win and my preseason Super Bowl champion pick of the Colts will make the playoffs once again, and win another AFC South title. The Titans are playing like a team ready for their overrated coach Jeff Fisher to finally be gone.

Prediction: Indianapolis 31, Tennessee 17

Dallas (5-10) at Philadelphia (10-5), No Line

Stephen McGee vs. Kevin Kolb, feel the excitement! The Eagles know they are locked in as the 3 seed so they should rest as many of their guys as possible.

Prediction: Philadelphia 24, Dallas 21

Arizona (5-10) at San Francisco (5-10), San Francisco favored by 6

The 49ers made the right move in firing Mike Singletary. I was a big Singletary fan when he first took the job and liked his fiery approach. However, if you are going to take that approach you have to some substance behind it, and it became clear that Singletary was overmatched. This is likely Alex Smith's last game as a 49er, and all I can say is good riddance.

Prediction: San Francisco 17, Arizona 14

New York Giants (9-6) at Washington (6-9), New York Giants favored by 4

The Giants have suffered another December collapse and are likely to be on the outside looking in come playoff time. Their biggest flaw has been turnovers, with Eli Manning leading the league in interceptions, and RBs Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs having problems fumbling. The Redskins are still playing inspired, and Sexy Rexy has made a pretty decent showing for himself. Skins in an upset.

Prediction: Washington 19, New York Giants 17

Jacksonville (8-7) at Houston (5-10), No Line

The Jaguars will be without both David Gerrard and Maurice Jones-Drew. They shot themselves in the foot with back to back losses and will need a miracle to make the playoffs. They are playing the right team in the Texans, who seem like they are allergic to winning. How do you blow a 17-0 lead to the sorry Broncos? How do people still think Gary Kubiak should keep his job?

Prediction: Houston 27, Jacksonville 17

St. Louis (7-8) at Seattle (6-9), St. Louis favored by 3

It's the someone has to win the pathetic NFC West game! I think the Rams will end up being that team and it is really quite remarkable. QB Sam Bradford has made chicken salad out of chicken shit and should easily be the Rookie of the Year. Sure, the Rams are going to get destroyed by New Orleans in the Wild Card round, but them making the playoffs is a miracle.

Prediction: St. Louis 21, Seattle 10

Last Week Straight Up: 8-7
Overall Straight Up: 72-58

Last Week Against the Spread: 6-8-2
Overall Against the Spread: 65-62-5

Thursday, December 23, 2010

The Hail Mary - Week 16

I'm back from another hiatus, just in time for Christmas!!! With just two weeks remaining in the season, only one of the eight divisions have been clinched. There is a lot to sort out with the playoffs just two weeks away.

Week 16 - Thursday, December 23

Carolina (2-12) at Pittsburgh (10-4), Pittsburgh favored by 14 1/2

Pretty awful Thursday night game. The Steelers can earn a First Round bye in the playoffs if they win out. They will be without S Troy Polomalu in this which usually spells doom for the Steelers. However, the Panthers are so bad that it should mean very little. QB Jimmy Clausen has just 2 TDs this season! I'm shocked Steve Smith hasn't gone crazy and punched him in the face yet.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 28, Carolina 6

Saturday, December 25

Dallas (5-9) at Arizona (4-10), Dallas favored by 6 1/2

Another awful game, and this one is completely meaningless. The Cardinals could have beaten Carolina and kept alive their slim chances of winning the NFC West, but they decided to the epic fails that they have always been as a franchise. I think some guy named Skeleton is their quarterback now, so expect a Dallas win, further entrenching Jason Garrett as the permanent coach after the season.

Prediction: Dallas 31, Arizona 14

Sunday, December 26

New England (12-2) at Buffalo (4-10), New England favored by 9

The NFL is not about moral victories but the Bills aren't nearly as bad as their record indicates. If they decide they don't want Ryan Fitzpatrick on their QB, I think the Skins should jump at the chance to get him. The Bills gave New England fits in their first meeting in Foxboro and I think they will do the same at home. The Patriots clinch the AFC East and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win.

Prediction: New England 27, Buffalo 24

New York Jets (10-4) at Chicago (10-4), Chicago favored by 1 1/2

I can't believe the Bears were the first team to clinch a division in the NFL. I still don't buy into them at all and think they will be one and done in the playoffs. The Jets got a much needed win at Pittsburgh last week and I'm sure the foot massage Rex Ryan gave his wife after that win was orgasmic. The Bears still have a first round bye to play for so they will be motivated but I think the Jets are clearly the better team.

Prediction: New York Jets 17, Chicago 14

Baltimore (10-4) at Cleveland (5-9), Baltimore favored by 3 1/2

The Ravens are still battling for the AFC North and can clinch a playoff spot with a win at Cleveland. The Browns have had back to back bad losses but have been a tough team to contend with at home all season. I'll be rooting hard for RB Peyton Hillis to replicate his first effort against the Ravens, which was his coming out party. If he plays well, I will be that much closer to winning my fantasy league championship.

Prediction: Baltimore 20, Cleveland 17

Tennessee (6-8) at Kansas City (9-5), Kansas City favored by 4 1/2

The Chiefs are trying to fight off the fast charging (pun intended) Chargers. The Titans have the slimmest possibly playoff hopes in the history of EVAR. What happened to Randy Moss? Is he alive? What was the point of signing him again if they didn't plan on using him or throwing him the ball? For such a supposed "genius" Titans coach Jeff Fisher makes a lot of dumb decisions.

Prediction: Kansas City 26, Tennessee 14

San Francisco (5-9) at St. Louis (6-8), St. Louis favored by 1 1/2

There is still hope!!! If the Niners can win this game, then beat Arizona at home in Week 17, and have Seattle lose one of their last two games, the 49ers will be hosting a playoff game despite finishing 7-9. It is entirely possible but based on how the season has gone, and how putrid the 49ers have been on the road, it is likely their season comes to an end Sunday. The 49ers are going back to Troy Smith at QB, and the love I used to have for Mike Singletary is a distant memory. Playoffs or no playoffs, he seems overwhelmed as a head coach and the Niners need to fire him as soon as their season ends.

Prediction: San Francisco 17, St. Louis 17 (Too afraid to pick a winner, don't want to jinx)

Detroit (4-10) at Miami (7-7), Miami favored by 3

The Dolphins are 6-1 on the road, and 1-6 at home. Weirdest stat perhaps in the history of football. The Lions ended their 26 game road losing streak last week, but even if they hadn't they definitely would have against Miami. The Dolphins will be looking for a QB once again, as it has become clear that Chad Henne is not the answer.

Prediction: Detroit 19, Miami 13

Washington (5-9) at Jacksonville (8-6), Jacksonville favored by 8

The Jaguars blew their chance at clinching the AFC South last week and now have seen their destiny ripped from their hands. Luckily for them they get to face the imploding Redskins this weekend. Sexy Rexy Grossman played decently, although lets not overblow the fact that he was playing an atrocious Dallas defense. Plus, let's not forget some of the mistakes he made during that game, along with his face, make it hard not to believe that he might be slightly mentally handicapped. If Sexy Rexy struggles expect Rat Mike Shanahan to "see what he has" in draft bust John Beck.

Prediction: Jacksonville 27, Washington 20

San Diego (8-6) at Cincinnati (3-11), San Diego favored by 9

The Chargers may have made their return from the dead a little too late this season. They have two very winnable games left but they need the Chiefs to lose one of their last two. Special teams will be the reason the Chargers don't make the playoffs, because the offense has performed admirably despite being banged up all season. I predict at least one Carson Palmer pick six.

Prediction: San Diego 30, Cincinnati 21

Houston (5-9) at Denver (3-11), Houston favored by 2 1/2

If the Texans lose to Denver, and Gary Kubiak still keeps his job after the season, then Texans fans should give up. I mean, even if they win this game, he has no business being back next year. After a 4-2 start, the Texans are 1-7. There is no way with the talent they have that the Texans should be this bad. Broncos QB Tim Tebow makes his second start. Watching him play quarterback is painful. It was probably like watching me play basketball in middle school. People wanted to root for me because I was a nice guy and tried hard but they knew they were watching something disastrous.

Prediction: Houston 34, Denver 20

Indianapolis (8-6) at Oakland (7-7), Indianapolis favored by 3

I want to pick Oakland in this game but I can't forget how they were manhandled at home by Miami. Plus, their QB is Jason Campbell who continues his mastery of putting up the same pedestrian, not good, not bad, numbers every single week. Picking a Jason Campbell led team over a Peyton Manning led team? No way.

Prediction: Indianapolis 28, Oakland 21

New York Giants (10-4) at Green Bay (8-6), No Line

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers will return in this must win game for the Packers. Both my pre-season Super Bowl picks, the Packers and Colts pretty much have to win out to even make the playoffs. The Giants are coming off one of the greatest collapses in NFL history. That loss will sting for a while but I still expect them to come out ready to play. Rodgers will likely be moved out of the pocket all day by the Giants pass rush, but unlike his backup Matt Flynn he will make plays on the run and get the win for Green Bay.

Prediction: Green Bay 21, New York Giants 19

Seattle (6-8) at Tampa Bay (8-6), Tampa Bay favored by 7

By time this game starts I will either be intently watching the score because the 49ers won or not giving a crap because the 49ers lost. Raheem Morris is a young coach and with that comes mistakes, such as proclaiming your team as the best in the NFC like he did a few months ago. The Bucs have a bright future, especially with QB Josh Freeman, but they are a year away from being true playoff material.

Prediction: Tampa Bay 24, Seattle 20

Minnesota (5-9) at Philadelphia (10-4), No Line

The Eagles can clinch the NFC East with a win. The resolve they showed last weekend at New York was a sight to behold, and it is clear that their offense keeps them in every game, no matter the deficit. If Tom Brady wasn't having such an incredible year, Mike Vick would clearly be the MVP and Comeback Player of the Year. Joe Webb likely gets the start for the Vikings, who have had an incredibly miserable season. Webb, much like Tebow, was difficult to watch play QB. Might be because he was supposed to play wide receiver in the NFL. Never though I'd be longing for Sage Rosencopter.

Prediction: Philadelphia 35, Minnesota 17

Monday, December 27

New Orleans (10-4) at Atlanta (12-2), Atlanta favored by 1

I'm not going to lie, I love to say I told you so. I predicted the Falcons as NFC South champs before the season and they have made me look like a smart man. I knew the Falcons were better than their 9-7 campaign a year ago, and that injuries were what derailed them. They have stayed healthy this season and with the maturation of QB Matt Ryan have become the second best team in the NFL. The Saints have padded their record on cupcakes for most of the year, and are not nearly as good as they were last season. It will be sweet for the Falcons to take the NFC South, dethroning the champions at home, where Matt Ryan pretty much never loses.

Prediction: Atlanta 26, New Orleans 23

Overall Straight Up: 64-51
Overall Against the Spread: 59-54-3

Friday, November 12, 2010

The Hail Mary - Week 10

It is a boring weekend for college football but tons of interesting games in the NFL. Just further proof that NFL > college football. With only 6 of 32 teams really out of playoff contention at the halfway point of the season, just about every game will have an impact on playoff positioning. The prime time games are excellent this weekend. It got started with the Falcons beating the Ravens (as I predicted on Facebook) last night, continues Sunday night with New England traveling to Pittsburgh, and concludes with Philadelphia going to Washington to take on their former QB Donovan McNabb.

Week 10 - Sunday, November 14

Detroit (2-6) at Buffalo (0-8), Buffalo favored by 3

Something has to give in this game. The Bills keep getting so close to their first victory only to come up just a bit short, while the Lions have lost 24 straight road games. The Lions are once again without brittle QB Matthew Stafford and it appears it will be the Shaun Hill show again. Hill played decently when he stepped in earlier this season. If Stafford were starting I would take the Lions to end their road hex, but I think this is finally the week for the Bills.

Prediction: Buffalo 24, Detroit 17

Minnesota (3-5) at Chicago (5-3), Minnesota favored by 1

The Vikings are never boring. Trailing at home to Arizona 24-10 with just five minutes remaining, the Vikings pulled a win out of their ass, mostly because of QB Brett Favre. The Bears continue to be one of the most underwhelming 5-3 teams in history. I had to pick up Jay Cutler at QB this week for one of my fantasy teams, so I am hoping he doesn't have a repeat of his last home performance, where he threw 4 interceptions. The Vikings pass rush finally came alive against Arizona last week, and I think that will continue against a porous Bears offensive line.

Prediction: Minnesota 23, Chicago 16

New York Jets (6-2) at Cleveland (3-5), New York Jets favored by 3

What do you make of the Cleveland Browns? Back to back wins against the Saints and Patriots, and not just wins, routs. The Browns may have dug themselves too big of a hole early to be a playoff factor but they can definitely play the role of spoiler. The Jets were fortunate to escape Detroit with a win. Browns RB Peyton Hillis has been a monster but I think the Jets have the horses to slow him down. I also think that if the Browns stick with QB Colt McCoy, he will end up throwing a few interceptions that will prove costly. If Cleveland wins again this weekend I am going to stop picking against them.

Prediction: New York Jets 18, Cleveland 12

Cincinnati (2-6) at Indianapolis (5-3), Indianapolis favored by 7

The Bengals are a mess and the end may finally be near for mediocre coach Marvin Lewis. WR Terrell Owens continues to be a dominant force, but no one else on the offense has really stepped up. The Colts continue to be one of the most banged up teams in the league but Peyton Manning keeps finding ways to involve and use the new pieces to his advantage. The Bengals keep losing but have remained competitive, so I think they are good for at least a cover.

Prediction: Indianapolis 24, Cincinnati 20

Tennessee (5-3) at Miami (4-4), Tennessee favored by 1

What a brutal home schedule the Dolphins have had thus far this season. They are 0-3 at home and with the Titans coming on Sunday, the teams they have faced at home have a combined record of 23-9. Former starter Chad Henne was throwing way too many interceptions, so the Dolphins are turning back the clock to Chad Pennington, the man who led them to the 2008 AFC East title. This game also marks the Titans debut of WR Randy Moss. Who knows how much of an impact Moss will make, he hasn't shown much this year. It is still up in the air as to whether Kerry Collins or Vince Young will start for the Titans. Either way I like Miami to win what is a must win game for them.

Prediction: Miami 23, Tennessee 22

Carolina (1-7) at Tampa Bay (5-3), Tampa Bay favored by 3 1/2

What an ugly, ugly season for the Panthers. If they had the kind of media attention on them that the Cowboys have, John Fox would have been long gone by now. It is possible that Tony Pike will get the start in this one, with Matt Moore out for the year and Jimmy Clausen out with sucking. The Bucs fought valiantly at Atlanta and are starting to prove that they may be an upper echelon team.

Prediction: Tampa Bay 30, Carolina 14

Houston (4-4) at Jacksonville (4-4), Jacksonville favored by 2

No one knows what to make of either of these teams. It seems to change on a weekly basis. The Jags are coming off their bye week after demolishing the Cowgirls. If David Gerrard could play every week like he played two weeks ago, the Jags would be contenders. The Houston pass defense continues to be awful, turning no name practice squad guys on the Chargers into stars last week. The Jags will probably put up better passing numbers than normal, but I think the offensive weapons for the Texans will carry them to victory.

Prediction: Houston 28, Jacksonville 27

Kansas City (5-3) at Denver (2-6), Kansas City favored by 1

I think this line is easy money. The Broncos are not good and the Chiefs, despite their penchant for blowing games they should win are much better. Playing at Denver is nowhere near as intimidating as it used to be. Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones will run all over the Broncos, and Cassel will do just enough, as he has done most of the season.

Prediction: Kansas City 27, Denver 21

Dallas (1-7) at New York Giants (6-2), New York Giants favored by 14

The Wade Phillips era finally came to an end, as Jerry Jones decided he was tired of seeing his team get absolutely destroyed every week. I foolishly thought the Cowgirls had some pride and would show up on national television last Sunday. I won't make that mistake this week. Doesn't matter to me if Jason Garrett is coaching them or has them practicing in pads. I haven't bought into the Giants like everyone else has, I think they have been feasting on bad teams recently, but Dallas certainly qualifies as being bad.

Prediction: New York Giants 38, Dallas 17

Seattle (4-4) at Arizona (3-5), Arizona favored by 3

I believe Charlie Whitehurst get's his second start in this one, too lazy to look up whether I am wrong. Neither team is good, actually, they are equal to each other in how bad they are. Go with the home team. Oh yeah, Charlie Whitehurst vs. Derek Anderson, what an epic battle!

Prediction: Arizona 23, Seattle 10

St. Louis (4-4) at San Francisco (2-6), San Francisco favored by 6

The Troy Smith era continues! The Niners are just 2 games out of the division lead and thus, still very much alive in the playoff race, despite being 2-6. However, lose this game and those talks of a division title can finally be laid to rest. Rams QB Sam Bradford is easily the best QB in this division and even with how bad the NFC West is, it is a minor miracle that he has the Rams in first place at the halfway mark. Don't really know who will win this game, so I go with my homer pick.

Prediction: San Francisco 19, St. Louis 17

New England (6-2) at Pittsburgh (6-2), Pittsburgh favored by 4 1/2

All that talk about New England being the best team in football was ended with their lambasting at the hands of the Browns. However, if they can travel to Pittsburgh and win, in this battle of 6-2 teams, sports radio will jump right back on the bandwagon. I expect the Patriots to be much more ready to play for this game than they were against Cleveland. Offensively, these teams are about equal but defensively the Steelers are head and shoulders above New England. Even with the Steelers offensive line hurting, I don't think the Patriots can generate enough of a pass rush to fluster Ben Roethlisberger. These are two good games so it will come right down to the wire, but Steelers for the win!

Prediction: Pittsburgh 24, New England 21

Monday, November 15

Philadelphia (5-3) at Washington (4-4), Philadelphia favored by 3

I will be attending this game, unless I somehow get sick again like I did before the Colts game that I ended up missing. The Eagles and Redskins met a little over a month ago, with the Skins coming out on top in Donovan McNabb's return to Philadelphia. A lot of people like to point to the fact that the Skins win because they knocked out Michael Vick. They are conveniently forgetting that the Skins were winning 14-0 before Vick even got hurt. In DC, the talk has been about Mike Shanahan's strange decision to bench McNabb at the end of the Lions game with the game still in doubt. Shanahan made it even worse by coming up with about 500 explanations for why he did it. It is so sad that the fact that McNabb will be practicing the 2 minute drill on Saturday is an actual headline on ESPN.com. I had a good feeling about the Skins winning at Philly, and I have an equally bad feeling about them losing at home on Monday night. Their running back situation is a mess with both Ryan Torain and Clinton Portis hurting. They still have barely an true offensive weapons, and the defense changes on a week to week basis on whether they can stop teams or not. While I think the Skins would have won that first game anyway, there is no disputing that Vick in the lineup makes a huge difference. The Eagles barely went deep once Kolb entered the game, while Vick can throw it deep without even trying. I think Vick and DeSean Jackson will continue to put up big numbers together and the turmoil will only increase in Washington.

Prediction: Philadelphia 30, Washington 20

Last Week Straight Up: 8-5
Overall Straight Up: 56-46

Last Week Against the Spread: 5-7-1
Overall Against the Spread: 52-47-3

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Cram Session - Week 11

Pretty weak slate of games this weekend. I guess the most intriguing game by default is Georgia at #2 Auburn, especially with all the controversy surrounding Heisman front runner QB Cam Newton. However, with that being said, sometimes the most interesting weekends in college football end up coming out of nowhere.

Games That Matter to Me That May Not Matter to You

#14 Utah (8-1) at Notre Dame (4-5)

Another nightmare season is close to ending for Notre Dame. A loss to Tulsa is inexcusable but then again look at all that the Irish are missing. Starting QB gone, leading running back gone, leading tight end gone, second leading receiver gone. I would dare any team to be missing that many guys that contribute on offense and keep winning. What makes it even harder for the Irish is that their defense is atrocious. I don't expect the Irish to win this game or win at USC to close the season, just please for the love of God don't lose to Army next week.

Prediction: Utah 38, Notre Dame 20

Top 10

Friday, November 12

#4 Boise State (8-0, 4-0) at Idaho (4-5, 1-3)

Wake me when it's November 26th and Boise is playing at Nevada. Until then, it's cupcake city for the Broncos.

Prediction: Boise State 57, Idaho 13

Top 10

Saturday, November 13

#1 Oregon (9-0, 6-0) at California (5-4, 3-3)

Oregon is number one and minus all the distractions that are accompanying their possible BCS opponent, number two Auburn. The Ducks have been piling up points all season, with their lowest output being 42. California is a terrible road team but has yet to lose at home this season. However, the Golden Bears won those home games with Kevin Riley at quarterback. In this game they will be forced to start the inexperienced Brock Mansion (great name). Mansion struggled against a terrible Washington State team last week, so things could get really ugly for him against the best team in the nation.

Prediction: Oregon 41, California 14

Georgia (5-5, 3-4) at #2 Auburn (10-0, 6-0)

It has been an awful season for Georgia but if they can knock off Auburn on the road and end the Tigers national title hopes, their fans would be able to feel some joy this season. The only reason the Tigers would lose this game is that they have been overwhelmed by the distraction that is Cam Newton's various alleged indiscretions. The Tigers are much better than the Bulldogs but they will have to account for perhaps the best receiver in college football, A.J. Green. I think once the game starts the distractions of the week will melt away and Cam Newton will once again have an outstanding, jaw dropping performance.

Prediction: Auburn 28, Georgia 24

San Diego State (7-2, 4-1) at #3 TCU (10-0, 6-0)

I've been banging the TCU drum all season, while most focused on Boise State. People have come around to my side after the butt whooping the Horned Frogs laid on the Utes in Utah last Saturday. Next they face the Aztecs who with a 7-2 record should present a challenge. Should is the key word though, as TCU is proven they are on a whole other level compared to the rest of the Mountain West conference.

Prediction: TCU 38, San Diego State 10

LA-Monroe (4-5) at #5 LSU (8-1)

Tigers coach Les Miles could eat grass this entire game, not wear a headset or make a single decision and LSU would still win.

Prediction: LSU 34, LA-Monroe 7

#6 Stanford (8-1, 5-1) at Arizona State (4-5, 2-4)

The Sun Devils are coming off a heartbreaking loss to USC, while Stanford just keeps decimating opponents. The Cardinal may not have faced the toughest schedule this year but their domination shouldn't be overlooked. The Sun Devils will present a challenge on the road but the Cardinal should keep rolling behind QB Andrew Luck.

Prediction: Stanford 47, Arizona State 24

Indiana (4-5, 0-5) at #7 Wisconsin (8-1, 4-1)

The Hoosiers would have knocked off Iowa last week if their player whose name I am too lazy to look up would have caught what should have been an easy touchdown. It was a heartbreaking defeat for the Hoosiers and kept them winless in the Big Ten. Good news for them is that they will never be close against Wisconsin, so they won't have any chance to be heartbroken.

Prediction: Wisconsin 43, Indiana 16

Kansas (3-6, 1-4) at #8 Nebraska (8-1, 4-1)

Former Husker QB and assistant coach Turner Gill returns to Memorial Stadium, as he leads the enemy Kansas Jayhawks into town. Gill has faced some bumps in the road in his first season in Kansas and shouldn't expect to fare any better this weekend. Nebraska is lucky to have escaped with a win at Iowa State, as they were forced to start third string QB Cody Green. Doesn't explain why the defense struggled so much with Iowa State though. QB Taylor Martinez is supposed to be back and starting in this game. The Jayhawks defense is awful and they will find themselves in a huge hole like they were against Colorado last week. Only difference is Nebraska won't choke the game away like the Buffaloes.

Prediction: Nebraska 47, Kansas 17

Penn State (6-3, 3-2) at #9 Ohio State (8-1, 4-1)

Nittany Lions coach Joe Paterno earned his 400th win last week, a feat that will likely never be seen again because no other school will let a man that can't control his bowels continue to coach their team. Ohio State is quite the fraud. They have played one good team all season, and what do you know, they got their asses handed to them. Penn State doesn't qualify as a good team, so the Buckeyes will continue to inflate their record versus mediocre competition.

Prediction: Ohio State 33, Penn State 13

#10 Oklahoma State (8-1, 4-1) at Texas (4-5, 2-4)

That loss to Texas is going to haunt Huskers fans for a while. Not only would Nebraska have won the game if their players could have caught the ball on that day, but Texas has dropped three in a row since beating the Huskers. In years past the Cowboys would get a huge lead over Texas, only to find some way to blow it. That changes this year, Cowboys get a huge lead, then pour more salt in the wounds of the Longhorns.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 35, Texas 12

Last Week: 6-2
Overall: 62-13

Friday, November 5, 2010

The Hail Mary - Week 9

The Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders hasn't meant much for a long time. However, this Sunday they meet in a battle of first and second place teams in the AFC West. Oakland is on a tear their last two teams, while the Chiefs are out to prove that they aren't the most fraudtastic 5-2 team in NFL history.

Week 9 - Sunday, November 7

Tampa Bay (5-2) at Atlanta (5-2), Atlanta favored by 8 1/2

Buccaneers fans are excited about the Bucs 5-2 start but Vegas obviously isn't buying in, inserting the Falcons as 8 1/2 points favorites in this one. Tampa hasn't beaten a good team all season, and was blown out at home when facing good teams like Pittsburgh and New Orleans. The Falcons are almost unbeatable at home, so the Bucs will go a long way towards silencing their critics if they can pull off the upset. They won't completely silence their critics are they lose on Sunday, but they will hang with the Falcons and show the league that they will be a true contender this season.

Prediction: Atlanta 27, Tampa Bay 21

Toronto, Canada: Chicago (4-3) vs. Buffalo (0-7), Chicago favored by 3

The Bills have come so close in their last two games to finally getting that elusive first win. They took both Baltimore and Kansas City to the wire on the road, both of which are very difficult places to play. The Bills just can't get their team on the same page. If the offense plays well, the defense struggles, and vice versa. The Bears are a mess, losers of three of four after a 3-0 start. The bye week probably didn't cure their awful offensive line and they seem like the perfect team for the Bills to get their first win against.

Prediction: Buffalo 20, Chicago 13

New England (6-1) at Cleveland (2-5), New England favored by 4 1/2

The Patriots have the best record in the NFL, and also got another win this week as they swindled the Vikings out of a third round pick to use Randy Moss for four weeks. The Browns had a week off after their shocking upset in New Orleans. QB Colt McCoy may get another chance to start this week and prove to the Browns that he is their quarterback of the future. The Browns may not be as bad as their record indicates but I don't think they will keep it that close against New England.

Prediction: New England 24, Cleveland 14

New York Jets (5-2) at Detroit (2-5), New York Jets favored by 4

The Lions would go 16-0 if they could play the Redskins every week. The Jets were embarrassed at home against the Packers, getting shut out. That means the Lions will pull off another upset at home this week, right? I don't think so. The Jets defense is far better than the Redskins defense and won't let Calvin Johnson kill them like the Skins did. I think the Jets will get their running game going enough to open up the passing game and hold off the Lions. Ndamukong Suh is quite the beast, huh?

Prediction: New York Jets 23, Detroit 16

Arizona (3-4) at Minnesota (2-5), Minnesota favored by 9

Right after I had gotten my #84 Randy Moss jersey out of mothballs, the Vikings waived him and once again made it a throwback jersey. Vikings coach Brad Childress should have known what he was getting into with Moss, and maybe fans should have known that with Moss' history Childress wasn't the type of coach to control Moss. WR Percy Harvin will really miss Moss, as he had started looking more like the receiver we saw last year. The Vikings have to win this game to keep alive their faint playoff hopes. The Cardinals are going back to Derek Anderson at quarterback after figuring out that an undrafted rookie probably wasn't going to take them to glory.

Prediction: Minnesota 27, Arizona 20

New Orleans (5-3) at Carolina (1-6), New Orleans favored by 6 1/2

The Panthers nearly shocked the Saints at the Superdome in the teams first meeting. New Orleans got to face Jimmy Clausen in this game, now they take on the man, the myth, the legend, Matt Moore. Saints QB Drew Brees still is throwing way too many INTs and doesn't look nearly as smooth as he did last year. It definitely hurts the Saints to be missing both Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush. However, the defense came alive last week and caused turnovers, which was their strong point last season. I think they continue that trend this weekend.

Prediction: New Orleans 30, Carolina 14

Miami (4-3) at Baltimore (5-2), Baltimore favored by 5 1/2

The Dolphins undefeated streak on the road likely comes to an end on Sunday. Baltimore is one of the toughest places to win, and the Ravens have yet to lose their this season. Baltimore also had an extra week to prepare for Miami. The Ravens defense looked awful against Buffalo two weeks ago but I expect a much stronger performance on Sunday. The Dolphins show signs of being a contender but they just can't seem to put it together on a consistent basis. Dolphins kicker Dan Carpenter won't be able to kick enough field goals to win this game.

Prediction: Baltimore 23, Miami 20

San Diego (3-5) at Houston (4-3), San Diego favored by 2 1/2

Down 19-7 to Tennessee last weekend the Chargers season was teetering towards being over. However, QB Philip Rivers threw the ball to his no name receivers, and TE Antonio Gates continued to be by far the best TE in the game, allowing the Chargers to get the come from behind win. The Texans were dominated by the Colts and continue to slip back to their normal level of mediocrity. All that being said, I like the Texans in this game. Their is a chance that Gates will finally have to miss a game with his various injuries, and the Chargers have yet to prove they can win on the road this season.

Prediction: Houston 30, San Diego 24

New York Giants (5-2) at Seattle (4-3), New York Giants favored by 6 1/2

When I first saw the spread for this game I couldn't believe it. The Seahawks are undefeated at home, and the last time the Giants came to Seattle they had 11 false start penalties. Then I heard that QB Matt Hasselbeck was out with a concussion, and Charlie Whitehurst would be forced to make his first start against a team that has been knocking out quarterbacks on a weekly basis. Not an ideal opponent for Whitehurst to start his career against, but you have to start somewhere. I would have picked the Seahawks to win if Hasselbeck could start, but I will stick with picking them to cover at least.

Prediction: New York Giants 21, Seattle 15

Kansas City (5-2) at Oakland (4-4), Oakland favored by 2 1/2

So are the Raiders really a contender or the beneficiaries of playing bad teams in Seattle and Denver? We may know a little better after they play the Chiefs. I don't think the Chiefs are as good as their 5-2 record indicates, but I certainly think their defense is good enough to not allow the Raiders to pile up 500 yards of offense on them. Both of these teams strengths are running the ball and they have the horses to do it. It will be Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones vs. Darren McFadden and Michael Bush. I'm not sold on the Raiders yet, I think the hype machine quiets down after this weekend.

Prediction: Kansas City 24, Oakland 21

Indianapolis (5-2) at Philadelphia (4-3), Philadelphia favored by 3

Not often you find the Colts listed as an underdog. The Eagles get back QB Michael Vick for this game. Vick may be out just as quickly as he returned if Robert Mathis or Dwight Freeney have their say. It is amazing how the Colts are able to hum along when missing guys like Joseph Addia, Austin Collie and Dallas Clark. Petyon Manning truly is amazing, even with his various playoff failures. I have consistently picked against the Eagles this year and for the most part they have proven me wrong. They get another chance this weekend.

Prediction: Indianapolis 27, Philadelphia 26

Dallas (1-6) at Green Bay (5-3), Green Bay favored by 8

The way Dallas laid down at home against Jacksonville on Sunday might have been one of the most pathetic performances I have ever witnessed. It definitely was hilarious to watch though. This team has proven consistently that when any expectations are placed on them they shrink under the pressure. Now with no expectations heading into this game, that is why I think they will cover and not completely embarrass themselves at Lambeau. These guys are still professionals, and I have to think that playing on national television will force them to play with some pride.

Prediction: Green Bay 27, Dallas 20

Monday, November 8

Pittsburgh (5-2) at Cincinnati (2-5), Pittsburgh favored by 4 1/2

Things are quickly unraveling in Cincinnati, another team that has shown they can never handle expectations. Pittsburgh has dominated the Bengals in Cincinnati, up until last season, which was a game they gave away. Their could be a total overhaul in Cincinnati if the season continues down this path, but then again Mike Brown has never really show any drive as an owner. I expect Pittsburgh to win this game, and the complaining between TO and Ocho has to start at some point.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 26, Cincinnati 13

Last Week Straight Up: 9-4
Overall Straight Up: 48-41

Last Week Against the Spread: 9-4
Overall Against the Spread: 47-40-2

Thursday, November 4, 2010

Cram Session - Week 10

The so called "little guys" take center stage in college football this weekend. #3 TCU travels to take on #5 Utah in a BCS buster elimination game. The top two teams in the country, Oregon and Auburn should have no problem remaining undefeated with easy home games this weekend.

Top 10

Washington (3-5, 2-3) at #1 Oregon (8-0, 5-0)

The Huskies are terrible with QB Jake Locker, who some fools talked about being a possible #1 draft pick in April, so how bad will they be without him? The Ducks fought off a road challenge from USC and continued to prove that their offense is almost impossible to stop. This is Oregon's last cakewalk of the season, as their last three games could prove to be challenging.

Prediction: Oregon 62, Washington 7

Chattanooga (5-3) at #2 Auburn (9-0)

One week ago Chattanooga was playing at home against tiny little Elon. This week they get huge payday and the pleasure of getting their tails kicked in Auburn. Auburn somehow dropped in the BCS ranking despite spanking Ole Miss on the road. QB Cam Newton continues to amaze, as he added a touchdown catch to his already gaudy, Heisman ready stats.

Prediction: Auburn 53, Chattanooga 7

#3 TCU (9-0, 5-0) at #5 Utah (8-0, 5-0)

Both of these teams have been biding their time, waiting for this inevitable clash. The Utes have a very balanced offensive attack led by QB Jordan Wynn and a two headed monster at RB with Eddie Wide and Matt Asiata. WR DeVonte Christopher is their deep threat averaging 19.2 yards per catch. For the Horned Frogs QB Andy Dalton has been playing lights out the last month, and has 16 TDs and 5 INTs on the season. The Horned Frogs have the 9th ranked rushing offense in the NCAA, and Ed Wesley averages 6.8 yards per carry and has 10 touchdowns this season. Both teams are in the top 10 in scoring defense. The TCU defense has only allowed 1 touchdown in their last 5 games. While homefield advantage gives the Utes a shot, I think it is clear that the Horned Frogs are the better team. Their defense is almost impossible to score on and I don't think the Utes offense has the horses necessary to penetrate TCU's defense.

Prediction: TCU 24, Utah 13

Hawaii (7-2, 5-0) at #4 Boise State (7-0, 3-0)

They aren't getting much attention but Hawaii has been very impressive in the last month. They knocked off the ranked Nevada Wolfpack and have blown away the rest of their WAC competition. No one is really giving them a shot at Boise and while I don't expect them to win they could end up giving the Broncos a scare. The Warriors lead the country in passing offense and QB Bryant Moniz has put up gaudy numbers. The Broncos will be the toughest defense Moniz has faced this year and I expect it to be a rude awakening.

Prediction: Boise State 38, Hawaii 24

#6 Alabama (7-1, 4-1) at #10 LSU (7-1, 4-1)

The Crimson Tide bandwagon is starting to fill up again. With a bunch of unbeatens falling, people are saying that if a one-loss team is to make the BCS Championship this season, it will be the Crimson Tide. First, they have to go into Tigers Stadium and knock off the luckiest team in the country, LSU. Each team has had a week off to get ready for this game so expect both teams to come out guns blazing. The Tigers will need to create turnovers on defense if they want to pull off the upset. If this were a night game I might be more inclined to pick LSU, but I think Saban is a far superior coach to Miles and that will be a huge factor in the Alabama win.

Prediction: Alabama 20, LSU 13

#7 Nebraska (7-1, 3-1) at Iowa State (5-4, 3-2)

Where the heck was that performance against Texas? The Huskers punched Missouri in the mouth from the opening kickoff and never had a doubt in their thrashing of the Tigers. They even were able to afford being without T-Magic for the second half. RB Roy Helu Jr. rushed for over 300 yards, setting a Nebraska school record. Pretty amazing considering the long list of talented rushers to go through Nebraska. The Cornhuskers now have the inside track to the Big 12 North and a spot in the Big 12 Championship. However, that could all be derailed if they don't focus on this weekend's game at Iowa State. After getting destroyed for 2 straight weeks, the Cyclones beat Texas on the road, and then defeated a sorry Kansas team at home. The Cyclones are a pretty middling team both offensively and defensively. Hopefully, the Huskers remember their embarrassing home loss to the Cyclones last season, when they turned the ball over 8 times. The Huskers have been fantastic on the road all season and I expect that to continue this weekend.

Prediction: Nebraska 48, Iowa State 17

#8 Oklahoma (7-1, 3-1) at Texas A&M (5-3, 2-2)

The 12th Man will be jacked up for the arrival of the Sooners. Aggies coach Mike Sherman is on the hot seat and if he can pull off this upset and make the Aggies bowl eligible it might calm things down considerably. The Aggies really aren't that bad of a team. They have one of the most potent passing offenses in the country, and are decent defensively. However, they will be missing their leading RB Christine Michael who is out for the year, and QB Ryan Tannehill will be making just his second start. Those factors will conspire to give Choklahoma a close victory.

Prediction: Oklahoma 30, Texas A&M 26

#9 Wisconsin (7-1, 3-1) at Purdue (4-4, 2-2)

The Badgers have been on fire since a tough loss at Michigan State, defeating two Top 20 teams in Ohio State and Iowa. The win over Iowa was on the road, proving that the Badgers can win in a tough environment. Purdue lost their last two games by a combined score of 93-10. That will only get worse this weekend.

Prediction: Wisconsin 38, Purdue 21

Last Week: 4-4
Overall: 56-11

Friday, October 29, 2010

The Hail Mary - Week 8

There is almost nothing better than stuffing your face with candy and watching football. This year Halloween falls on NFL Sunday and because of how strange and scary this entire season has been, it couldn't be more fitting.

Week 8 - Sunday, October 31

Miami (3-3) at Cincinnati (2-4), Cincinnati favored by 2

The Bengals can't get their team on the same page. The offense finally got going last weekend, but the defense couldn't slow the Atlanta Falcons down. WR Terrell Owens is having a monster year and proving his disappointing season in Buffalo was an aberration. The Dolphins can't win at home (0-3), but can't lose on the road (3-0). I think that trend continues on Sunday.

Prediction: Miami 20, Cincinnati 16

Jacksonville (3-4) at Dallas (1-5), Dallas favored by 6 1/2

I got a lot of satisfaction over watching the Cowboys season die last Monday night. The final nail in the coffin wasn't them losing the game, it was Michael Boley driving Tony Romo to the ground, knocking him out for 6-8 weeks. The Cowboys now turn to QB Jon Kitna, who hasn't won a game as a starter since 2007. Vegas doesn't seem to mind that stat and obviously thinks very little of the Jaguars with the ridiculous line they have put on this game. I don't think much of the Jags either and expect them to provide Dallas with their first home win. However, they will cover.

Prediction: Dallas 19, Jacksonville 14

Washington (4-3) at Detroit (1-5), Detroit favored by 2 1/2

It is probably a little embarrassing for the Redskins to be underdogs to a 1-5 team. However, given their recent history at Detroit it makes sense. The Lions have been in every single game they have played this season, and not surprisingly have suffered from some bad luck. They get back their starting QB Matthew Stafford for this one. The Redskins offense looked putrid last week, with the Skins winning in spite of QB Donovan McNabb's worst efforts. I don't think CB DeAngelo Hall will be coming up with four picks in this game, so the passing game will have to show up, and hopefully RB Ryan Torain can continue his string of 100 yard games. Their is no possible way the Skins can think about overlooking the Lions, especially after last season. The Skins will go into their bye week with a good feeling at 5-3.

Prediction: Washington 24, Detroit 17

Buffalo (0-6) at Kansas City (4-2), Kansas City favored by 7 1/2

Would you believe that Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is one of the top quarterbacks in the league this year? If only the Bills could play defense. Chiefs QB Matt Cassel has been much improved in recent weeks and with the Chargers sputtering the Chiefs look like they have a great chance to take the AFC West. Having teams like the Bills and Jaguars on your schedule back to back weeks doesn't hurt.

Prediction: Kansas City 28, Buffalo 21

Carolina (1-5) at St. Louis (3-4), St. Louis favored by 3

The Panthers found the cure for a winless season, play the sorry San Francisco 49ers! QB Matt Moore looked like the player I expected him to be, but WR Steve Smith has yet to get going this season. Even more surprising is the lack of production of the Panthers running game, which will likely be without DeAngelo Williams for this game. I continue to be impressed by Rams rookie QB Sam Bradford. Despite being trained to be a choker at Oklahoma, he looks like the real deal. Sorry Pinto, don't like your Panthers chances in this one. However, I appreciate your undying support of The Hail Mary.

Prediction: St. Louis 27, Carolina 17

Green Bay (4-3) at New York Jets (5-1), New York Jets favored by 6

The Packers stopped the bleeding with a much needed win against the Vikings last weekend, with the help of former hero Brett Favre. They now travel to New York to take on perhaps the hottest team in the NFL, the Jets. The Jets are hoping the bye week didn't cool them off and they will continue to play efficiently on offense, and dominate on defense. The resurgence of RB LaDainian Tomlinson has got to have the Chargers shaking their heads. I expect to see WR Santonio Holmes make more of an impact in this game, then he has in his 2 games since his suspension ended.

Prediction: New York Jets 23, Green Bay 20

London, England: Denver (2-5) vs. San Francisco (1-6), San Francisco favored by 1

Just how bad are the Broncos? The 49ers are starting QB Troy Smith in this game and I didn't even know Smith was on the roster until he was named the starter earlier this week. Smith can't be much worse than the other Smith, Alex. Plus, he definitely can't be any worse than the abomination that is David Carr, who tossed away the Niners chance at a win last weekend. The Broncos are coming off one of the most embarrassing losses in NFL history, a 59-14 whipping at home against the lowly Oakland Raiders. The Broncos do one thing well, pass the ball and that isn't a recipe for success. The Niners still think they can make the playoffs but sitting 3 1/2 games behind the division leading Seahawks, it is time to start thinking about 2011. Poor London deserves a better game.

Prediction: San Francisco 6, Denver 2

Tennessee (5-2) at San Diego (2-5), San Diego favored by 3 1/2

NFL "experts" seem mystified that the Chargers, despite having a potent offense and an effective defense, are 2-5. Obviously, they forget that the Chargers are coached by one of the worst head coaches in NFL history, Norv Turner. Of course a Norv Turner coached team would have two plays in the same game, where their team turns the ball over for stupid reasons. It looks like QB Vince Young may return for this game, but the Titans certainly didn't miss him last weekend against the Eagles. Despite my bashing of Norv Turner, I really like QB Philip Rivers and hope that fantasy dud RB Ryan Mathews finally does something.

Prediction: San Diego 27, Tennessee 24

Seattle (4-2) at Oakland (3-4), Oakland favored by 2 1/2

Where the hell did that performance from Oakland come from last week? I think my favorite part of it was despite them putting up 59 points, QB Jason Campbell still found a way to put up pedestrian numbers. RB Darren McFadden is finally showing the electricity that he displayed while a Razorback in college. Oakland has been trying to win 2 games in a row for a few years now, and facing a bad Seattle road team will allow them to finally achieve that goal. I'll predict another offensive outburst from Oakland, but it wouldn't shock me to see them put up 6 points a week after putting up 59.

Prediction: Oakland 30, Seattle 20

Minnesota (2-4) at New England (5-1), Line is Off the Board

Will the streak finally end? Will Brett Favre site this one out with his fractured ankle? Reports are that the Vikings are leaning towards sitting Favre and bringing Tavaris Jackson out of moth balls to start this game. I will believe it when I see it. If Favre wants to play he will play. Either way, it won't make much of a difference as the Patriots are a better team than Minnesota. Lost in all of the Favre drama is WR Randy Moss making his return to New England. Look for Moss to have 2 TDs.

Prediction: New England 24, Minnesota 20

Tampa Bay (4-2) at Arizona (3-3), Arizona favored by 3

These two teams may have records that look pretty good but they both suck. Arizona is at least somewhat capable at home, but the Bucs have proven they can beat crappy teams. The Cardinals are a crappy team so the Bucs should go to 5-2 after this week. I have been impressed with Bucs QB Josh Freeman, he looks like a star in the making.

Prediction: Tampa Bay 23, Arizona 14

Pittsburgh (5-1) at New Orleans (4-3), New Orleans favored by 1

Remember when I predicted that the Falcons would be the surprise winners of the NFC South? That prediction is looking better and better each week. Remember when I said the Saints were definitely going to suffer a Super Bowl hangover? That prediction is looking better and better each week. However, I can't take full credit as I didn't expect the Saints to lose to sorry teams like the Cardinals and Browns. Of course QB Drew Brees starts throwing interceptions like its his job when I have him on my fantasy football team. The Saints have sorely missed RBs Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush, and also have missed their defense creating turnovers. The Steelers look like they may be the best team in the NFL and a win at the Superdome will further cement that belief. If Brees can't handle the Browns defense, what will he do against a fantastic Steelers defense?

Prediction: Pittsburgh 34, New Orleans 24

Monday, November 1

Houston (4-2) at Indianapolis (4-2), Indianapolis favored by 5 1/2

The Colts have been besieged by injuries. Losing TE Dallas Clark for the season probably kills their chances of winning the Super Bowl as I predicted in August. However, they still have the best player in all of football in Peyton Manning. Manning will find a way to make chicken salad out of chicken shit. The Texans have looked pretty fraudtastic since beating the Colts up in Week 1. The Colts defense will have to slow down RB Arian Foster, who eviscerated the Colts in Week 1. This game will come down to the wire but Manning will find a way to will the Colts to the victory.

Prediction: Indianapolis 34, Houston 31

Overall Straight Up: 39-37
Overall Against the Spread: 38-36-2

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Cram Session - Week 9

After a few weeks of hiatus, Cram Session is back! I know how excited all four of you are about this. Some good games featuring Top 10 teams this week, as we move closer and closer to finding out who will be playing for the BCS Championship in January.

Games That Matter to Me That May Not Matter to You

Tulsa (4-3) at Notre Dame (4-4)

I can accept first year bumps in the road for new coach Brian Kelly, but getting thrashed 35-17 by Navy goes beyond a bump. I understand the Irish have been besieged by injuries but for a team that was supposedly game planning against Navy's triple option all off-season, to get demolished like they did was inexcusable. It appears another 6-6 finish is on the horizon. However, that assumes that Notre Dame will beat Tulsa, something the Irish definitely shouldn't do. This should be a high scoring game as neither team plays much defense, but can score points in bunches. Tulsa QB G.J. Kinne hasn't thrown an interception in three games and has 15 TDs on the season. The other offensive weapon to watch out for is WR Damaris Johnson. Johnson not only catches the ball, but is a rushing threat as well, averaging 10.8 yards per carry. Irish QB Dayne Crist had a rough go of it last week, and will hopefully have WR Michael Floyd at his disposal this week. I can't pick Notre Dame to lose at home to Tulsa, but I won't be shocked if it happens.

Prediction: Notre Dame 43, Tulsa 28

Top 10

#1 Auburn (8-0, 5-0) at Mississippi (3-4, 1-3)

This should be an interesting QB battle. Heisman front runner Cam Newton for Auburn against a guy that was considered a Heisman candidate last season, Jeremiah Masoli. After a slow start to the season Masoli has put up 9 TDs and 2 INTs in his last four games. Newton proved any skeptics wrong last week, as he destroyed a talented LSU defense. It will be interesting to see how the Tigers react to being the number one team, as that has been a curse for the last three weeks. I think the Tigers will stabilize things at the top this weekend.

Prediction: Auburn 45, Mississippi 31

#2 Oregon (7-0, 4-0) at USC (5-2, 2-2)

The Ducks are number one in the polls but number two in the BCS. The Trojans ended a two game losing streak two weeks ago by demolishing Cal. Some people are calling for the upset in this one, especially with how well Trojans QB Matt Barkley has played this season. However, to beat Oregon you have to be able to play defense and the Trojans haven't proven they can. Ducks RB LaMichael James is going to run all over the Trojans and keep the Ducks unbeaten.

Prediction: Oregon 40, USC 33

#4 TCU (8-0, 4-0) at UNLV (1-6, 1-2)

TCU plays tougher competition than Boise State and has been dominant, yet can't seem to get nearly the same amount of attention. Their biggest game of the season is next weekend at Utah, but the Horned Frogs are too good to allow UNLV to be a trap game.

Prediction: TCU 38, UNLV 6

#5 Michigan State (8-0, 4-0) at #18 Iowa (5-2, 2-1)

The Spartans kept their shocking unbeaten season going with a come from behind win against Northwestern. They are starting to resemble the Iowa Hawkeyes of last season. Creeping up the polls, finding ways to win, but everyone waiting for their eventual downfall. Most have picked this as the only possible game left for the Spartans to lose. However, I think the Spartans will win this one, but then shockingly lose to either Purdue or Penn State.

Prediction: Michigan State 24, Iowa 21

#6 Missouri (7-0, 3-0) at #14 Nebraska (6-1, 2-1)

A third straight marquee game for the Huskers in the Big 12. I almost wish this game was on the road as the Huskers have been dominant away from home, yet somehow lost to a sorry Texas team at home. The Huskers and the Tigers had a somewhat memorable game last season in Columbia. The Tigers dominated the Huskers for three quarters and Nebraska could get nothing going on offense. Then in the fourth quarter the defense created turnovers and the Huskers rolled to a win. The defense was able to force Tigers QB Blaine Gabbert into mistakes last season and I think they can do the same this year. It is all about QB Taylor Martinez for Nebraska. If he plays well they win, if he struggles they lose. Martinez proved he could throw the ball last week against Oklahoma State, but some of that had to do with the ineptness of the Cowboys defense. Missouri's defense has been excellent and is fourth in the nation in points allowed at 13.1 points per game. The winner of this game will have the inside track to earning the Big 12 North's spot in the Big 12 Championship Game. As much as I would like it to be the Huskers, I don't think it will be.

Prediction: Missouri 23, Nebraska 16

#8 Utah (7-0, 4-0) at Air Force (5-3, 3-2)

TCU is fortunate to face a patsy the week before their game against Utah. The Utes aren't so fortunate, as they have to travel to take on a tough Air Force team. I was way off the last time I picked the Utes to lose a game so maybe I am crazy for doing it again, but I think the Utes will suffer a letdown ahead of their game against TCU.

Prediction: Air Force 27, Utah 24

Colorado (3-4, 0-3) at #9 Oklahoma (6-1, 2-1)

The curse of being number one hit the Sooners in a big way at Missouri last weekend. I think the Sooners pretty much became number one by default and no one truly believed they were the best team in the country. Poor Colorado will get to face the Sooners frustration this weekend and it won't be pretty.

Prediction: Oklahoma 37, Colorado 17

Overall: 52-7

Friday, October 8, 2010

The Hail Mary - Week 5

There are more storylines than you can shake a stick at in Monday night's game at the New Meadowlands between the New York Jets and the Minnesota Vikings. It was already intriguing enough with it being the return of Brett Favre to New York, but it got even more interesting with the Vikings acquisition of WR Randy Moss. Moss is back where it all started, in Minnesota and I am going to have to dust off my old Vikings 84 jersey.

Week 5 - Sunday, October 10

Jacksonville (2-2) at Buffalo (0-4), Line is EVEN

My gut was telling me that Jacksonville would be competitive with the Colts but I chose not to listen. The Jaguars are seemingly schizophrenic but I think the bad Jags will show up in Buffalo. Buffalo is not nearly as hard a place to win at as it used to be, but for a team like Jacksonville, I can see the elements causing some issues. Besides, the Bills have to win sometime don't they?

Prediction: Buffalo 24, Jacksonville 17

Tampa Bay (2-1) at Cincinnati (2-2), Cincinnati favored by 6 1/2

Cincinnati will be happy to be home again, as they had to go on the road in three of their first four games. It remains to be seen if Tampa can build on their 2-0 start or if they will revert back to the levels of losing that were expected of them. Bengals QB Carson Palmer finally showed something last week and it allowed WR Terrell Owens to have a break out game. Bengals get back on the winning track but it will be close.

Prediction: Cincinnati 20, Tampa Bay 14

Atlanta (3-1) at Cleveland (1-3), Atlanta favored by 3

Another week where Vegas seems to be giving the Browns a lot of respect. RB Peyton Hillis has been a beast for the Browns and carried them on his back the last two weeks. The Falcons were lucky to escape with a win against my hapless Niners. Atlanta is a team I like this year, and I will chalk up their poor performance against the Niners as a hangover from their huge win against the Saints.

Prediction: Atlanta 23, Cleveland 17

St. Louis (2-2) at Detroit (0-4), Detroit favored by 3

When was the last time the Lions were favored in a game? The Rams have won two straight and are actually tied for first in the NFC West. It might turn out that the Redskins loss to the Rams won't look so bad come the end of the year. Rams QB Sam Bradford is definitely the real deal, it is too bad the Lions young gun Matthew Stafford will miss this game with an injury. I think the Rams are improving but until they show they can win on the road, I have to pick against them.

Prediction: Detroit 27, St. Louis 23

Kansas City (3-0) at Indianapolis (2-2), Indianapolis favored by 8

The Chiefs are the league's last undefeated team? Really? And even with that, they are 8 point underdogs to a team that is just .500? Just shows how weird, wild and wacky the season has been through a month. The Colts took a major step back with their loss at Jacksonville but maybe it's more a problem they have of winning on the road. I think the Chiefs will be a playoff team this year, so I expect them to cover this spread but suffer their first loss in the process.

Prediction: Indianapolis 21, Kansas City 14

Green Bay (3-1) at Washington (2-2), Green Bay favored by 2 1/2

This is the second best game of the weekend. You could basically flip a coin to try to pick this game. I still consider QB Aaron Rodgers to be elite and remain upset that the 49ers passed on him, but his stats aren't all that impressive so far this season. 8 TDs to 5 INTs, and he is only averaging about 7 yards a pass. The Skins are coming off an emotional win at Philadelphia so the chance for a let down is there. It is also now the Ryan Torain show, as Clinton Portis will be out for at least a month. The Skins showed last week that they can shut down a team with plenty of weapons, although Rodgers is much greater than Kolb. The Skins offense will have to get on track, and QB Donovan McNabb will have to be smart with the ball. The Packers have a ball hawking defense and always seem to find a way to force turnovers. This will be a very competitive game, that will come down to Mason Crosby hitting a game winning field goal, breaking all of the Skins fans hearts.

Prediction: Green Bay 24, Washington 21

Chicago (3-1) at Carolina (0-4), Chicago favored by 2 1/2

Has a team ever gone from looking like an elite team to being exposed as a fluke fraud as quickly as the Bears did last week against the Giants? There is no way this team is doing anything this year with that offensive line. The Panthers played the Saints well in New Orleans but their last drive was an abomination in clock management. I thought maybe Les Miles had started coaching them. QB Jimmy Clausen won't have Steve Smith so hopefully the Panthers finally figure out they are a running team and should just pound the ball with DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. However, with lame duck coach John Fox still running things, I don't expect that to happen. Even without Cutler, the Bears win.

Prediction: Chicago 14, Carolina 13

Denver (2-2) at Baltimore (3-1), Baltimore favored by 7

Denver's win at Tennessee really caught me off guard. Also catching me off guard is that Kyle Orton is one of the best QB's in the so far this year, and WR Brandon Lloyd is one of the best receivers. The Ravens secondary, which was supposed to be their undoing, has been top notch, and will get a stern test from the Broncos. Denver can't run the ball at all and will likely be without RB Knowshon Moreno for a third straight week. I don't think you can beat the Ravens without a running game, but you can definitely give them a run for their money.

Prediction: Baltimore 19, Denver 15

New York Giants (2-2) at Houston (3-1), Houston favored by 3

The Giants got a much needed win last weekend but the offense still seems out of sorts and turnover prone. Houston has the weapons on offense to take advantage of those mistakes, even if WR Andre Johnson misses a second straight game. RB Arian Foster is proving that he is legit and former Giant RB Derrick Ward may make an impression on his old team.

Prediction: Houston 30, New York Giants 20

New Orleans (3-1) at Arizona (2-2), New Orleans favored by 7

Undrafted rookie free agent QB Max Hall out of BYU makes his first career NFL start. From a potential Hall of Famer in Kurt Warner to Hall in just one season, quite the drop for the Cardinals. The Saints have had nothing but close games this season but if they can't beat the daylights out of a crap team with a raw QB, then they have a worse Super Bowl hangover than I thought.

Prediction: New Orleans 35, Arizona 17

Tennessee (2-2) at Dallas (1-2), Dallas favored by 6 1/2

All it took was one Cowboy win for all their bandwagon fans to start making noise again. Some people think Dallas is going to roll the Titans. The Titans loss at home to Denver was surprising but I still think they are capable of being a good team. The Titans played very well at New York two weeks ago and I expect them to put forth a tough effort at Dallas. RB Chris Johnson has been quiet for too long, hopefully he finally breaks one this weekend. When it comes down to it though, Romo > Young.

Prediction: Dallas 26, Tennessee 20

San Diego (2-2) at Oakland (1-3), San Diego favored by 6

This is a pick I may want to have back on Monday morning but the Chargers have been an awful road team thus far. The Raiders hung around with Houston, and I think they can do the same with the Chargers.

Prediction: San Diego 27, Oakland 23

Philadelphia (2-2) at San Francisco (0-4), San Francisco favored by 3 1/2

Vegas just can't quit the Niners it seems. The Niners played far better than I expected in Atlanta and would have won the game if dumb ass CB Nate Clements had either secured the ball on his interception or simply gone down and allowed the Niners to attempt to bleed the clock. It was a brutal loss. With all that being said the Niners still just sit two games out in the putrid NFC West. If they can't win this game at home, against an Eagles team with the underwhelming Kevin Kolb at QB and possibly without RB LaSean McCoy, then the Niners may go 0-16. If the Niners and Smith bring the same effort they brought against the Saints at home, a much needed win will finally come.

Prediction: San Francisco 20, Philadelphia 17

Monday, October 11

Minnesota (1-2) at New York Jets (3-1), New York Jets favored by 4

As I touched on above this is the game of the week in the NFL. Randy Moss will be playing in his second straight Monday night, and something tells me he won't be held catchless in this one. Hopefully, Jets CB Darrelle Revis will man up and stop hiding behind injury. He may decide to sit this one out though, especially after Moss embarrassed him in New York three weeks ago. I think the addition of Moss will bring a renewed energy to the Vikings offense and more importantly to QB Brett Favre. For the Vikings to win it will be up to the offensive line. The running game will have to be productive and Favre can't get hit like has been in recent weeks. It seems like a lot, but I think the Vikings defense can fluster QB Mark Sanchez, and finally force him into some turnovers. The Vikings front four can definitely slow down Jets RBs Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson. The Vikings will get a much needed win as they start this brutal stretch of their schedule.

Prediction: Minnesota 19, New York Jets 16

Last Week Straight Up: 7-7
Overall Straight Up: 34-28

Last Week Against the Spread: 5-9
Overall Against the Spread: 32-28-2