#8 Butler (28-9) vs. #3 Connecticut (31-9)Once again Butler is back in the National Title game, and once again they are facing a traditional power. 34-year old Brad Stevens will try to hand 68-year old Jim Calhoun his first loss in a NCAA Championship game.
In the battle of mid-majors, Butler outlasted VCU, 70-62. In typical Butler fashion, it wasn't pretty, the Bulldogs shot just 36%, but they got a great game from G Shelvin Mack, and dominated the Rams on the boards.
Connecticut took down Kentucky, 55-54. Outstanding G Kemba Walker, did just enough, overcoming 4 turnovers and a poor shooting night, scoring 18 points to pace the Huskies. UCONN couldn't buy a basket from three point range, but hit their free throws, unlike Kentucky who was awful from the line.
I won't channel Digger Phelps and tell you that one of these teams will win because they are on a mission. I will tell you that Connecticut is going to win simply because they are better. How can I pick against a team that has not lost a tournament game all season? They won the Maui Invitational, the Big East Tournament and now just stand one win from the NCAA Championship. It is an incredible run, and one that would not be possible without Walker. However, Walker has received some help from fellow guard Jeremy Lamb, and Roscoe Smith and Alex Oriakhi have given the Huskies a needed presence down low.
I don't think Butler has the bodies to match up with Connecticut. They will attempt to slow the pace and make the game ugly but I think Walker's ability to dribble and drive can negate that. I think Matt Howard will be in foul trouble early, and I also think that Shelvin Mack will not dominate the game like he did against VCU. Plus, Butler was really aided by their ability to dominate VCU on the glass. It is hard to lose when your guards, such as Mack and Nored each are pulling down 6 rebounds. No way that the Huskies allow that to happen.
Despite all I have said above, I still anticipate a close game that will be exciting down to the final minutes. The Huskies will once again come out of the West region as National Champions, and Jim Calhoun may finally ride off into the sunset.
Prediction: Connecticut 63, Butler 58
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