Cram Session - Week 14

Thursday, December 1

Philadelphia (4-7) at Seattle (4-7), Philadelphia favored by 3

Well I feel foolish for picking the Eagles to make the Super Bowl. Philadelphia surprised everyone by beating the Giants and then were leading the Patriots 10-0. Thoughts of perhaps resurrecting their season had to be returning. But then Tom Brady took over the game and the Patriots destroyed Philadelphia. The Eagles are now just playing out the string, while Andy Reid might be coaching to save his job. Vince Young will make his third straight start as Michael Vick misses yet another game. They probably should just shut Vick down for the season, its not like it really matters or anything. The Eagles will also be without Jeremy Maclin, Antonio Rodgers-Cromartie, and possibly LeSean McCoy. Most teams would be hurt by their best player being out, but Reid doesn't understand that McCoy is his best player so he probably won't notice. The Seahawks couldn't beat the sorry Redskins at home, which is the only reason I think the Eagles win this snorefest.

Prediction: Philadelphia 23, Seattle 19


Top 10 - Friday, December 2

Pac-12 Championship Game: UCLA (6-6, 5-4) at #9 Oregon (10-2, 8-1)

What an exciting start to a new era of conference championships in the Pac-12! I know sarcasm doesn't always come through on the Internet, so yes, I am being sarcastic. Due to NCAA sanctions against USC, the second place team from the Pac-12 South, UCLA get's to play for the Pac-12 championship. Even better, when they lose and drop to 6-7, they have been granted a waiver that will allow them to play in a bowl game despite having a losing record. The Bruins might be motivated to play for outgoing coach Rick Neuheisel but any motivation they had playing for him when he was the coach obviously wasn't enough, so why would it be any different now? This one will get ugly in a hurry, but I do think the Bruins will at least put up some points, unlike their embarrassing 50-0 loss to USC last weekend. The Ducks had national title aspirations to start the season but a Rose Bowl trip isn't bad consolation.

Prediction: Oregon 45, UCLA 17

Saturday, December 3

SEC Championship Game: #1 LSU (12-0, 8-0) vs. #14 Georgia (10-2, 7-1) in Atlanta, Georgia

LSU is in the rare position where even if they lose this game they likely will play for the national title. I am not on the playoff train like a lot of people are but if the BCS ends up pitting LSU and Alabama, with neither having won their conference title, that is something that will make me go hmmmmmmmmmmmm. Thankfully, odds of that happening are slim as only one team has given the Tigers fits this year, and they won't be playing them until January. Georgia is hot, winners of 10 straight but they also feasted on an easier schedule that allowed them to avoid LSU, Alabama, and Arkansas. The Tigers will be tested on defense as they try to contain Bulldogs QB Aaron Murray and RB Isaiah Crowell. They have passed every test they have faced thus far and I expect Saturday to be no different. They will keep winning with the formula of lots of defense, just enough offense, and the Honey Badger Tyrann Mathieu, taking over the game.

Prediction: LSU 28, Georgia 14

#10 Oklahoma (9-2, 6-2) at #3 Oklahoma State (10-1, 7-1)

The Big 12 lost its championship game when the conference shrunk to 10 but ended up with one to close the season as the Sooners travel to Stillwater for Bedlam. The winner of this game wins the Big 12 and heads to a BCS bowl. The Cowboys have a slight chance at reaching the BCS Championship if they can beat the Sooners impressively. This game is a toss up as both teams have high powered offenses and shaky defenses. The Sooners have owned the series in recent history but this is the year I think the Cowboys change the tide. I got burned on this last week when I picked Virginia over the Hokies using the law of averages rule. But I think this game is different. The Sooners have not shown the ability to slow down high powered offenses, so I expect Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon to have big games. The key for the Cowboys will be avoiding the turnovers that plagued them in the loss to Iowa State. The Sooners will miss Ryan Broyles in this game, with his absence being felt on the last drive of the game when Landry Jones will fail to lead the comeback.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 35, Oklahoma 34

ACC Championship Game: #5 Virginia Tech (11-1, 7-1) vs. #20 Clemson (9-3, 6-2) in Charlotte, North Carolina

Hokie graduate Eileen Jarvis doesn't want me to do this, but I think the Hokies will win another ACC championship this weekend. I picked Tech to lose to both Georgia Tech and Virginia and we all know how those turned out. She is worried that with me picking Tech this weekend, it will cause them to be upset by Clemson. The Tigers throttled Virginia Tech in their first meeting but both teams have taken vastly different directions since then. The Hokies have been unbeaten, while Clemson is on a two game losing streak, and were routed in each loss. Each team has their share of star position players, with Tech led by QB Logan Thomas and ACC Player of the Year, RB David Wilson. Clemson has QB Tajh Boyd, RB Andre Ellington, and WR Sammy Watkins. However, in this game it will be the Hokies defense that carries the day. They feel very slighted after not having a single defensive player named to first team all ACC. I expect them to force Clemson into multiple turnovers and Wilson to have a huge game running the ball.

Prediction: Virginia Tech 27, Clemson 20

Conference USA Championship Game: #24 Southern Mississippi (10-2, 6-2) at #6 Houston (12-0, 8-0)

I thought the Cougars were primed to be upset going on the road to Tulsa last weekend. For the first half it looked like I might be right, but then Case Keenum went off like he always does and the Cougars cruised. Now they try to win the Conference USA Championship and in all likelihood earn a shot to prove they can compete with the best in a BCS bowl. If Brett Favre were able to come back and quarterback Southern Miss I might be tempted to pick them, but alas, he used up his eligibility.

Prediction: Houston 37, Southern Mississippi 24

New Mexico (1-10, 1-5) at #7 Boise State (10-1, 5-1)

New Mexico sucks, Boise State is good, Boise cruises to victory, fin.

Prediction: Boise State 55, New Mexico 13

Last Week: 7-2
Overall: 111-18

The Cram Mary

Thanksgiving is just two days away so the regular Thursday Cram Session, and Friday Hail Mary go by the wayside during this holiday week. Instead, to go with the Thanksgiving theme, I am giving you a jumbo sized edition combining both into The Cram Mary. No long write ups this week either, I have earned a one week break. Have a Happy Thanksgiving and enjoy the games!

College Football - Week 13

Games That Matter to Me

Friday, November 25

Iowa (7-4, 4-3) at #21 Nebraska (8-3, 4-3)

Prediction: Nebraska 27, Iowa 21

Saturday, November 26

#22 Notre Dame (8-3) at #6 Stanford (10-1)

Prediction: Stanford 31, Notre Dame 27

Top 10 - Friday, November 25

#3 Arkansas (10-1, 6-1) at #1 LSU (11-0, 7-0)

Prediction: LSU 28, Arkansas 20

#8 Houston (11-0, 7-0) at Tulsa (8-3, 7-0)

Prediction: Tulsa 42, Houston 38

Saturday, November 26

#2 Alabama (10-1, 6-1) at #24 Auburn (7-4, 4-3)

Prediction: Alabama 20, Auburn 17

#5 Virginia Tech (10-1, 6-1) at Virginia (8-3, 5-2)

Prediction: Virginia 26, Virgina Tech 23

Wyoming (7-3, 4-1) at #7 Boise State (9-1, 4-1)

Prediction: Boise State 35, Wyoming 21

Iowa State (6-4, 3-4) at #9 Oklahoma (8-2, 5-2)

Prediction: Oklahoma 34, Iowa State 24

Oregon State (3-8, 3-5) at #10 Oregon (9-2, 7-1)

Prediction: Oregon 38, Oregon State 21

Last Week: 8-4
Overall: 104-16


NFL - Week 12

Thursday, November 17

Green Bay (10-0) at Detroit (7-3), Green Bay favored by 6

Prediction: Detroit 30, Green Bay 27

Miami (3-7) at Dallas (6-4), Dallas favored by 7

Prediction: Dallas 27, Miami 21

San Francisco (9-1) at Baltimore (7-3), Baltimore favored by 4 1/2

Prediction: San Francisco 20, Baltimore 17

Sunday, November 27

Minnesota (2-8) at Atlanta (6-4), Atlanta favored by 9 1/2

Prediction: Atlanta 26, Minnesota 17

Cleveland (4-6) at Cincinnati (6-4), Cincinnati favored by 7 1/2

Prediction: Cincinnati 24, Cleveland 21

Tampa Bay (4-6) at Tennessee (5-5), Tennessee favored by 3

Prediction: Tampa Bay 24, Tennessee 23

Carolina (2-8) at Indianapolis (0-10), Carolina favored by 4

Prediction: Carolina 28, Indianapolis 19

Arizona (3-7) at St. Louis (2-8), No Line

Prediction: Arizona 21, St. Louis 14

Buffalo (5-5) at New York Jets (5-5), New York Jets favored by 8 1/2

Prediction: New York Jets 24, Buffalo 17

Houston (7-3) at Jacksonville (3-7), Houston favored by 3

Prediction: Houston 16, Jacksonville 12

Chicago (7-3) at Oakland (6-4), Oakland favored by 3 1/2

Prediction: Oakland 28, Chicago 17

Washington (3-7) at Seattle (4-6), Seattle favored by 4 1/2

Prediction: Seattle 23, Washington 20

New England (7-3) at Philadelphia (4-6), No Line

Prediction: New England 31, Philadelphia 24

Denver (5-5) at San Diego (4-6), San Diego favored by 6 1/2

Prediction: San Diego 27, Denver 25

Pittsburgh (7-3) at Kansas City (4-6), Pittsburgh favored by 10 1/2

Prediction: Pittsburgh 35, Kansas City 14

Monday, November 28

New York Giants (6-4) at New Orleans (7-3), New Orleans favored by 7

Prediction: New York Giants 31, New Orleans 28

Last Week Straight Up: 10-4
Overall Straight Up: 100-60

Last Week Against the Spread: 7-5-2
Overall Against the Spread: 78-77-5

The Hail Mary - Week 11

We were all spoiled by last week's games as this week the schedule is utter poop again. There are only two games between teams with winning records this weekend. However, the good news is this is the last week of byes, so we have full schedules for the rest of the season. It's also Dallas Sunday for the Redskins but the fan base has been so beaten down that the questions seems to be not whether the Redskins will win or not, but whether they will score a touchdown.

Week 11 - Sunday, November 20

Jacksonville (3-6) at Cleveland (3-6), Jacksonville favored by 1

I am only talking about this game because I talk about every game. I look forward to whoever the poor announce team for this game is, trying to convince everyone that these two teams are playing good football, then watching one of the teams blow an extra point.

Prediction: Jacksonville 16, Cleveland 13

Carolina (2-7) at Detroit (6-3), Detroit favored by 7

Huge game for the Lions, because with the Packers coming to Detroit on Thanksiving, a loss here would leave them at 6-5 by next week and in complete free fall mode. The offense was dreadful last week, with QB Matthew Stafford throwing four interceptions and having one of the worst games of his career. Panthers QB Cam Newton had his first rookie like performance in a blowout lass against the Titans last week. I think he will get back to his regular form this week and look forward to watching Ndamukong Suh and him colliding at some point. I expect this game to be close but the Lions to get a much needed win.

Prediction: Detroit 28, Carolina 23

Tampa Bay (4-5) at Green Bay (9-0), Green Bay favored by 14 1/2

Tampa looked awful at home last week and seems to have regressed from last season. Or, they actually are having to play a tough schedule this season and are paying for it. I watched about two seconds of the Packers destruction of Minnesota, but I know that Aaron Rodgers continues to play out of his mind. I have learned my lesson, as long as the Packers have Rodgers, I will keep picking them to win, and to cover 2 touchdown spreads.

Prediction: Green Bay 35, Tampa Bay 17

Buffalo (5-4) at Miami (2-7), Miami favored by 2 1/2

Another team falling apart is the Bills. The Bills and Lions were nice stories to start the year, but the season is a marathon, not a sprint, and it seems that both are reverting to their more expected form. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been struggling for the past 6 games, and if Fred Jackson is held in check like he was by Dallas, the Bills have no offense. The Dolphins have won two straight and even won a home game last weekend. Unfortunately, they have put themselves out of the Andrew Luck sweepstakes, but maybe they could still get Matt Barkley. However, if they keep winning, that may get to be impossible.

Prediction: Miami 20, Buffalo 17

Oakland (5-4) at Minnesota (2-7), Oakland favored by 1 1/2

Curious line in this game. The Vikings are better at home, and the Raiders are pretty up and down, but still, just a 1 1/2 point favorite? If I gambled for real, this game would be my biggest play. Michael Bush is a more than capable fill in for Darren McFadden, and Carson Palmer seemed to shake off the rust last week at San Diego. Vikings QB Christian Ponder is still learning, so it will be on Adrian Peterson's shoulders to have a big game if the Vikings hope to spring the upset.

Prediction: Oakland 28, Minnesota 20

Dallas (5-4) at Washington (3-6), Dallas favored by 7 1/2

With two straight wins the Cowboys are back in the discussion for the NFC East. With five straight losses the Redskins are in the discussion for a Top 5 draft pick. The Redskins went back to Rex Grossman after it was becoming apparent that they had somehow found another quarterback that was actually worse than Rex in John Beck. Rex was able to move the offense against Miami, but then remembered that he is garbage and threw a terrible interception at the goal line. Leonard Hankerson made his presence known in that game, so of course he hurt himself and is now out for the season. Hopefully, RB Roy Helu get's the start in this game, because aside from a couple quarters against St. Louis Ryan Torain has done nothing. I am positive we will see Tony Romo hit Dez Bryant for a long touchdown at some point, and expect Jason Witten to kill the Redskins linebackers. DeMarco Murray and the returning Felix Jones will also have good games. All of that being said, I think the Redskins will score not one, but two touchdowns!!! Sadly, while it will be enough to cover the spread, it won't be enough to win the game.

Prediction: Dallas 24, Washington 17

Cincinnati (6-3) at Baltimore (6-3), Baltimore favored by 7

Cincinnati gave the Steelers a battle but showed that they are still way too young and inexperienced to compete with the best. The Ravens did what they have done just about all season, follow up a huge win, with an embarrassing loss. LB Ray Lewis will probably miss his first game since 2007, but the Ravens are talented enough on defense where that won't be too much of a loss. The Bengals are hoping that A.J. Green can play, as they really missed him in the latter stages of the Steelers game. The Bengals running game has been stagnant as of late, and I don't expect the Ravens to let Cedric Benson get 100 yards like Marshawn Lynch did last weekend. This is another game for the Bengals where they will come close but just short of a win.

Prediction: Baltimore 20, Cincinnati 14

Seattle (3-6) at St. Louis (2-7), St. Louis favored by 2

The Seahawks have a terrible record but their wins against 6-3 Baltimore, and 6-3 New York Giants are impressive. They might have the building blocks to be a contender next season. The Rams squeaked out a win in Cleveland, so Sam Bradford will be looking for his first home win of the season. The Seahawks are generally an awful road team, so the Rams are the pick here.

Prediction: St. Louis 17, Seattle 14

Arizona (3-6) at San Francisco (8-1), San Francisco favored by 9 1/2

The Niners were in the spotlight last weekend and responded, beating the Giants in a great game. I wasn't surprised that San Francisco won, but I was surprised that they were able to win without an effective running game. It seemed the formula to beat the 49ers was stop the running game and make Alex Smith beat you. But Smith made plays when he needed to and while he is still mediocre, has improved vastly from when he was a liability. Defensively, the 49ers have one of the best defenses, if not the best defense in the league. They would have to play an A game to beat Green Bay, but their defense makes me believe that they definitely can compete with the Packers. Oh, about this game against Arizona this weekend? The Cardinals have won two straight, but those wins come against sorry teams. This weekend, John Skelton remembers that he isn't very good.

Prediction: San Francisco 27, Arizona 17

Tennessee (5-4) at Atlanta (5-4), Atlanta favored by 6

By record this is the second best game of the weekend, but only 4 people in the country are probably talking about it. Mike Smith was getting killed all week for his questionable decision to go for it on 4th and inches in overtime at his own 29. The stat geeks have all their numbers of why it was a good idea, but stats don't overrule common sense. Have some faith in your defense, and don't worry about what happened in a game with different plays last year or two years ago. The Titans played great defensively last weekend against Carolina, and should have some swagger going into this game. I expect this one to go back and forth and come down to who has the ball last. Unfortunately for the Titans it will be Matty Ice that leads the Falcons to a game winning drive.

Prediction: Atlanta 28, Tennessee 24

San Diego (4-5) at Chicago (6-3), Chicago favored by 3 1/2

Do people finally believe me that the Chargers suck? I wanted to pick Oakland to beat them last weekend but caved to pressure from all the dumdums who insisted the Chargers were actually good. Philip Rivers isn't playing well this season, they don't have any sort of identity on offense and add terrible coaching to that, and you have a 4-5 team. Maybe this is finally the year that Norv Turner get's the axe. Has there ever been a coach as bad as him that has gotten such long leashes and as many chances? The Bears are on fire right now, winners of four straight. The offense is clicking, especially the running game, the offensive line is coming together, and the defense is playing outstanding. Not to mention their special teams with Devin Hester is dangerous as always. It will be fun watching Rivers and Jay Cutler duel again. They never liked each other when Cutler was at Denver, so there could be some back and forth in this game.

Prediction: Chicago 28, San Diego 21

Philadelphia (3-6) at New York Giants (6-3), New York Giants favored by 4 1/2

I kept believing the Eagles were too talented to be as bad as their record indicated and eventually would turn on the burners. But after losing at home to Arizona and John Skelton, I accept that my Super Bowl pick may only win six games this season. They are the second worst coached team in the league and for as much good as Andy Reid has done in Philadelphia I believe it is time for a new voice. The Eagles are also more proof that just putting together a bunch of players from free agency hardly ever works. I should have known that after watching the Redskins try it for years, but I thought the Eagles were different because they were actually good before making all the signings this past off-season. As for the Giants, I don't agree that Eli Manning is elite but he did make some very impressive throws against the 49ers. It will be fitting this Sunday when the most hyped team in the league has the final nail put in their coffin on a national stage.

Prediction: New York Giants 29, Philadelphia 21

Monday, November 21

Kansas City (4-5) at New England (6-3), New England favored by 14 1/2

The Chiefs get to stink up prime time for the next two weeks. They wouldn't have been all that appealing to watch with Matt Cassel, and now with him out and Tyler Palko starting, it will be downright ugly for them against the Patriots this Monday night and the Steelers next Sunday night. The Patriots took back control of the AFC East with an impressive win over the Jets and showed that while they aren't near what they were in their dynasty days, they still won't lose three straight games as long as Bill Belichick is coach. I expect the offense to have another strong game and Palko to struggle mightily for the Chiefs.

Prediction: New England 34, Kansas City 10

Last Week Straight Up: 7-9
Overall Straight Up: 90-56

Last Week Against the Spread: 7-9
Overall Against the Spread: 71-72-3

Cram Session - Week 12

Thursday, November 17

New York Jets (5-4) at Denver (4-5), New York Jets favored by 6

The Denver Broncos beat the Kansas City Chiefs even though Tim Tebow completed just two passes the entire game. One of those passes was a long bomb to Eric Decker, but that stat line will probably remain the most mystifying stat line of a winning quarterback in the history of the NFL. I'm not hating on Tebow though, Denver is 3-1 since he became the starter and at the end of the day, the quarterback gets the blame when the team loses, so he deserves the credit if they win. That being said, there is not a chance in hell the Broncos can beat the New York Jets by only completing two passes. I think the Broncos can have success running the ball but they will need to find some semblance of balance. I happen to think that they will. Everyone is so sure that the Jets can destroy Denver, but the Jets are coming off a very quick turnaround, playing a Sunday night game, to a Thursday night game. Not to mention that Sunday night game was a demoralizing loss to the New England Patriots. The Jets have been up and down all season, and after everyone was feeling good during their three game winning streak, Jets fans are back on the ledge now. Mark Sanchez is not showing the type of improvement in year three that the Jets would have liked, and the Jets remain a team that has to effectively run the ball to win. Shonn Greene will get the carries tonight, with LaDainian Tomlinson out with an injury. People think this game could be a blowout, but I expect the Broncos to hang around and keep it interesting, just can't see Tebow beating this defense.

Prediction: New York Jets 19, Denver 13

Games That Matter to Me

#16 Nebraska (8-2, 4-2) at #18 Michigan (8-2, 4-2)

Nebraska was in a tough spot last week, taking on Penn State in a highly emotional atmosphere, and was able to come away with the win. As I predicted the Nittany Lions came out flat, then battled back but the Husker showed poise in holding on to the victory. Now they travel to Michigan Stadium. The Huskers likely won't play for the Big Ten championship but if they win out they would likely be able to earn an at-large BCS bid. The Wolverines have had one of their better seasons in years and a lot of that has to do with the vastly improved play of their defense. Michigan is 5th in the country in points allowed per game, giving up just 15 points per contest. The only time their defense has looked vulnerable this season is when they gave up 31 points to Notre Dame in Week 2. QB Denard Robinson isn't quite as electrifying as he was last season, and his passing numbers are down considerably from last season. He is only completing 52% of his passes and has thrown 13 INTs. However, he still remains a threat running the ball, as he has racked up 12 rushing TDs. That being said, the last four weeks his yardage has been way down and he has struggled with injuries. Sophomore Fitzgerald Touissant is the Wolverines other rushing option, and he is coming off a monster game against Illinois. Touissant rushed for 192 yards and a touchdown in the Wolverines 31-14 victory over the Illini. The story remains the same for the Huskers, if Rex Burkhead can rush the ball effectively, Nebraska will likely win. He was able to do that against a stout Penn State defense, so I think he can against Michigan. The difference will be, whereas Penn State has no offense, the Wolverines can actually score. Plus, I think its a lot to ask of the Huskers to win at Penn State and at Michigan in back to back weeks.

Prediction: Michigan 24, Nebraska 17

Boston College (3-7) at Notre Dame (7-3)

In recent history Senior Day hasn't always been kind to the Irish. With Boston College's poor record this game reminds me of when Syracuse came to South Bend a few years ago and stunned Notre Dame. However, I believe this Irish squad is much better than that flawed team. The Irish looked fantastic in person last weekend, although the ineptness of the Twerps helped their cause. The only chance Boston College has in this game is if the Irish revert back to their bumbling, turnover prone form they have shown far too often this season. The Eagles are atrocious on offense and not much better on defense. The Eagles have no real play makers on offense so they will count on their best player, the nation's leading tackler LB Luke Kuechly. The Irish will say goodbye to Michael Floyd, probably the best wide receiver in Notre Dame history. Floyd will end up being a great pro I believe, and not a bust as Golden Tate appears to be. QB Dayne Crist might also see some action if the game get's hand out of hand, as he is also a senior.

Prediction: Notre Dame 48, Boston College 17

Top 10 - Thursday, November 17

North Carolina (6-4, 2-4) at #8 Virginia Tech (9-1, 5-1)

The Hokies are a hard team to figure out. They scratched and clawed their way to an impressive road win over Georgia Tech and are in the driver's seat for another ACC Championship game. Their rivals, the Virginia Cavaliers are still lurking, and the Hokies can't look past the Tar Heels tonight. Carolina is stumbling coming into this game, losing three of four and suffered an embarrassing shut out against NC State in their last game. Hokies win on Senior Night, and with Virginia having to play Florida State this weekend, may even end up clinching the Coastal division this weekend.

Prediction: Virginia Tech 24, North Carolina 13

Friday, November 18

#2 Oklahoma State (10-0, 7-0) at Iowa State (5-4, 2-4)

This has trap game written all over it. The Cowboys have almost taken care of business leading into their Bedlam battle with Oklahoma. Because of that I think the Cowboys may come out a little flat for this one, but the road has proven to be no issue for Oklahoma State all season. That was never more evident than the complete destruction they put on Texas Tech in Lubbock last weekend, in a 66-6 rout. A slow start won't be enough for the Cyclones to spring the huge upset, but it may allow them to cover the spread.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 47, Iowa State 24

Saturday, November 19

#1 LSU (10-0, 6-0) at Ole Miss (2-8, 0-6)

The Houston Nutt era is slowly, and pathetically coming to an end. As for LSU, they want to keep everyone healthy and be ready to host Arkansas next Friday.

Prediction: LSU 41, Ole Miss 3

Georgia Southern (9-1) at #3 Alabama (9-1)

This is titanic clash of 9-1 teams. Well, not quite. Georgia Southern has done pretty well in the FCS but this is their first test against an FBS team. I don't believe they will completely embarrass themselves and I even predict they will be able to score a touchdown on the vaunted Tide defense. Alabama will definitely be looking ahead to next Saturday when they have a chance to get revenge on Auburn for last season in the Iron Bowl.

Prediction: Alabama 38, Georgia Southern 7

USC (8-2, 5-2) at #4 Oregon (9-1, 7-0)

The Ducks continue to rule the Pac-10, now 12. I thought Stanford, especially being at home would be the the ones to knock Oregon off, but Oregon completely dominated the Cardinal. With that win they have entered themselves back into contention for the national championship. They have another test this weekend when they host USC. The Trojans have had a strong season but because of NCAA sanctions aren't eligible for a bowl, the Pac 12 championship or even to be ranked this season. USC QB Matt Barkley has been outstanding all season and figures to be leaving a year early for the pros. He may be without his favorite target for this game, WR Robert Woods. Woods has been dealing with several injuries and is highly questionable for the game. If he doesn't play that considerably hurts the Trojans chances. The presence and domination of LaMichael James will be the difference in this one.

Prediction: Oregon 41, USC 31

#5 Oklahoma (8-1, 5-1) at #22 Baylor (6-3, 3-3)

There are a couple intriguing subplots to this game. One is seeing Baylor QB Robert Griffin III go up against the Sooners defense, and the other is how the Sooners offense responds to losing WR Ryan Broyles for the season. It will be up to WR Kenny Stills to step up in Broyles absence. Despite what looks like a worse loss each passing week to Texas Tech, the Sooners are still very much in contention to play for the BCS Championship. Baylor barely eeked out a victory against awful Kansas, and will have to play out of their minds to have any chance in this game. I think Griffin can keep it interesting, but he can only do so much, and eventually the Sooners advantage in talent will carry them to a win.

Prediction: Oklahoma 42, Baylor 30

Mississippi (5-5, 1-5) at #6 Arkansas (9-1, 5-1)

The Razorbacks have remained under the radar most of the season and probably like it that way. They will have their chance to gain national recognition when they face #1 LSU next week. Until then, I expect they will just keep winning games.

Prediction: Arkansas 33, Mississippi State 19

#7 Clemson (9-1, 6-1) at NC State (5-5, 2-4)

Clemson clinched the Atlantic Division last week and is just playing out the string in this game. They still have very outside hopes of playing for the national championship, so maybe Dabo Swinney can use that to motivate his Tigers against NC State. He will need to do a lot to get them motivated as NC State just lost to an awful Boston College team. Clemson has had a pattern of starting slow as of late and finishing strong. I expect that to be the case in this game as well.

Prediction: Clemson 34, NC State 21

California (6-4, 3-4) at #9 Stanford (9-1, 7-1)

Stanford saw their Pac-12 title hopes and national title hopes go up in smoke last weekend. Andrew Luck's Heisman campaign also took a hit. I expect for Luck to get that back on track this weekend.

Prediction: Stanford 37, California 24

#10 Boise State (8-1, 3-1) at San Diego State (6-3, 3-2)

I was having a lot of success picking chalk for most of the season, but the upset bug has started creeping in. Boise fell victim to that last weekend, as they suffered a heartbreaking loss to TCU. While their national championship hopes are dashed, they still have a chance at a BCS bowl. They have to win their last three games though in order to have a chance to accomplish that. San Diego State is a decent team and Boise might have some struggles on the road. However, I can't see them losing two straight so I like them in a closer than the experts think result.

Prediction: Boise State 28, San Diego State 21

Last Week: 7-3
Overall: 96-12

The Hail Mary - Week 10

Middle ground doesn't exist with this week's games. There are either game between good teams or games between bad teams. Thankfully, the games between good teams are some really good ones, which could have a huge impact on the playoff race as the second half of the season kicks into gear.

Week 10 - Sunday, November 13

New Orleans (6-3) at Atlanta (5-3), Line is Even

This is one of those good games I was talking about. The Saints can either get a leg up in the NFC South with a win or the Falcons can move into first place for the first time this season. The Saints have been a Jekyll and Hyde team all season. They have been at their best when at home, but the road has proven to be a struggle. Their last road game was their most embarrassing performance of the season, when they were soundly defeated by the Rams. The Falcons are coming off their bye and currently are on a three game winning streak. Michael Turner has been running well as of late and Matt Ryan has improved his play after a slow start to the season. Home field advantage doesn't mean nearly as much in the NFL as it does college but the Saints are the exception to that rule. I think these two teams are very evenly matched, so will give the Falcons the edge at home.

Prediction: Atlanta 24, New Orleans 23

Pittsburgh (6-3) at Cincinnati (6-2), Pittsburgh favored by 3

Now is the time where we find out just how real the 6-2 Bengals are. In their next four games they play the Steelers twice and the Ravens once. I thought the Bengals were going to be the worst team in the league. They just seemed way too young and I had no idea QB Andy Dalton would be so poised in his rookie season. The Steelers are coming off a stomach punch loss at home to Baltimore. The defense, which had been playing better, couldn't get off the field on third down and then let Joe Unibrow drive the Ravens 92 yards for the game winning touchdown. I think Mike Tomlin will have the Steelers seething after that loss and a tough week of practice. I expect the defense to play well, and cause Dalton to make some rookie mistakes. I am picking against Cincy for the third straight week, maybe I will finally be right this time.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 22, Cincinnati 16

St. Louis (1-7) at Cleveland (3-5), Cleveland favored by 2 1/2

These teams suck and anyone who watches this game probably hates themselves.

Prediction: Cleveland 6, St. Louis 2

Buffalo (5-3) at Dallas (4-4), Dallas favored by 5 1/2

Dallas seems entirely overvalued by Vegas. They have one good win this whole season, and that was back in Week 2 against a 49ers team that was nowhere near the team they are now. The Bills did stumble badly at home last week against the Jets but I am not ready to say this is the beginning of their descent. Fred Jackson will be ready to bounce back after an awful game last week and I think Ryan Fitzpatrick and the passing game will have success moving the ball on the Cowboys. Dallas has been inconsistent all season and this just feels like a game they are going to lose.

Prediction: Buffalo 28, Dallas 24

Jacksonville (2-6) at Indianapolis (0-9), Jacksonville favored by 3

Call me crazy but I think this is the week the Colts finally get a victory. It will be ugly and this is another game where if you hate yourself you will be watching but the Colts aren't going to go 0-16. They have to win sometime and this is as good a chance as any.

Prediction: Indianapolis 10, Jacksonville 9

Denver (3-5) at Kansas City (4-4), Kansas City favored by 3

I hate it when there are games where I have a feeling about them and then I talk myself out of it. That happened last night when I didn't pick Oakland to beat San Diego, and happened last week when I didn't pick Miami to beat Kansas City. The Chiefs are an incredibly hard team to read. When they lose they seem to lose in spectacularly embarrassing fashion. Tim Tebow stood in the face of his doubters and played well enough to keep his job for another week. To be playing for your job is a tremendous amount of pressure from week to week. Sure, he still isn't accurate but his touchdown throws were some pretty throws and he is a huge threat running the ball. This is a very tough game to get a read on, but I am leaning Chiefs so I will listen and not talk myself out of it.

Prediction: Kansas City 26, Denver 21

Washington (3-5) at Miami (1-7), Miami favored by 3 1/2

Zero buzz about this game around Washington as it is obvious the season is doomed and the fans have checked out. John Beck returns to Miami, still looking for his first win ever as an NFL starter. I agreed with the move to Beck at the time but am not really seeing any justification for sticking with him at this point. He is missing some key players, but Santana Moss and Chris Cooley weren't setting the world on fire for Rex Grossman. The offense has looked terrible the past two weeks, with Beck hearkening back to the check down days of Mark Brunell. The Dolphins have played well for the past two weeks and they seem due for a home win. Things have gotten so bad in Washington, that Skins fans aren't even going to blink when Washington loses this game.

Prediction: Miami 17, Washington 14

Arizona (2-6) at Philadelphia (3-5), No Line

The Eagles are a maddening team. They seem scared to death of success or something. Once again they blew a fourth quarter lead and now their season is on life support. This game might have been interesting if Kevin Kolb was able to start for Arizona but instead its just John Skelton coming to Philly and not the return of Kolb. The Eagles should pummel the Cardinals, but at the very least, just need to win.

Prediction: Philadelphia 34, Arizona 17

Houston (6-3) at Tampa Bay (4-4), Houston favored by 3

Tough game to call here. Tampa Bay is completely mediocre but I still am not quite sure what to make of Houston. They have won three straight despite missing their best player on offense and defense, so they should be lauded for that. I might be more inclined to buy in if they can win at Tampa. The running game has been phenomenal for Houston, with Arian Foster and Ben Tate each contributing big games. This is now a passing league but as the Texans and Niners have shown, if you can run the ball successfully and consistently you will do pretty well. I think Tampa will slow down that run game just a bit this week, enough to get them the semi upset.

Prediction: Tampa Bay 21, Houston 20

Tennessee (4-4) at Carolina (2-6), Carolina favored by 3

I would take Carolina in this game but after they dropped what should have been a win at home against Minnesota it just doesn't seem like a smart pick. The Titans are certainly stumbling but with a veteran leader like Matt Hasselbeck I think they can win a game on the road against the rookie Cam Newton. The Panthers still just make too many mistakes, and will find some way to shoot themselves in the foot.

Prediction: Tennessee 28, Carolina 27

Baltimore (6-2) at Seattle (2-6), Baltimore favored by 7

That win for the Ravens over the Steelers was impressive but not impressive enough for me to completely forget how they couldn't cover against Jacksonville or Arizona in the two weeks prior. The Seahawks are awful, but I can just see Flacco struggle in this game, and the Ravens to suffer a let down after last week's big win. However, the Seahawks are so bad that the Ravens can still win this game with a letdown.

Prediction: Baltimore 20, Seattle 14

Detroit (6-2) at Chicago (5-3), Chicago favored by 1 1/2

The Bears are looking like contenders. Since losing at Detroit on Monday night the Bears have run off three straight victories. The offensive line has played much better, which has allowed Jay Cutler to play exceptionally. Matt Forte continues to be an offensive weapon, and the defense has been strong all season. The shine is coming off the Lions a bit. They are completely one dimensional on offense. It is Matthew Stafford to Calvin Johnson and that's it. That is a great weapon to have, but they need to establish some semblance of a running game if they want to be successful. The key to their win over Chicago was the crowd and the implosion of the Bears offensive line. Neither of those figure to be in play this time around, so I like the Bears in this game.

Prediction: Chicago 24, Detroit 21

New York Giants (6-2) at San Francisco (7-1), San Francisco favored by 3 1/2

It is the game of the weekend! It is so awesome to see the 49ers playing in big games again. Giants/Niners was a huge rivalry in the late 80's and early 90's, so its cool to see a battle of the titans between these two teams. The Eli Manning bandwagon is officially full after his quarterbacking led the Giants to a comeback win over New England. I was impressed at how he was able to lead them down the field, despite being without his best playmaker Hakeem Nicks. The defense was getting pressure on Tom Brady and is looking like the defense from a few years ago that won the Giants a Super Bowl. As for the 49ers it wasn't pretty but they controlled the game against the Skins and have a championship defense. Alex Smith continues to simply do what is asked of him, while Frank Gore carries the team. I know that formula isn't sustainable all season, so Smith will be called upon at some point to make some big plays. This is a great test for the 49ers and could have huge playoff implications. The NFC West is all but wrapped up but the Niners have a great shot at getting a first round bye. However, if they lose this game they will slip to third behind the Giants, and the Giants will own the tiebreaker. I have to go total homer with my pick and pick the Niners. I worry that this is the week Gore slows down but I think the defense can make enough plays to compensate.

Prediction: San Francisco 24, New York Giants 20

New England (5-3) at New York Jets (5-3), New York Jets favored by 1 1/2

Funny how quickly things change in the NFL. A few weeks ago it was the Jets that were in free fall, while the Patriots were sitting pretty. Those roles have now reversed as the Jets are riding a three game winning streak, while the Patriots have dropped two straight. The New England offense hasn't looked all that great for three games in a row now. The Jets defense on the other hand seems to be rounding back into their 2009 and 2010 form. The offense, while not quite the running team they had been, is finally seeming to go back to their identity of ball control. I can't remember the last time New England has lost three games. I think coach Bill Genius is losing his touch a bit but I can't pick the Patriots to drop a third straight game.

Prediction: New England 25, New York Jets 24

Monday, November 14

Minnesota (2-6) at Green Bay (8-0), Green Bay favored by 13 1/2

The Vikings gave Green Bay a scare when they played in Minnesota so I don't think the Packers should take this game for granted. If Adrian Peterson can run the ball well like he did in the last game these teams played, the Vikings might have a chance to pull off a miracle upset. Hell, who am I kidding? Aaron Rodgers is going to play near perfect again the Vikings will get a backdoor cover with a touchdown late.

Prediction: Green Bay 30, Minnesota 17

Last Week Straight Up: 7-7
Overall Straight Up: 83-47

Last Week Against the Spread: 8-6
Overall Against the Spread: 64-63-3

Cram Session - Week 11

Starting tonight Thursday NFL games begin so for the last few Cram Sessions I will be leading them with my prediction for the Thursday NFL game or games.

Thursday, November 10

Oakland (4-4) at San Diego (4-4), San Diego favored by 7

Who wants to win the AFC West? Now that the San Francisco 49ers are actually good, the AFC West has decided to take the mantle of western division with nothing but mediocre teams. The Raiders had a great chance to get some separation last week but couldn't overcome the magical force of Tebow, and Willis McGahee, although I don't think McGahee is magical. The Chargers played their usual game last weekend against the Packers. They showed enough flashes to fool people into thinking they are contenders, but couldn't get out of their own way and eventually fell to the Packers. Carson Palmer played alright last weekend, throwing 3 touchdown passes, but he also had 2 critical interceptions and couldn't bring the Raiders back when they were losing late. The Raiders will be without Darren McFadden once again, but Michael Bush filled in adequately last weekend and is a good number 2 to have. I think these two teams are pretty evenly matched so I will give the Chargers the win because of the home field advantage. However, don't get it twisted, the Chargers are still mediocre at best.

Prediction: San Diego 24, Oakland 20

Games That Matter to Me

#19 Nebraska (7-2, 3-2) at #12 Penn State (8-1, 5-0)

Believe it or not Penn State has a football game this weekend. Football has been the last thing on the minds of anyone in Happy Valley this week. All of you reading know about the scandal that has rocked the school and led to the ouster of coach Joe Paterno after 46 years at the helm. Because of that, I won't delve into too much, although I will say the Board of Trustees made the right decision by removing Paterno immediately, instead of letting him retire at the end of the season. Paterno has been replaced for the rest of the season by his defensive coordinator Tom Bradley.

Nebraska is coming off an embarrassing home loss to a bad Northwestern team. As I feared the Huskers felt a little too good about themselves are whooping Michigan State, and didn't come ready to play. They also were befallen by a crucial Rex Burkhead fumble near the goal line, something that seems to be a theme with teams I cheer for. The Huskers now get to play at Penn State in what will be the most surreal game of their lives. There is no telling what kind of atmosphere Beaver Stadium will be Saturday. The Huskers are the lucky ones though, they have been able to do nothing but concentrate on football this week. Surely they have been studying the Nittany Lion defense, which is third in the country in points allowed. The Huskers running game stalled against Northwestern and because of how one dimensional they are on offense, it led to the less. Plain and simply, Burkhead and even Taylor Martinez have to run well for Nebraska to win.

For as good as Penn State is on defense, they are equally bad on offense. They have split between ginger Matt McGloin and Rob Bolden at quarterback, with McGloin stepping forward as the less of two evils. In his last start against Illinois McGloin completed just 37.5% of his passes. With their struggles in the passing game, Penn State has leaned on RB Silas Reid. Reid has rushed for over 100 yards in his last five games, and his lowest output in that stretch was 129 yards on the ground. The Huskers defense wasn't able to get the stops when they needed them against Northwestern, but should be helped by the fact that they can focus much of their attention on Reid and not worry about the Penn State passing game.

It will be fascinating to watch how Penn State responds to this crazy week. I think their have been way too many distractions and the team is going to be shell shocked. If they are able to win this game, I think it will be one of the greatest accomplishments in the history of sports.

Prediction: Nebraska 24, Penn State 13

Maryland (2-7) "at" Notre Dame (6-3), FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland

I will be attending this game Saturday night. With how awful the Twerps have been this season, I expect that I will fit right in with many Notre Dame fans. The Irish had a non-descript victory over Wake Forest last weekend. They didn't play well offensively, but the defense made enough plays for them to hold onto the win. Maryland is a mess and I will be very disappointed if the Irish have to hold on late to win this game. Maryland can't settle on a quarterback, continuously going back and forth between Danny O'Brien and C.J. Brown. It is apparent that Randy Edsall has sapped O'Brien of all the confidence he gained last season when he was ACC Freshman of the Year. The Terps rushing attack is led by Davin Meggett but he hasn't rushed for over 100 yards since doing it against Towson a few months ago.

There isn't really much to say about this game. The Irish clearly have the edge in talent and should blow past Maryland. The offense needs to play precise and quit turning the ball over. This is a chance to have an impressive performance, hopefully the Irish take advantage.

Prediction: Notre Dame 38, Maryland 17

Top 10 - Thursday, November 10

#10 Virginia Tech (8-1, 4-1) at #21 Georgia Tech (7-2, 4-2)

For all the crap that the ACC takes as a football conference, they do have two teams in the Top 10. That being said, I don't even think Hokies fans would tell you they believe Virginia Tech is a top 10 team this year. That being said, if they win this game they will be in the driver's seat to have a spot in the ACC Championship game in December. The player to watch on Tech is quarterback Logan Thomas. Thomas came into the season with high expectations due to his height and athleticism. He has played pretty well this year and is a threat both throwing and running. Being just a sophomore he has given Hokie fans high hopes for the next two seasons. As is usually the case, the Hokies have a powerful rushing attack behind David Wilson. Wilson has rushed for over 100 yards in every game but one this season. The Hokies love to grind out victories behind Wilson. Wilson allows them to control the clock and keep the defense well rested. That will be a key in this game as the defense will have its hands full with Georgia Tech's high powered offense. The Yellow Jackets offense got back on track in their last game at home against Clemson and is clearly a different unit at home than away. QB Tevin Washington is the key for the Yellow Jackets. When teams like Miami and Virginia slowed him down, it put the whole offense out of whack. I believe that with the home crowd rocking, he will play well and the Yellow Jackets will get a huge win.

Prediction: Georgia Tech 27, Virginia Tech 20

Saturday, November 12

Western Kentucky (5-4) at #1 LSU (9-0)

LSU won the game of the field goals last week and now seems on their way to playing for the BCS National Championship. Their only challenge left is when they host Arkansas on Thanksgiving weekend. I expect a slight hangover effect this weekend, especially with such an easy opponent coming to Baton Rouge. All that will mean is that instead of winning by 50 plus, the Tigers will win by 38.

Prediction: LSU 44, Western Kentucky 6

#2 Oklahoma State (9-0, 6-0) at Texas Tech (5-4, 2-4)

The Cowboys received quite a scare at home from Kansas State last weekend. However, they survived and are just two road wins away from a huge Bedlam showdown against Oklahoma. Their game this week looked a lot scarier three weeks ago after Texas Tech had knocked off the Sooners. But since then the Red Raiders were destroyed at home by Iowa State, and then destroyed on the road by Texas. The only reason the Red Raiders beat the Sooners was they were able to create turnovers. Without those turnovers their defense is one of the worst in the country. Cowboys QB Brandon Wheeden can be interception prone so I think that will keep the Red Raiders hopes up for a bit, but just too much Wheeden and Blackmon for the Red Raiders to spring the upset.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 49, Texas Tech 31

#3 Alabama (8-1, 5-1) at Mississippi State (5-4, 1-4)

The Crimson Tide are licking their wounds after blowing their home game against LSU. Awful special teams play and a questionable trick play call on offense led to their downfall. Despite the loss they dropped just one spot in the BCS Standings and are still very much alive in the national championship race. The Bulldogs have been a major disappointment this season. Their offense has regressed tremendously from last season and hasn't scored enough to complement a very good defense. The Bulldogs defense will keep them in this game, but their offense is going to have some major trouble scoring on Bama.

Prediction: Alabama 27, Mississippi State 9

#7 Oregon (8-1, 6-0) at #4 Stanford (9-0, 7-0)

This is the game of the weekend. Stanford looked primed to move up to number three in the BCS Standings but instead still sits behind one loss Alabama. A win at home over Oregon though should vault the Cardinal, while a loss will end their national title hopes. The Ducks still have outside thoughts of playing for the national championship. The winner of this game will take over the lead in the Pac-12 North standings and be on their way to playing in the first ever Pac-12 championship. Both teams have tremendous rushing attacks, while the Cardinal have the edge at quarterback with Andrew Luck. People think the Ducks defense might finally be what stops Luck. If this game were at Oregon I would definitely pick the Ducks, but this is one of those games where there isn't much that separates the two teams. Because of that, I will go with home field advantage and Stanford to continue their unbeaten season.

Prediction: Stanford 34, Oregon 31

TCU (7-2, 4-0) at #5 Boise State (8-0, 3-0)

This game looked a lot sexier back in September. TCU dropped their first game of the season to Baylor, then lost at home to SMU. They have recovered since then but I still don't think they are on the Broncos level. This is another game where maybe if it were at TCU I could see the upset happening but I can't even remember the last time Boise lost on their blue turf.

Prediction: Boise State 27, TCU 16

Tennessee (4-5, 0-5) at #8 Arkansas (8-1, 4-1)

No one talked about it last weekend but the Razorbacks won the second biggest game of the week when they defeated South Carolina. I think the Razorbacks will have a great shot at knocking off LSU when they play to close the regular season. Before that though, Arkansas has to continue taking care of business. It is really strange to see Tennessee with an 0-5 SEC record. It will look even stranger when it is 0-6 after this weekend.

Prediction: Arkansas 28, Tennessee 10

Wake Forest (5-4, 4-2) at #9 Clemson (8-1, 5-1)

Clemson plays their first game since watching their national championship dreams evaporate against Georgia Tech. They still control their destiny for playing in the ACC Championship but can't suffer a let down against Wake Forest. This is a huge game for Wake, which has struggled in recent weeks but with a victory in this game would take over first place in the ACC Atlantic Division. That's a nice story and all but too much firepower on the Clemson offense will be the Demon Deacons undoing.

Prediction: Clemson 41, Wake Forest 27

Last Week: 7-2
Overall: 86-9

The Hail Mary - Week 9

After the last couple weeks being extremely underwhelming when it came to games between good teams, there are plenty this weekend. There are six games between teams with winning records and even the Monday Night game is a good one, as the Eagles are much better than their 3-4 record indicates. We are now at the halfway mark of the season, and it becomes more and more clear who are contenders and who are pretenders.

Week 9 - Sunday, November 6

New York Jets (4-3) at Buffalo (5-2), Buffalo favored by 1 1/2

The Jets are searching for their first road win of the season, while the Bills are undefeated at home. Sometimes things are just too obvious and you can get trapped by them, but its hard to pick against the Bills in this game. The Jets have been underwhelming on the road all season and have never gotten their running game going. The Jets can only win if Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson have an impact on the game. The Bills pass rush came alive against Washington last weekend and it might give them the confidence to make that a consistent part of their defensive attack. They already have a very opportunistic defense and I expect them to force Mark Sanchez into some mistakes. This game will be a tight, back and forth battle between division rivals, but I think Fred Jackson will carry the Bills through a close win.

Prediction: Buffalo 24, New York Jets 20

Seattle (2-5) at Dallas (3-4), Dallas favored by 12

It was a pleasure to watch the Cowboys and their overrated defensive coordinator Rob Ryan embarrassed by the Eagles last Sunday night. The Cowboys will get to a face a team more to their talent level this weekend, when they host the Seahawks. I expect DeMarco Murray to have a big game, and the Cowboys to get their passing game going, which was non-existent last weekend. However, a line that big? I know the Cowboys covered at home against St. Louis a few weeks ago, but I have a hard time picking a 3-4 team to cover a 12 point spread.

Prediction: Dallas 24, Seattle 13

Atlanta (4-3) at Indianapolis (0-8), Atlanta favored by 7

After a sluggish start the Falcons might be ready to make a run at the NFC South. The Saints have been unable to pull away, and the Falcons schedule lightens up considerably in the second half of the season. The Colts best chance at getting a win will be when they host Jacksonville next week. Until then, they just want to avoid being embarrassed and be somewhat competitive.

Prediction: Atlanta 29, Indianapolis 17

Miami (0-7) at Kansas City (4-3), Kansas City favored by 5

The Dolphins teased their fans by leading most of the game against the Giants, before remembering that they suck and lost their 10th straight game dating back to last season. The Chiefs, who looked dead after and 0-3 start and having their best players drop like flies, have won four in a row and find themselves in first place in the AFC West. The emergence of Jackie Battle to the running game, and now WR Jonathan Baldwin appearing ready to make an impact has the Chiefs feeling good about their chances.

Prediction: Kansas City 22, Miami 15

Tampa Bay (4-3) at New Orleans (5-3), New Orleans favored by 8

The Saints are definitely two teams in one. On the road, they are listless, can't stop anybody and appear to be at best a middle of the pack team. At home, their offense is a juggernaut, their defense creates turnovers and they look like a Super Bowl contender. Fortunately for them, they will be hosting Tampa this weekend and will be an angry team looking for revenge. The anger comes from the embarrassment of handing the Rams their first win of the season, and at one point trailing 24-0. The revenge factor comes from them trying to atone their loss at Tampa a few weeks ago. Tampa has played the Saints well in New Orleans, winning their the last two seasons. Because of that I like them to keep it close, but the Saints needs this win to get back on track and will get it.

Prediction: New Orleans 28, Tampa Bay 21

San Francisco (6-1) at Washington (3-4), San Francisco favored by 3 1/2

I will be at FedEx Field for this one, getting to see my beloved 49ers in person for the first time in my life. Wow, that is really hard to believe. I guess that's what happens when your favorite team lives across the country from you. I knew I wanted to go to this game before the season started but I expected I would be going to see a bad Niners team try to pull off an upset. Instead, the Skins are the bad team looking to pull the upset. The Niners now have a four game lead in the NFC West and could possibly clinch the division as early as Thanksgiving. The Skins look like a perfect matchup for them. The Niners success has been the roll that Frank Gore and the running game has been on. The Redskins as of late can't stop anyone on the ground. Another benefit for the 49ers is the Redskins offense is in shambles. It reached the ultimate level of embarrassment against Buffalo, when Mike Shanahan saw an offensive team of his shut out for the first time ever. The offensive line is in tatters and you know that Justin Smith is licking his chops. The Niners will win if Gore goes over 100 yards again and the rush defense plays like it has all season. John Beck won't be passing the Skins to any victories so their only chance is if Alex Smith makes mistakes, instead of being a capable game manager like he has been all season. I think the Skins will show pride at home, but I think the line Vegas gave this game is generous for a 49ers cover.

Prediction: San Francisco 24, Washington 14

Cleveland (3-4) at Houston (5-3), Houston favored by 11

This was a tough game for me to pick. Not straight up, as I love Houston but to cover 11? Normally, I would say no way but the Browns may be down to their 3rd string running back in this game, a guy whose name is too hard to spell for me to even bother trying. Plus, QB Colt McCoy has proven that he probably isn't the long term answer at quarterback. However, knowing the history of the Texans and their coach Gary Kubiak anything is possible.

Prediction: Houston 27, Cleveland 14

Cincinnati (5-2) at Tennessee (4-3), Tennessee favored by 3

No one would have guessed that this game would be a crucial game when it came to potential playoff spots. I thought the Bengals would be the worst team in the league but on the backs of a strong defense, and the beastly play of WR A.J. Green they are right in the thick of things. I am having a hard time believing in them though, as evidenced by me picking them to lose at Seattle this weekend. I was wrong then and I may be wrong again this week but I am not ready to pick them on the road at Tennessee. It will be competitive but I still keep thinking at some point the Bengals will remember how young they are and that they're peaking ahead of schedule. I think the Titans will win, but trust me, I don't think that bum Chris Johnson will have anything to do with it.

Prediction: Tennessee 20, Cincinnati 16

Denver (2-5) at Oakland (4-3), Oakland favored by 8

This whole upheaval in Oakland has me feeling like things aren't going to end well for the Raiders. You can't just bring in guys like Carson Palmer and TJ Houshmandzadeh, who have been sitting on their couches all season, and then think that you're going to the playoffs with them. I expect Palmer to look much sharper this game than he did two weeks ago, but people are fooling themselves if they think TJ is going to add much of anything. This might be Tim Tebow's last chance this season to hold onto his starting job. I want to see him do well but it can't be denied how atrocious he has played through two games this season. Usually I would advocate patience, but you can't keep starting a guy that isn't even completing 50 percent of his passes and is taking way too many sacks. The Raiders will escape with a win this week but their long term prospects aren't good in my opinion.

Prediction: Oakland 26, Denver 21

New York Giants (5-2) at New England (5-2), New England favored by 8 1/2

The Patriots offense has sputtered now for two straight weeks. People tend to forget because they won and it was followed up with a bye week, but the offense did very little against the Cowboys, much like they did very little against the Steelers. Of course, they had set the bar high by scoring 30 points a week before that. I'm betting on a return to form this weekend against a Giants team that despite its 5-2 record, is completely underwhelming. They love to play down to their competition, but they also seem to play up when competition is good. They're going to have to as starting with this week the schedule gets very tough. They feel good now with a 2 game lead in the division but things could go south quickly. I think Brady will pick apart their weak secondary and the Patriots defense will do just enough to get the win.

Prediction: New England 30, New York Giants 24

St. Louis (1-6) at Arizona (1-6), No Line

Who cares?

Prediction: Arizona 9, St. Louis 6

Green Bay (7-0) at San Diego (4-3), Green Bay favored by 6

People are foolish. They keep riding the Chargers despite the Chargers giving people no reason to believe in them. They have Norv Turner who has never gotten this team to play to its talent level, they have injuries at the running back position, and they have Philip Rivers who has looked about as good as Rex Grossman and John Beck this season. They are a flawed team without the necessary leadership to be anything more than a fringe contender. The Chargers would love to be the Packers, a team that can still play well despite injuries, has a competent head coach, and a world class quarterback. Now excuse me while I puke for having to pay the Packers all those compliments. I blame the Chargers, screw you San Diego!

Prediction: Green Bay 24, San Diego 19

Baltimore (5-2) at Pittsburgh (6-2), Pittsburgh favored by 3

One of the best rivalries in football takes the spotlight on Sunday night. Week 1 was a strange game for these teams, it wasn't competitive and Joe Flacco actually beat the Steelers. I think we are going to return to the norm in this game. Flacco and the Ravens were lucky that they played such an inept team in the Cardinals and were able to escape with a win. Its obvious that Flacco is another overrated quarterback, and is pretty much a glorified Trent Dilfer. The Ravens only hope of winning this game is Ray Rice. The Steelers defense has played much better in recent weeks, and the offense is really clicking. The Ravens benefited in the first game from all the turnovers Ben Roethlisberger committed but he and the passing game have been on fire the last few weeks. I love the Steelers in this one.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 27, Baltimore 17

Monday, November 7

Chicago (4-3) at Philadelphia (3-4), Philadelphia favored by 8

The way the Eagles played last Sunday was the team I envisioned when I picked them to win the Super Bowl. Their offense was a juggernaut, the corners weren't allowing any separation, and the defensive front continued their stellar play. The word on the Eagles has completely flipped from the media and now they are declaring the Eagles Super Bowl contenders again. The Eagles have to keep playing with the urgency they have shown the last two weeks because if they don't the Bears can beat them. Jay Cutler figures to be running for his life as Trent Cole and Jason Babin could have huge games going up against a suspect Bears offensive line. I think the Bears defense can keep them in this game and will frustrate Vick and not allow LeSean McCoy to completely run over them. The Eagles rush defense has been much improved the last few weeks but will have their work cut out for them facing Matt Forte. I know it's a risk signing running backs to long term deals (see Chris Johnson) but Forte is also a great pass catcher. The Bears offense will be nothing if they let him walk. I expect a tense, low scoring game, with the Eagles escaping with their third straight victory.

Prediction: Philadelphia 21, Chicago 15

Last Week Straight Up: 8-5
Overall Straight Up: 76-40

Last Week Against the Spread: 3-10, ouch :(
Overall Against the Spread: 56-57-3

Cram Session - Week 10

We should all consider ourselves lucky. The Game of the Century has come with 89 years remaining in the century. In case you are too cool to have television or Internet, I am referring to this Saturday's game between #1 LSU and #2 Alabama. Both teams are undefeated and this game has been circled on the calendar of college football fans for months. I will go on record as saying the winner will end up being the national champion in January, while the loser will have to settle for another BCS Bowl. The hype has been unrivaled, now we just have to hope the game lives up to it.

Games That Matter to Me

Notre Dame (5-3) at Wake Forest (5-3)

There was talk of friction in the locker room after Brian Kelly threw his upperclassmen under the bus with some comments he made last week. That friction was taken out by the players on Navy last weekend, as the Irish got back to the roots of the rivalry, which was them always beating the crap out of the Midshipmen. Notre Dame now begins a three game ACC stretch where they will be favored in each game. This weekend's game against Wake Forest likely presents the biggest challenge of the three. The Demon Deacons can be a dangerous team at home, already knocking off Florida State earlier this season. However, since that win they have been less than impressive, getting blown out by Virginia Tech and North Carolina and barely defeating Duke. Wake Forest's biggest strength is their passing game led by QB Tanner Price. Price has 14 TDs and 6 INTs but is coming off a miserable game against the Tar Heels where he had three interceptions and zero touchdowns. His favorite target is WR Chris Givens who has had no less than six catches in every game this season. However, he is also coming off his worst game of the season, where his six catches earned him just 42 yards receiving. Wake Forest is 104th in the country in rushing yards so Notre Dame shouldn't have to worry about the ground attack too much. The Notre Dame pass defense has been weak at times so they will have to be on their game against Wake. The Demon Deacons defense is pretty atrocious, allowing 28 points per game. The Irish offense, led by Tommy Rees and Michael Floyd should be able to move the ball pretty handily. The Irish have been at their best when they are balanced so it is important that Cierre Wood gets going. I think Wake will hang around for a bit but the Irish are far more talented and will earn the win.

Prediction: Notre Dame 34, Wake Forest 24

Northwestern (3-5, 1-4) at #10 Nebraska (7-1, 3-1)

It took 8 weeks but the Blackshirts defense finally showed themselves last weekend against Michigan State. The Spartans could get nothing going and the Huskers played their most complete defensive game of the season, despite being without their best player Jared Crick. The win vaulted the Huskers back into the Top 10 and right in the thick of things for earning a shot at the Big 10 championship game. The season will be defined by back to back road trips to Penn State and Michigan but before that the Huskers have to handle their business at home against Northwestern. Northwestern has a prolific, balanced offense, but plays little to no defense. QB Dan Persa was getting some Heisman hype before the season but then missed the first three games of the season due to injury. He finally got his first win as a starter last weekend against Indiana. Persa is very accurate and has great rapport with WRs Jeremy Ebert and Drake Dunsmore. The rushing attack of the Wildcats is led by Kain Colter who is also the backup quarterback. The Huskers rushing attack figures to dominate in this game, as Rex Burkhead has been on a tear. Burkhead had 35 carries against Michigan State and if that game plan is what works for Nebraska than so be it. Taylor Martinez is obviously somewhat of a liability throwing the ball and defenses know this. It shows the power of the Huskers running game that they still find success despite teams knowing what is coming. My only fear for this game is Nebraska looking ahead to their next two games or feeling too good about themselves after last weekend. I think Bo Pelini will have them ready though and they should romp.

Prediction: Nebraska 40, Northwestern 21


Top 10 - Saturday, November 5

#1 LSU (8-0, 5-0) at #2 Alabama (8-0, 5-0)

Usually it is the offenses that get all the publicity but with LSU and Alabama it really is all about the defenses. Alabama has allowed just 6.9 points per game this season, while LSU is second in the country giving up just 11.5 points per game. Those are truly incredible numbers. The Crimson Tide's best defensive players are LB Dont'a Hightower, FS Mark Barron, and CB Dre Kirkpatrick. While the Tigers boast studs such as Tyrann Mathieu, LB Ryan Baker, Morris Claiborne, Brandon Taylor, and Eric Reid. The most fascinating matchup to watch will be Alabama's stud running backs Trent Richardson and Eddie Lacy against the Tigers defense which hasn't allowed anyone to run the ball all season. Alabama's biggest liability in this game is QB AJ McCarron who will be playing in the biggest game of his life. His presence doesn't really matter though if Richardson and Lacy are able to have success running. Much like the Tide, LSU finds most of its offensive success through running the ball. They go with a dual system between Spencer Ware and Michael Ford. They also go with the unconventional dual quarterback system. Jarrett Lee started the season alone with Jordan Jefferson suspended, but since Jefferson has returned he has been getting snaps behind center as well. Neither player is all that impressive and much like the Tide, any success the Tigers have on offense will come from running the ball.

There seems to be a lot of people on LSU to win and I don't really understand why. To me Alabama is better offensively and defensively, and the game will be in their backyard. I think the offenses will be able to find the end zone a few times but I will always take the better team, playing at home. LSU's best chance to win is if they can force McCarron into mistakes, but I think Richardson and Lacy will have enough success running that McCarron will only have to make throws to keep the Tigers defense honest. I like the Tide to win and cover the spread.

Prediction: Alabama 24, LSU 17

#14 Kansas State (7-1, 4-1) at #3 Oklahoma State (8-0, 5-0)

The feel good story of Kansas State took a nasty turn last weekend in second half against Oklahoma. The Sooners blitzed them for 35 unanswered points and ran away with a 58-17 victory. Things may get even worse in Stillwater this weekend as they now have to face the best quarterback and wide receiver combo in the game, Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon. This is the Cowboys last home game before the huge showdown with the Sooners on December 3rd.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 45, Kansas State 20

#4 Stanford (8-0, 6-0) at Oregon State (2-6, 2-3)

Unfortunately I was too busy being dressed as a one night stand to watch what sounded like a thrilling game between Stanford and USC. Andrew Luck only increased his God like status among quarterbacks, and I am waiting for the inevitable backlash to hit him like it did Tim Tebow. Stanford's game of the season comes next week when they host Oregon, but this week they get to beat up on the state school.

Prediction: Stanford 43, Oregon State 17

#5 Boise State (7-0, 2-0) at UNLV (2-5, 1-1)

The Broncos are lurking the background, waiting for teams to fall so they can possibly slip into the national championship game, or at worst a BCS bowl. This weekend will be a cake walk, it's next week where they face their only possible hurdle when they host TCU.

Prediction: Boise State 58, UNLV 14

Texas A&M (5-3, 3-2) at #6 Oklahoma (7-1, 4-1)

I wasn't buying the Aggies as a Top 10 team prior to the season and that belief has been proven true. However, if games were only a half the Aggies might be the number one team in the country. They suffered their third loss of the season last week against Missouri and in each of those losses they had leads at the half. The Sooners bounced back nicely from their loss against Texas Tech by wiping the floor with Kansas State. This should be a fun, back and forth game. The Aggies are good enough to keep it competitive but the Sooners will pull out the win.

Prediction: Oklahoma 38, Texas A&M 31

#9 South Carolina (7-1, 5-1) at #7 Arkansas (7-1, 3-1)

The other big game in the SEC this weekend, although no one outside of South Carolina or Arkansas will be watching as it goes up against LSU/Bama. The Gamecocks are winning with defense which is a must now that they are without Marcus Lattimore. The Razorbacks had their second straight road scare but once again were able to pull out the victory late. It will feel good for the Razorbacks to be back at home, and I expect more of a performance like we saw against Auburn than what we have seen the last two weeks. Without Lattimore, the Gamecocks don't have the horses to win in Fayetville.

Prediction: Arkansas 27, South Carolina 13

#8 Oregon (7-1, 5-0) at Washington (6-2, 4-1)

Oregon might be in the midst of a quarterback change. Darron Thomas has been battling injuries and when he was ineffective against Washington State last weekend he was pulled in favor of Bryan Bennett who played well down the stretch against the Cougars. LaMichael James also returned last weekend but struggled and it was Kenjon Barner that had the big day. James and Thomas have to get back to full health for the Ducks to have a chance to upset Stanford. The Huskies will present a challenge and if the Ducks don't have their full attention on them, they could be susceptible to an upset in Seattle. If the Huskies had any semblance of a defense I would pick them to pull the upset, but I can't envision them slowing down the Ducks offensive assault.

Prediction: Oregon 47, Washington 33

Last Week: 8-0
Overall: 79-7