The Hail Mary - Week 10

Sunday, November 15

New Orleans (4-5) at Washington (3-5), New Orleans favored by 1

Just when it looked like the Saints were building some momentum and might be players in the NFC playoff race, they lose at home to Tennessee. No one has any idea what we will see from the Saints week to week except we know that their Rob Ryan led defense will give up a ton of points and look like dog excrement. As expected the Redskins had no chance in New England, thought it was not the fault of Kirk Cousins. Cousins made some pretty good throws but his receivers, tight ends, running backs, hell even random people on the sidelines all seemed to have a case of butterfingers. If the Redskins want to keep alive their hopes or what some would call a pipe dream alive of winning the NFC East, they have to win this game. The Saints passing defense gives up over 300 yards a game, and their rushing defense over 100, so maybe Alfred Morris or Matt Jones will finally have a good game for all four quarters. The Redskins defense struggles against the run as well so it could be a big day for Mark Ingram. I expect a lot of points and fireworks in this game, and ultimately for the Redskins to pull out the win at home, where they have played well so far this year.

Prediction: Washington 37, New Orleans 33

Miami (3-5) at Philadelphia (4-4), Philadelphia favored by 6 1/2

All those good vibes the Dolphins had after Dan Campbell was named interim coach have disappeared after two blowout road losses within the division. Miami is in must win mode now if they want to keep alive any playoff hopes for what was supposed to be a breakthrough season. The Eagles got a huge win at Dallas last week, and if the Giants fall to the Patriots as expected, the Eagles could be alone in first place in the NFC East with a win in this game. The Eagles defense suffered a blow when rookie LB Jordan Hicks tore his pec against Dallas and was placed on injured reserve. The defense has surprisingly been the consistent part of the Eagles, its the offense that is up and down each quarter. However, recently DeMarco Murray seems to be getting going, so maybe the Eagles are peaking at the right time. Playing the toothless Dolphins should help Philly continue to feel good about themselves.

Prediction: Philadelphia 30, Miami 20

Detroit (1-7) at Green Bay (6-2), Green Bay favored by 11 1/2

The Packers desperately need a get right game after losing back to back road games to Denver and Carolina. The offense finally got going in the second half against Carolina, but it was the defense that was falling apart. Cameras caught Julius Peppers, B.J. Raiji and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix getting into it on the sidelines. The schedule worked out though because the Packers get to host the sorry Lions on Sunday. It will continue to get trotted out each year until the Lions finally break the hex, but here it is again. Detroit has not won at Lambeau Field since 1991, and to put that in perspective that was when my old, tired, 32-year old body was just a young, vibrant 8-years old. Matt Stafford had a week off and maybe he spent some of that time working with new offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter since apparently he didn't really like the old coordinator Joe Lombardi. He most likely didn't but I just wanted an excuse to type Jim Bob Cooter, the greatest name in the history of the world. The Packers offense always plays well at home, especially Aaron Rodgers, so after a tough couple of weeks, I expect a much jovial group of Packers on Sunday.

Prediction: Green Bay 42, Detroit 21

Dallas (2-6) at Tampa Bay (3-5), Tampa Bay favored by 1

Time is running out on the Cowboys who are without Tony Romo for they hope the last this week Sunday. If they can pull off this victory then they would still have realistic hopes in the NFC East and Romo back to possibly lead a great revival. Tampa Bay is showing all the signs of a young, growing team. Up and down from week to week, usually competitive, usually not able to close out games. I think this is the one game that the Cowboys will get without Romo. Matt Cassel played well last week, aside from one really bad pick six. I think that game helped his confidence and will lead to more good things from the offense, including Darren McFadden on Sunday.

Prediction: Dallas 26, Tampa Bay 20

Carolina (8-0) at Tennessee (2-6), Carolina favored by 5

Damn, these Panthers are for real, aren't they? Cam Newton had quite the day against Green Bay. He started it by stealing Packers banners, then had Julius Peppers try to stop him from giving a touchdown ball to a child, had an awesome performance against that Packers defense, and closed it out with the Panthers 12th consecutive regular season win. The Titans showed that maybe the perpetual loser Ken Whisenhunt was what was holding them back, as they impressively won at the Superdome. Now, they will be looking for their first home win of the season. This will be a fun quarterback battle between Newton and the increasingly impressive Titans rookie Marcus Mariota. But I am starting to learn my lesson, don't pick against these Panthers, they are the real deal.

Prediction: Carolina 27, Tennessee 17

Chicago (3-5) at St. Louis (4-4), St. Louis favored by 7

The Bears and especially Jay Cutler showed a lot of guts on Monday night, coming from behind on the road to beat the Chargers. The win kept the Bears alive in the playoff conversation and with them playing the Rams this weekend, they could be in the picture even more if they can pull off another upset.  The Rams made news for a dirty hit on Teddy Bridgewater and more news when they signed Wes Welker. Welker barely contributed to Denver last year but the Rams and their anemic passing offense will look to almost anyone to try to produce. People are very concerned that Welker will suffer another concussion but its his and his family's decision, so if he wants to play, I won't be losing any sleep over it. As for this game, these teams are pretty even stat wise but the Rams defense seems to take it another level when they play at home, having not allowed a touchdown at home in their past two games. I expect to see Cutler on his butt a lot and looking very frustrated and in the perfect pose for a cigarette to be photoshopped into a picture of him.

Prediction: St. Louis 23, Chicago 13

Cleveland (2-7) at Pittsburgh (5-4), Pittsburgh favored by 5

Injuries have been killing the Steelers this season and once again Ben Roethlisberger will miss time with an injury. He should not be out as long this time as he was when he first was injured and instead of Mike Vick replacing him, it will be Landry Jones this time. Ben should only miss this game, as the Steelers have a bye next week, before going to Seattle on November 29th. Cleveland is hoping that Josh McCown can return, as Johnny Manziel only does anything well in spurts, including staying sober, hi yoooooooooooo! It is another lost season for the Browns and you have to wonder if another complete overhaul will be in order again after this season.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 24, Cleveland 17

Jacksonville (2-6) at Baltimore (2-6), Baltimore favored by 5 1/2

The Ravens were doing a lot of talking this week that they believe they can still make the playoffs, just being just 2-6. One positive is that their first half schedule was front loaded with five road games, so five of their last eight will now be at home. Their next four games are certainly winnable so maybe there is something to the confidence the Ravens are projecting. The Jaguars are also 2-6 but are just a game and half back in the AFC South. With the Colts now being without Andrew Luck for 2-6 weeks, you know the perpetually positive Jags coach Gus Bradley will be telling his guys that they still have plenty to play for. Jacksonville has followed a familiar script this season of being competitive but usually not being able to close out games. I think that script will have a sequel this Sunday in Baltimore.

Prediction: Baltimore 34, Jacksonville 27

Minnesota (6-2) at Oakland (4-4), Oakland favored by 3

This will be a fun game between two rising teams. The Vikings are now tied for first in the NFC North and currently winners of four straight games. The Raiders are coming off a heartbreaking loss at Pittsburgh, but appear set for a long time at quarterback with Derek Carr, who has 19 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions this season. Both teams also feature dynamic rookie receivers in the Vikings Stefon Diggs and the Raiders Amari Cooper. Teddy Bridgewater left the win against St. Louis with a concussion but has passed all the necessary tests and will start on Sunday. The Raiders biggest problem this season is their defense, and especially their secondary which gives up a whopping 325 yards passing per game. The problem for Minnesota is that while Bridgewater is improving, he isn't likely to kill anyone through the air right now. But on the other side, the Vikings pass defense is awesome, so it will be intriguing to see how Carr fares against them. I am a Derek Carr believer and I think the Raiders will have the edge in the Black Hole.

Prediction: Oakland 28, Minnesota 23

New England (8-0) at New York Giants (5-4), New England favored by 7

Another chance for the Giants to try to spoil an undefeated Patriots season. New England received some bad news this week as probable Comeback Player of the Year Dion Lewis was lost for the season with an ACL tear. However, much like Lewis emerged out of nowhere, I am sure Bill Belichick will have James White or Brandon Bolden come in and take right over, and the Patriots won't miss a beat. I also expect Belichick to help come up with a defensive scheme that will make Odell Beckham Jr. largely disappear on Sunday. Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski have to be licking their chops to face a Giants defense that gives up 429 yards per game, with 315 of those coming through the air. This game will turn into a shootout and the Giants and Eli Manning won't be able to keep up.

Prediction: New England 40, New York Giants 27

Kansas City (3-5) at Denver (7-1), Denver favored by 6

The Broncos suffered a disappointing defeat at Indianapolis and also saw Aqib Talib poke someone in the eye, which will cause him to miss this game with a one game suspension. The good news is they are playing Alex Smith who usually only throws it as far as the linebackers. The Chiefs have had a week of rest and two weeks to prepare for this game, which their defense needed as they have been pretty awful this season. That being said, Peyton Manning has been mediocre to bad against just about everyone and there is no reason to expect that to change this week. After an off week last week though, I expect the Broncos defense to up their game back to a high level, and carry Denver to another win.

Prediction: Denver 24, Kansas City 16

Arizona (6-2) at Seattle (4-4), Seattle favored by 3

A lot of teams are intimidated by the Seahawks 12th man but one team that should not be is the Cardinals. Arizona went to Seattle two years ago and knocked off the Seahawks when they weren't on Seattle's level. Now they are the better team but are still underdogs. Seattle's schedule is back loaded with home games and they are confident they will make a second half surge like they did last season. Carson Palmer has had his struggles against Seattle, so it is imperative that he and the offense get off to a quick start and limit the impact the Seattle crowd will have on the game. The Cardinals defense has been opportunistic all season, and Russell Wilson's offensive line has struggled to protect him. I believe that combination will lead to Wilson putting the ball on the ground, and putting the Seahawks defense in a situation where they will have to defend a short field. The Cardinals have been stout against the run so I also think they can limit Marshawn Lynch's impact on this game. I am going with the upset that is not really an upset, as the Cardinals show the world they are a Super Bowl contender.

Prediction: Arizona 22, Seattle 17


Monday, November 16

Houston (3-5) at Cincinnati (8-0), Cincinnati favored by 10

The Texans had to have some good feelings inside after hearing about Luck's injury as it makes them viable players in the AFC South going forward. Brian Hoyer has been quietly outstanding this season, throwing 13 touchdowns and just 3 interceptions. The Texans defense has seemed terrible this season, but interestingly enough they are allowing just 2 yards more per game than the Bengals defense is. Despite that stat, Houston is giving up 8 more points per game the Cincinnati, showing that the Bengals will bend, but not often break. Andy Dalton has continued his strong play and is likely giving Bengals fans some hope this this will finally be the postseason that he doesn't bomb out. The Texans have been blown out twice on the road this season but I expect a much more respectable effort from them in this game with two weeks of rest. While the effort will be respectable, it will not be a winning one. Too much pressure will be on Hoyer to do well now that Arian Foster is out for the season. The Texans had no rushing attack when Foster missed time earlier this year, so excuse me for not jumping on the Alfred Blue bandwagon.

Prediction: Cincinnati 35, Houston 24

Last Week Straight Up: 8-5
Overall Straight Up: 87-45

Last Week Against the Spread: 7-6
Overall Against the Spread: 63-65-4 

Cram Session - Week 11

Thursday, November 12

Buffalo (4-4) at New York Jets (5-3)

Rex Ryan returns to the Meadowlands, a place where he peaked early and then couldn't find that winning formula again in his later years. Rex feels like he was sabotaged in his last year in New York and Rex doesn't believe in being the better man or turning the other cheek. So to that end, he has made IK Enemkpali a captain for this game. For those that don't remember, Enemkpali was the guy that punched Geno Smith in the jaw, breaking it and costing Smith the starting quarterback job. Theatrics aside, this game is critical in the AFC Wild Card race. Neither of these teams are catching the Patriots, so that means they have to battle it out for two playoff spots. The Bills offense was healthy for the first time in weeks last Sunday against Miami and it instantly paid off. LeSean McCoy, Karlos Williams, Sammy Watkins and Tyrod Taylor all had big days. The Jets defense has been susceptible to big game passing games the last few weeks, even with Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie lining up at corner. Cromartie could miss this game, but with how he has played recently that might be more of a blessing for the Jets. Something to watch for in what could be a close game is the Jets kicking situation. Nick Folk is out for the next month with a quad injury, and his replacement is former Texans flameout Randy Bullock. These two teams are about equal in talent, so I will lean towards the Jets homefield advantage on a short week. I think that Chris Ivory and Brandon Marshall could be in line for big games and push the Jets to a critical win.

Prediction: New York Jets 27, Buffalo 21

Games That Matter To Me

Nebraska (4-6, 2-4) at Rutgers (3-6, 1-5)

Mike Riley was definitely catching some heat for the Huskers lost season and even had some fans questioning if firing Bo Pelini was actually the wrong call. But then Riley did something that Pelini could never do and defeated a Top 10 team. The Huskers got what could be argued as a generous call from the officials on that game winning touchdown, but all that matters is what the record books say, which is Nebraska 39, Michigan State 38. With that win, the Huskers can now cling to faint hopes of winning their final two games and making a bowl game. They have to avoid a letdown spot at Rutgers this weekend. The Scarlet Knights were destroyed in their last two games by Ohio State and Michigan. They are a team that struggles mightily passing the ball, and does only marginally better running. They have a mediocre offense and a bad defense, hence why they are 3-6. When RB Robert Martin is able to get in a flow he is very productive. But Rutgers has been playing so much catch up lately that he is seeing a sporadic number of carries. It was evident how important Tommy Armstrong is to the Huskers offense. He isn't always pretty, but he does a great job of getting the ball downfield. Terrell Newby has been battling injuries so Imani Cross got the bulk of the carries last Saturday and responded well. I would be surprised if he isn't the main ball carrier in this game. The letdown spot does concern me, and this game will probably be close, but I like the Huskers to build off the momentum of last week's win and string together their first winning streak of the season.

Prediction: Nebraska 35, Rutgers 27

Top 10

#1 Clemson (9-0, 6-0) at Syracuse (3-6, 1-4)

The Tigers validated the playoff committee's faith in them by defeating Florida State at home last week. The win clinched the Atlantic Division for Clemson, setting them up for an ACC Championship showdown with North Carolina in the next few weeks. Until then, the Tigers look to navigate what on paper appears to be an easy schedule. I don't think people should overlook the game at South Carolina, as you never know with rivalry games. Cuse have lost six straight and their fans have moved on to basketball season. They will try to make a difference in this game but the Tigers have way too much talent and I expect Deshaun Watson to have his way with the Orange.

Prediction: Clemson 45, Syracuse 27

#2 Alabama (8-1, 5-1)  at #17 Mississippi State (7-2, 3-2)

The Tide crushed LSU at home, and made Leonard Fournette look mortal. Their home loss to a 3 loss Ole Miss team is ancient history to everyone and I am almost surprised the committee didn't make Alabama their number one team. Alabama does have a highly impressive resume and can add another strong road win as they play Dak Prescott and Mississippi State on Saturday. Prescott isn't getting the pub he got last year when he pushed the Bulldogs all the way to number one, but he has been spectacular this season. He has 18 TDs and just 1 interception, and leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 418 yards and 7 touchdowns. The Tide defense was up to the task against Fournette, but he can only run the ball, with Prescott they will have to be aware of both the run and pass. The problem with relying so much on just one guy though, as LSU learned, was if he is shut down, then what do you turn to? Alabama has multiple guys on offense they can turn to. Running back Derrick Henry is their best player and the Ride rode him to 38 carries last week. However, if he was to be slowed down, Jake Coker has shown he can make plays when called upon and avoid the big mistake. The Bulldogs defense follows the bend but don't break model. They can give up a healthy amount of yards, but have only given up 17 points per game this year. More often than not Nick Saban's Tide come up aces in huge games, be it on the road or at home. They will get Mississippi State's best shot, but I don't think it will be enough to officially unseat them as the kings of the SEC. The Bulldogs struggle against the run, so I expect another dominant Henry performance to carry Bama.

Prediction: Alabama 28, Mississippi State 20

 # 3 Ohio State (9-0, 5-0) at Illinois (5-4, 2-3)

The Buckeyes had another uninspiring Cardale Jones led victory last week against Minnesota and happily welcome back J.T. Barrett against Illinois this weekend. The biggest challenge for the Buckeyes won't be the Illini, it will be trying not to look past this game towards their home game with Michigan State next weekend. This is the last cupcake on the Buckeyes schedule, from here on out they are going to have to earn their playoff spot against top teams. When Barrett started Ohio State showed more of an ability to dominate teams they should, so I expect that sort of result on Saturday.

Prediction: Ohio State 41, Illinois 20

Wake Forest (3-6) at #4 Notre Dame (8-1)

I was very impressed with the Irish's performance at Pittsburgh last week. They played focused football and not like a team buying into the hype they received as the 5th ranked team in the first College Football Playoff rankings. DeShon Kizer has been excellent stepping in for Malik Zaire, so good, that I am not sure Zaire will be the starter next year when he is healthy. On paper, this week's game at home against Wake Forest should be a cakewalk. However, hopefully the Irish bring that same level of intensity they brought to Pittsburgh last week and don't lose this trap game. The Demon Deacons are dreadful on offense, having not cleared the 20 point barrier in their past five games. In fact their last win was a 3-0 victory over Boston College a month ago. Deacons QB John Wolford makes far too many mistakes and isn't accurate. The Wake Forest defense on the other hand, has been what has kept them in most games and what could possibly give the Irish some trouble. Honestly, the Irish could probably play all their backups and beat Wake Forest. They may be down to their third string running back, as C.J. Prosise left the game against Pitt with a concussion and is questionable for Saturday. As has been the story all season though, the next man stepped up, this time being Josh Adams and he rumbled for 147 yards rushing. I will be shocked if Will Fuller doesn't have another three touchdown game like he did last week. The march to Stanford and what could amount to a playoff eliminator should roll on this week as the Irish lay waste to Wake Forest and await Boston College for Senior Day.

Prediction: Notre Dame 42, Wake Forest 13

Minnesota (4-5, 1-4) at #5 Iowa (9-0, 5-0)

Boring Iowa will win a boring game while a nation yawns. Not sure why a win over Indiana bumped Iowa up four spots by the committee.

Prediction: Iowa 35, Minnesota 14

# 12 Oklahoma (8-1, 5-1) at #6 Baylor (8-0, 5-0)

We are starting to get into the meat of the Big 12 schedule, where the heavyweights start playing each other and will sort out the mess that the Big 12 currently is. Baylor has run roughshod over their easy scehdule but now they have to face the Sooners with freshman Jarrett Stidham under center. Stidham played well at Kansas State last week, throwing for 419 yards and 3 touchdowns. The rest of the Bears were not as good, as Baylor put up by far their lowest point total of the season with 31. Besides that inexplicable hiccup against Texas, the Sooners have been dominating this season. The amount of offensive talent on display in this game will be fun to watch. For Oklahoma you have QB Baker Mayfield and his 28 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He is complemented by RB Samaje Perine and WR Sterling Shepard. Baylor is loaded with leading rush Shock Linwood and leading receiver Corey Coleman and his absurd 20 touchdowns. The defenses are really just window dressing in this game. If one of the offenses struggles it will more than likely be due to them shooting themselves in the foot and not anything the other team is doing to slow them down. I am tempted to pick the Sooners in this game but have been burned too many times by picking Oklahoma to win in big spots. I think they can match talent with Baylor and since the Bears are using their backup quarterback, I think Oklahoma should win, but they will Stoops it away somehow.

Prediction: Baylor 42, Oklahoma 38

Oregon (6-3, 4-2) at #7 Stanford (8-1, 7-0)

Stanford finds themselves in an interesting spot in this year's matchup against Oregon, they are actually the favorites. They did pretty well for themselves in an underdog role in years past against the Ducks, but the country would be stunned if they are unable to beat Oregon this year. The Ducks have been up and down all season but have had some hard fought victories lately and have looked far more potent on offense when QB Vernon Adams Jr. has been healthy, as he will be for this matchup. Oregon has always struggled with the physicality of Stanford and I expect their defense to have no answer for Cardinals star running back Christian McCaffrey. McCaffrey is a big reason that Stanford has dominated time of possession this season, and why the Stanford defense is giving up just 20 points a game, 30th best in the country. The slow pace will mess up Oregon's rhythm and lead to Stanford pushing past the Ducks.

Prediction: Stanford 30, Oregon 17

#8 Oklahoma State (9-0, 6-0) at Iowa State (3-6, 2-4)

The Cowboys blew out TCU at home and now are receiving way too much hype and praise. Anyone who had slightly been paying attention this year knew how wildly overrated TCU was. They could barely beat bad Minnesota, Kansas State and Texas Tech teams on the road previous to losing to the Cowboys. Despite all this because of Oklahoma State's win all the media pundits felt compelled to place the Cowboys in their Top 4. Thankfully, the committee saw things correctly and while moving up Oklahoma State, is still taking a wait and see attitude. I need to see a little more from them before I consider them a playoff team. How they handle the accolades on the road in a trap game against Iowa State will be interesting to watch. If they can get past Iowa State this weekend, they have both Baylor and Oklahoma at home so everything is right there for the Cowboys. Paul Rhoads Cyclones have pulled off some pretty major upsets at home in the past, but those Cyclones were better than this year's team. The Cyclones have not been competitive against strong competition, and while I think they can make a game of this for a half, they will eventually be boat raced.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 52, Iowa State 28

Arkansas (5-4, 3-2) at #9 LSU (7-1, 4-1)

After a disappointing loss and performance against Alabama last weekend, it will be interesting to see how Les Miles Tigers respond against Arkansas. The Razorbacks are not a team that LSU can take lightly. They are highly talented on offense and have won for of their past five game, including a shootout at Ole Miss last weekend. After a rough go of it last week against Alabama, Leonard Fournette should return to form against a porous Arkansas run defense. Hogs quarterback Brandon Allen could find trouble trying to air it out against a stingy LSU pass defense. Arkansas has proven they can play with just about anyone in the country, so I expect a close, tight game, that won't be decided until the final few minutes.

Prediction: LSU 33, Arkansas 28

#10 Utah (8-1, 5-1) at Arizona (5-5, 2-5)

Before Utah moves on to next week's home game against UCLA, they have to focus on a reeling Wildcats teams. The challenge is that next week's game against UCLA could be what decides who wins the South division in the Pac-12. Despite their recent struggles Arizona should have some confidence going into this game as they have defeated Utah in each of their last three matchups. Utes QB Travis Wilson has had his troubles with Arizona, but I expect that to change on Saturday night. The Wildcats defense has been highly generous in allowing touchdowns, allowing the most in the conference. Utes coach Kyle Whittingham will have his guys ready and I expect Utah to win pretty comfortably.

Prediction: Utah 42, Arizona 27

Last Week: 9-1
Overall: 79-19

The Hail Mary - Week 9

Sunday, November 8

Washington (3-4) at New England (7-0), New England favored by 14

The Redskins have had two weeks to bask in the glory of their come from behind win against Tampa Bay. That has meant two weeks for Redskins fans to continue to try to convince themselves that Kirk Cousins is good and more than just a placeholder for this season. Kirk Cousins is capable of having good games, he also is capable of having very bad games. He lives up to the definition of mediocre and if Redskins fans feel that putting up good stats against a middling Tampa Bay team makes him a franchise quarterback, then I can't convince you otherwise. I feel pretty confident in saying that against the Patriots on Sunday Cousins will throw multiple interceptions. The Patriots will get up big and then Kirk might put up some garbage time numbers and look halfway decent. The Redskins obviously have next to no chance in this game. They can't run the football so they won't be able to control possession and they can't rush the quarterback so Tom Brady is going to kill them. The Redskins just need to try to get out of this game with some dignity and prepare for a game they have a chance in when they play New Orleans next week.

Prediction: New England 38, Washington 20

Miami (3-4) at Buffalo (3-4), Buffalo favored by 3

The good vibes from the first two games of the Dan Campbell era quickly disappeared after the Dolphins were embarrassed on national television by the Patriots. The offense went back to looking toothless and the defense lost its best player, Cameron Wake for the season. With a week and a half to prepare and revenge on their minds, I am hopeful for a much stronger performance from the Dolphins this week. Last time they played Buffalo was at home and the Bills completely dominated the game. The Bills offense has been without Karlos Williams, Tyrod Taylor and Sammy Watkins the past few weeks, but are hopeful to have all of them back for this game. Miami has always struggled winning at Buffalo and I am not confident about Ryan Tannehill's ability to win in a tough road environment. The Dolphins will have to get Lamar Miller rolling in order to have a chance in this game.

Prediction: Buffalo 24, Miami 17

St. Louis (4-3) at Minnesota (5-2), Minnesota favored by 2 1/2

The Vikings are just one game back of the Packers in the NFC North. The Packers have a challenging game at Carolina, so Minnesota could possibly be in a first place tie if they can knock off St. Louis on Sunday. The emergence of Stefon Diggs at wide receiver has helped to improve Teddy Bridgewater's play and given a whole new facet of the Vikings offense that defenses have to account for. The Minnesota offensive line will be challenged all game by the fearsome Rams defensive front. Both teams can be offensively challenged at times, so more than likely this will end up being a defensive struggle. I think the defenses will cancel each other out, and the passing games will take a backseat to the powerful running of Adrian Peterson and Todd Gurley. Fans will be in for a treat watching those two running backs, arguably the two best in the game right now. I think the Vikings will win with a late Blair Walsh field goal and keep rolling.

Prediction: Minnesota 20, St. Louis 17

Green Bay (6-1) at Carolina (7-0), Green Bay favored by 2 1/2

The Packers laid a big, giant turd on national television last Sunday night in the battle of the unbeatens with the Broncos. Aaron Rodgers had the worst game of his career, being held under 100 yards passing, something I wasn't sure I even thought was possible. They better brush themselves off fast though, because it gets no easier as they travel to unbeaten Carolina. Carolina did everything they could to choke away a fourth quarter lead against Indianapolis, but they eventually prevailed in overtime. Honestly, the Packers have been scuffling on offense for the past month, the Broncos game just brought it to a shinier light. I've been accused by some of being too hard on the Panthers, and it is hard to hate on 7-0. I will likely be called a hater for my prediction that the Packers will be the team to end their undefeated run, and also that they will hang 30+ on them. I feel like we will see a Packers team with a ton of fire after their embarrassing performance. They have a defense that lives and dies off of turnovers and Cam Newton has been turnover prone at times this season. Then you have Carolina having to recover on a short week after a Monday night game, and I think it will be too much for them to overcome.

Prediction: Green Bay 34, Carolina 27

Tennessee (1-6) at New Orleans (4-4), New Orleans favored by 8

A three game winning streak has the Saints right back in the thick of things for the playoffs in the NFC. For the Titans, they have lost six straight and fired coach Ken Whisenhunt this week, replacing him with interim coach Mike Mularkey. Some people thought it was unfair that Whisnehunt only got to coach for four games with new franchise QB Marcus Mariota playing but to those people I say look at Whisenhunt's 4-30 record in his last 34 games as coach. Some guys are just meant to be coordinators and Whisenhunt is one of those people. I don't think we will see an initial Dan Campbell like effect on the Titans with Mularkey. This is a deeply flawed team, and one not filled with a lot of talent. Last week, Drew Brees had seven touchdown passes against the Giants and it looked like the Saints offense of yesteryear as they piled up 52 points. The Titans pass defense has been strong this year, but they have struggled stopping the run, so it could be Mark Ingram's time to shine on Sunday.

Prediction: New Orleans 38, Tennessee 14

Jacksonville (2-5) at New York Jets (4-3), New York Jets favored by 2 1/2

The Jets will have Ryan Fitzpatrick starting this game, busted up thumb and all. It is a must win for New York as they can't lost their third straight and start to feel in free fall mode. For Jacksonville, they are just a half game out of first place in the putrid AFC South. Blake Borkles is having a very strong season and has kept one of my six fantasy teams afloat while Tony Romo nurses back to health. The Jets defense had a poor showing last week, so I expect better out of that unit in this game. With Fitzpatrick back, even if he is hurt, I expect their offense to be much more in sync and Brandon Marshall to be a big factor in why the Jets snap their two game losing skid.

Prediction: New York Jets 27, Jacksonville 21

Oakland (4-3) at Pittsburgh (4-4), Pittsburgh favored by 4

Are the Raiders for real? They pounded the Jets in Oakland last week and sure it helped that they got to face Geno Smith instead of Ryan Fitzpatrick (never though I would type something like that), but they were still facing a good Jets defense and Derek Carr torched them. Michael Crabtree has benefited from all the attention being paid to Amari Cooper and is having a strong season. Crabtree always showed that he was good enough to be a number two in San Francisco, but it was trying to live up to the weight of being a number one that doomed him. The Steelers savior Ben Roethlisberger returned last week, then threw three picks and played no better than Mike Vick or Landry Jones had played. The Steelers are hoping that his poor performance can be chalked up to rust and he will be in for better play against Oakland. They really need him now that Le'Veon Bell has been lost for the season. De'Angelo Williams stepped in nicely the first two weeks at least, so the Steelers have to feel some security that he will be able to keep the running game afloat the rest of the season. I think the Raiders are definitely on their way up, but I am not convinced they can go cross country and win a tough road game just yet.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 33, Oakland 23

Atlanta (6-2) at San Francisco (2-6), Atlanta favored by 7

The big news out of San Francisco this week was the benching of Colin Kaepernick in favor of Blaine Gabbert. It is hard to believe that the guy who was lighting up the league just a few years ago and made Aaron Rodgers his bitch on a regular basis is now considered worse than the awful Gabbert. The falls of Kaepernick and RGIII have been stunning to watch. It seems like the end of the road for Kap in San Francisco and with the Niners losing week after week they might have a shot at trying to draft a franchise quarterback come April. The Niners have been decimated by injuries at running back as Carlos Hyde may be shut down for the season with a stress fracture in his foot and Reggie Bush tore his ACL sneezing. Then the other move the 49ers made this week was trading Vernon Davis to Denver. You may have forgotten Davis was still in the league since he has done next to nothing the past two seasons. But more than likely, he will go to Denver and start thriving, pouring further salt in the 49ers wounds. Matt Ryan has been the definition of mediocre this season but even if he doesn't play well, I am sure Devonta Freeman will run all over the 49ers. Plus, Ryan just has to hit Julio Jones with one or two throws, as the 49ers secondary will no doubt be burned constantly by him. Hey, they may even make Roddy White relevant again for a week. Sigh.

Prediction: Atlanta 23, San Francisco 9

New York Giants (4-4) at Tampa Bay (3-4), New York Giants favored by 2 1/2

The big story for this game is the return of Jason Pierre-Paul for the Giants. For those that don't know Pierre-Paul mangled one of his hands in a fireworks accident on the 4th of July. Pictures recently came out of what his hand now looks like and it isn't pretty. But JPP insists it won't stop him from rushing and sacking the quarterback. It is not often that you score 49 points and still lose but that is what happened to New York last week against the Saints. Eli Manning has been crushing it this season, throwing 17 touchdowns and just 4 picks. If the Giants had a true running game they would probably be a good team instead of a mediocre one. Tampa Bay had a very nice win at Atlanta last week and showed great resolve a week after blowing a game they should have won against Washington. Jamies Winston has been showing improvement week after week and the Bucs have been far more competitive this season than I think anyone expected. If they want to legitimize their playoff chances, a win against New York would go a long way towards that. Unfortunately, I think Eli is going to pick apart their defense, like he did New Orleans and the Giants will creep back over .500.

Prediction: New York Giants 34, Tampa Bay 31

Denver (7-0) at Indianapolis (3-5), Denver favored by 4

Peyton Manning's return to Indianapolis a second time doesn't have near the luster it did the first time. The Manning these Colts fans will see is nothing like the Manning they watched for years and years. Peyton did play well against Green Bay last weekend, but still didn't throw any touchdowns. For the first time all season, the Broncos rushing game was on points with CJ Andreson going over 100 yards and Ronnie Hillman contributing as well. Earlier this week Denver traded for Vernon Davis, and are hopeful that a change of scenery can revive his career, as Virgil Green and Owen Daniels just weren't getting it done. The Colts made changes to the coaching staff this week, firing Andrew Luck's coordinator going back to his Stanford days, Pep Hamilton. Rumor has it if the Colts lose this game then Chuck Pagano could be next to go. It appears they are dealing with the same type of dysfunction that sunk the 49ers season last year. The Denver defense is not one you want to play if you are looking to get back on track, and I expect another long day at the office for Luck and the Colts on Sunday.

Prediction: Denver 28, Indianapolis 17

Philadelphia (3-4) at Dallas (2-5), Philadelphia favored by 2 1/2

Quite a bit has changed since Dallas defeated Philly in Week 2. The Eagles have gone 3-2 since then to creep back into the NFC Least race. It was that game where Tony Romo was injured and since his injury the Cowboys are 0-5. They are expecting Romo back in two weeks against Miami, but they need to at least scrape one victory while he is out to have any hopes of salvaging their season when he returns. This game will mark DeMarco Murray's return to Dallas and he will be hoping it goes much better than his first effort against the Cowboys this year. There has been talk that he should be supplanted in the starting lineup by Ryan Mathews, but Chip Kelly seems to prefer Mathews as more a change of pace kind of guy. The Cowboys defense has given up over 100 yards rushing in four of their past five games, so if Kelly is smart he will commit to the run. Sam Bradford and Matt Cassel will likely make plenty of mistakes, so each team will have ample opportunities to convert turnovers into points in this game. Dallas hasn't proven they can win without Romo and even with Dez Bryant back for a second straight game, it doesn't matter if he doesn't have a quarterback that can consistently get him the ball. I think Philly takes the win, splitting the season series and pushing Dallas closer to the brink of a lost season.  

Prediction: Philadelphia 26, Dallas 20


Monday, November 9

Chicago (2-5) at San Diego (2-6), San Diego favored by 4

A pretty lousy Monday Night game although seeing guh huh Philip Rivers and dope faced Jay Cutler play each other will bring back memories of their Broncos/Chargers tilts. Those two had a feud four years ago or so, but it seems to all be water under the bridge now. Both are fathers, I think Jay has one kid and Philip has his clan of 25 children. The Chargers lost Keenan Allen for the season, so it might be time for Stevie Johnson, Malcom Floyd and of course old dependable Antonio Gates to shine. It certainly won't be Melvin Gordon's time to shine because he is a bum.  The Bears have injuries of their own, as Matt Forte will miss this game and likely the next one with a knee injury. That means rookie Jeremy Langford should get the start and who knows, maybe he will teach Gordon a thing or two about being an effective rookie rusher.

Prediction: San Diego 29, Chicago 16

Last Week Straight Up: 9-5
Overall Straight Up: 79-40

Last Week Against the Spread: 6-7-1
Overall Against the Spread: 56-59-4

Cram Session - Week 10

Thursday, November 5

Cleveland (2-6) at Cincinnati (7-0), Cincinnati favored by 10 1/2

I don't have a ton of interest in this game, but Johnny "Football" Manziel will be starting for the injured Josh McCown so that could be somewhat interesting. The Browns came close to trading their all world left tackle Joe Thomas to the Broncos, so when Manziel is getting sacked tonight he can remember that it could have been much worse. Looking ahead for the Bengals, it would be surprising if they aren't 9-0 heading into their newly flexed primetime game in Week 11 at Arizona. Nationally televised night games have been a bit of a bugaboo for Andy Dalton and Cincinnati, including an embarrassing loss at home on Thursday Night Football to Cleveland last season. I think the Bengals flip the script tonight and embarrass and add to the Brows misery.

Prediction: Cincinnati 35, Cleveland 13

Top 10

Thursday, November 5

#6 Baylor (7-0, 4-0) at Kansas State (3-4, 0-4)

This will be the Bears last tuneup game before their schedule kicks into high gear the next three weeks. After they obliterate Kansas State tonight, they next face Oklahoma at home and then travel to Oklahoma State and TCU. That would have already been a difficult challenge, but it was made even harder when starting quarterback Seth Russell was lost for the year due to a neck injury. Freshman Jarrett Stidham is the new starter and now we find out if the Bears offense just hums along like nothing happened, or if the Russell injury is what derails their promising season. This K-State game should at least allow him to get his legs underneath him, get in some sort of rhythm and gain some confidence going into their gauntlet schedule in November.

Prediction: Baylor 45, Kansas State 28

Saturday, November 7

#16 Florida State (7-1, 5-1) at #1 Clemson (8-0, 5-0)

This was the first week that the official College Football Playoff Top 25 was released and Clemson finds themselves at the top of the mountain. Now of course the rankings are merely just discussion fodder at this point and don't matter until after the season concludes but it does show the Tigers that even if they were to lose this game, and it was competitive they could still be in playoff contention. Of course, that isn't the attitude I expect Dabo Swinney or his players to take. Game planning for the Seminoles this week will be a challenge for the Tigers as we don't yet know if Sean Maguire or Everett Golson will get the start for Florida State. Seminoles star RB Dalvin Cook is also questionable, although I would be very surprised if he sits this game out. Cook spurned Clemson in the recruiting process and some Tigers have vowed to make him pay for that decision. Tigers QB Deshaun Watson has been excellent in the Tigers last two games and seems to be past the interception bug that had bit him previous to those games. Cook gets most of the headlines in the ACC but the Tigers also have an excellent running back in Wayne Gallman. These teams are both run heavy and the Seminoles defense has struggled stopping the run more than Clemson's. The last time Florida State was in Death Valley they mauled the Tigers and embarrassed them in primetime. Whether its Maguire or Golson the result will be the same. I expect a competitive, tight game, and as long as Watson doesn't become interception happy, the Tigers to further raise their playoff stock with a signature win.

Prediction: Clemson 28, Florida State 23

#2 LSU (7-0, 4-0) at #4 Alabama (7-1, 4-1)

Right now both these teams are playoff teams but after one of them loses to the other on Saturday I would expect that to change. For Alabama a loss should mean the end of their playoff hopes, although their brand always seems to get raised despite any losses they might have. The game might not be as crucial for LSU, but obviously any loss leaves you open to the subjectivity of the committee. Bama is the more complete team of the two. They can run and pass the ball and their defense is better than the Tigers. So with all that being said this should be a blowout right? As Lee Corso says, not so fast my friend. LSU has the transcendent Leonard Fournette at running back and he has shown that he can lead LSU to victories despite the Tigers having no semblance of a passing game for most of the season. Fournette's lowest rushing output this year was last game's 150 yards against Western Kentucky of all teams. Fournette is good enough to keep LSU in this game, but he alone can't beat a team like Alabama. That means that Tigers QB Brandon Harris will hav eto summon a performance similar to how he has played in his last three games. He has 7 touchdowns in those three games and no interceptions, passing for over 200 yards in each one. If Harris can maintain that level of play, the Tigers of LSU, not Clemson, are the best team in the country. He was able to do it against Florida, which has a stout defense, but that was at home. I'm not convinced he can go into a hostile atmosphere and replicate those performances. I expect Derrick Henry to wear down the Tigers defense, especially late in the game. Fournette will get his but the Tide will force Harris into mistakes, and Bama will quiet some of their playoff critics by knocking off unbeaten LSU.

Prediction: Alabama 22, LSU 19

Minnesota (4-4, 1-3) at #3 Ohio State (8-0, 4-0)

Ohio State will have just one more joke game left on their schedule after they host the Golden Gophers on Saturday. Cardale Jones will be back as the starting quarterback as J.T. Barrett will serve a suspension for this game after his OVI arrest. OVI is basically a DUI in Ohesian. The Golden Gophers had a heartbreaking loss last week at home against Michigan, as poor clock management and hubris doomed them. Interim coach Tracy Claeys got a little too excited and went for the win at the goal line, instead of going with the safer field goal option to take the game to overtime. He won't have to fret over such decisions this week.

Prediction: Ohio State 38, Minnesota 16

#5 Notre Dame (7-1) at Pittsburgh (6-2)

Red zone blunders, something that was a major problem last season, nearly cost Notre Dame at Temple last Saturday. However, DeShone Kizer continued showing his flair for the dramatic and connected with Will Fuller for the game winning touchdown in the closing minutes. This week presents another tough road test in an NFL stadium, when the Irish face Pittsburgh. Pitt had been in the Top 25 as recently as last week before losing to North Carolina. Pitt always finds themselves in close games, seven of their eight games this season have been decided by a touchdown or less. They are a stronger defensive team than they are an offensive juggernaut. That's not to say they don't have some players the Notre Dame defense will have to account for. QB Nathan Peterman hasn't thrown an interception since he threw two at undefeated Iowa in Week 3.  He completes 67% of his passes and while not spectacular, he is solid, sort of like the college version of Alex Smith. His favorite target is easily Tyler Boyd, who leads the Panthers with 63 catches, including 22 in his last two games. Freshman Qadree Ollison has been up and down at running back, as most freshman usually are. Pitt got down big at one point to Carolina last week so he was phased out of the game. However, when the Panthers have been able to establish the run, he has delivered. The Irish have the major edge on offense, but it could be a tough day passing for Kizer against a Panthers defense that gives up just 186 yards passing per game. That makes it imperative that C.J. Prosise doesn't disappear like he did against Temple last week. Prosises was held to just 25 yards on 14 carries and has played very poorly in the Irish's last two road games. I expect a bounce back performance from him this week and I also think Kizer will make things happen with the passing game. The Panthers might be able to spring the upset if Notre Dame can't get Prosise going early. I expect this game to be another tough one for Notre Dame, but if they can scratch out a victory here, they have two easy games at home against Wake Forest and Boston College, before traveling to Stanford to close the season. The top teams are all starting to play each other in this last month and could knock each other out, so if Notre Dame can take care of business, the playoffs are within reach.

Prediction: Notre Dame 30, Pittsburgh 24

#7 Michigan State (8-0, 4-0) at Nebraska (3-6, 1-4)

So when I wanted the Huskers to fire Bo Pelini because he couldn't get Nebraska over the hump, the idea I had was they wouldn't hire a mediocre coach out of Oregon State. I wanted to believe that athletic director Shawn Eichorst knew what he was doing when he hired Riley, but after last week's embarrassing loss at Purdue, it seems pretty clear Riley is in over his head. I remember a time when having to go to Nebraska and try to beat them in Memorial Stadium was a challenge, those were the days. Now, the Spartans probably see this game as merely a speed bump as they head to a battle in Columbus in two weeks. Spartans QB Connor Cook should have a field day against Nebraska's atrocious secondary. Besides their terrible secondary, what has really hurt Nebraska is their inability to establish a rushing attack this season. They can't count on Terrell Newby to do anything so their only hope in this game is Tommy Armstrong protects the football and the Huskers pretty lethal passing attack is able to take over. That will be tough since the Spartans have a pretty stingy pass defense. While a home game doesn't mean much as much anymore, Nebraska at least has remained competitive at home, so I don't think they will roll over and die against Sparty. Plus, Michigan State has shown a habit of struggling to put away bad teams. But I don't think their good enough defensively to pull off the upset and with Rutgers, and Iowa remaining on the schedule, a 4-8 finish to the season seems inevitable.

Prediction: Michigan State 30, Nebraska 21

#8 TCU (8-0, 5-0) at #14 Oklahoma State (8-0, 5-0)

By ranking the Horned Frogs eight, the committee seems to agree with me in how fraudy they think TCU is. Much like Baylor, TCU will have ample opportunity to prove themselves over the next month. TCU has survived three road scares against subpar teams, but this week they have a true road test against unbeaten Oklahoma State. The Cowboys have also beaten no one of note this season, so this game is crucial for them to make their undefeated record actually mean something. Defense will be optional in this game, like it is in most Big 12 matchups, so the game will simply come down to who makes more plays, Trevone Boykin or Mason Rudolph. Rudolph will have to avoid the pick bug. His team was able to overcome his three picks to beat West Virginia a few weeks ago, he throws even one pick in this game, Boykin will promptly march the Horned Frogs down the field and put TCU in control. The other Horned Frog the Pokes have to try to slow down is WR Josh Doctson. Doctson has 14 touchdowns this year and has had two or more touchdowns in six straight games. I've picked against TCU twice and came oh so close to getting it right, maybe the third time will be the charm?

Prediction: Oklahoma State 47, TCU 44

#9 Iowa (8-0, 4-0) at Indiana (4-4, 0-4)

Despite being unbeaten the only prayer Iowa has of reaching the Playoff is to win their remaining games, including the Big Ten championship and hope everyone around them loses. The only ranked team the Hawkeyes have played this year is Northwestern. A win against the Hoosiers will really do nothing to help Iowa, but if the Hoosiers keep the game close it can only hurt the Hawkeyes already suspect reputation. I think that is exactly the scenario that will play itself out on Saturday.

Prediction: Iowa 27, Indiana 23

Vanderbilt (3-5, 1-3) at #10 Florida (7-1, 5-1)

With their win over Georiga last week the Gators locked up the SEC East and have basically guaranteed themselves a place in the SEC Championship game. They can make it official by beating Vanderbilt on Saturday, which they will do easily. Next week at South Carolina is a possible trap game, but besides that, their home game against Florida State is the only true challenge left on Florida's schedule before the SEC Championship. If the Gators take care of business their next four games, they will definitely be playing for a playoff spot when they face the SEC West representative in the championship game. Treon Harris played uneven against Georgia but if Kelvin Taylor continues gashing defenses and the Gators defense remains formidable, Harris simply needs to be adequate.

Prediction: Florida 38, Vanderbilt 9

#11 Stanford (7-1, 6-0) at Colorado (4-5, 1-4)

The Cardinal survived at Washington State, as the Cougars missed a field goal as time expired, giving Stanford their seventh straight victory.  The Buffaloes of Colorado won't be an easy out though for Kevin Hogan and stud RB Christian McCaffrey. The Buffs have a lot of offensive firepower that will test a pretty good Stanford defense. Plus, the early start was dangerous for Stanford in Week 1 at Northwestern and this game will have a 10 AM pacific start for Stanford. I wouldn't be surprised if the Cardinal aren't in another dogfight this week, but I expect them to once again prevail.

Prediction: Stanford 30, Colorado 23

Last Week: 5-1
Overall: 70-18

The Hail Mary - Week 8

Sunday, November 1

Detroit (1-6) "at" Kansas City (2-5) in London, England, Kansas City favored by 5

Prediction: Detroit 31, Kansas City 24

San Francisco (2-5) at St. Louis (3-3), St. Louis favored by 8

Prediction: St. Louis 24, San Francisco 12

Minnesota (4-2) at Chicago (2-4), Chicago favored by 1

Prediction: Minnesota 29, Chicago 21

Tampa Bay (2-4) at Atlanta (6-1), Atlanta favored by 7 1/2

Prediction: Atlanta 35, Tampa Bay 20

Arizona (5-2) at Cleveland (2-5), Arizona favored by 6 1/2

Prediction: Arizona 38, Cleveland 17

New York Giants (4-3) at New Orleans (3-4), New Orleans favored by 3 1/2

Prediction: New York Giants 27, New Orleans 24

San Diego (2-5) at Baltimore (1-6), Baltimore favored by 3

Prediction: Baltimore 33, San Diego 27

Cincinnati (6-0) at Pittsburgh (4-3), Line is even

Prediction: Pittsburgh 28, Cincinnati 25

Tennessee (1-5) at Houston (2-5), Line is even

Prediction: Houston 24, Tennessee 17

New York Jets (4-2) at Oakland (3-3), New York Jets favored by 2 1/2

Prediction: Oakland 26, New York Jets 20

Seattle (3-4) at Dallas (2-4), Seattle favored by 6

Prediction: Seattle 26, Dallas 17

Green Bay (6-0) at Denver (6-0), Green Bay favored by 2 1/2

Prediction: Green Bay 24, Denver 20


Monday, November 2

Indianapolis (3-4) at Carolina (6-0), Carolina favored by 7

Prediction: Carolina 31, Indianapolis 20

Last Week Straight Up: 11-3
Overall Straight Up: 70-35

Last Week Against the Spread: 7-7
Overall Against the Spread: 50-52-3

Cram Session - Week 9

Thursday, October 29

Miami (3-3) at New England (6-0), New England favored by 8

Prediction: New England 28, Miami 21


Games That Matter To Me

Nebraska (3-5, 1-3) at Purdue (1-6, 0-3)

Prediction: Nebraska 29, Purdue 17


Top 10

Thursday, October 29

West Virginia (3-3, 0-3) at #5 TCU (7-0, 4-0)

Prediction: TCU 55, West Virginia 37

#3 Clemson (7-0, 4-0) at North Carolina State (5-2, 1-2)

Prediction: Clemson 31, North Carolina State 23

#8 Stanford (6-1, 5-0) at Washington State (5-2, 3-1)

Prediction: Stanford 38, Washington State 24

#9 Notre Dame (6-1) at #21 Temple (7-0)

Prediction: Notre Dame 35, Temple 27

Maryland (2-5, 0-3) at #10 Iowa (7-0, 3-0)

Prediction: Iowa 34, Maryland 17

Last Week: 7-3
Overall: 65-17

The Hail Mary - Week 7

Sunday, October 25

Buffalo (3-3) "at" Jacksonville (1-5) in London, England, Buffalo favored by 5

Prediction: Buffalo 27, Jacksonville 20

Tampa Bay (2-3) at Washington (2-4), Washington favored by 3

Prediction: Washington 24, Tampa Bay 17

Minnesota (3-2) at Detroit (1-5), Minnesota favored by 2 1/2

Prediction: Minnesota 31, Detroit 24

Houston (2-4) at Miami (2-3), Miami favored by 4 1/2

Prediction: Miami 30, Houston 27

Atlanta (5-1) at Tennessee (1-4), Atlanta favored by 4 1/2

Prediction: Atlanta 38, Tennessee 21

New Orleans (2-4) at Indianapolis (3-3), Indianapolis favored by 4 1/2

Prediction: Indianapolis 35, New Orleans 27

Pittsburgh (4-2) at Kansas City (1-5), no line

Prediction: Kansas City 18, Pittsburgh 15

Cleveland (2-4) at St. Louis (2-3), St. Louis favored by 5 1/2

Prediction: St. Louis 22, Cleveland 20

New York Jets (4-1) at New England (5-0), New England favored by 9

Prediction: New England 28, New York Jets 20

Oakland (2-3) at San Diego (2-4), San Diego favored by 4

Prediction: San Diego 33, Oakland 30

Dallas (2-3) at New York Giants (3-3), New York Giants favored by 3 1/2

Prediction: New York Giants 30, Dallas 21

Philadelphia (3-3) at Carolina (5-0), Carolina favored by 3

Prediction: Carolina 24, Philadelphia 16


Monday, October 26

Baltimore (1-5) at Arizona (4-2), Arizona favored by 7 1/2

Prediction: Arizona 34, Baltimore 21

Last Week Straight Up: 9-5
Overall Straight Up: 59-32

Last Week Against the Spread: 6-7-1
Overall Against the Spread: 43-45-3

Cram Session - Week 8

Seattle (2-4) at San Francisco (2-4), Seattle favored by 6

Prediction: Seattle 20, San Francisco 16

Games That Matter To Me

Northwestern (5-2, 1-2) at Nebraska (3-4, 1-2)

Prediction: Nebraska 31, Northwestern 21


Top 10

#1 Ohio State (7-0, 3-0) at Rutgers (3-3, 1-2)

Prediction: Ohio State 45, Rutgers 17

Iowa State (2-4, 1-2) at #2 Baylor (6-0, 3-0)

Prediction: Baylor 64, Iowa State 28

#3 Utah (6-0, 3-0) at USC (3-3, 1-2)

Prediction: Utah 28, USC 27

Western Kentucky (6-1) at #5 LSU (6-0)

Prediction: LSU 34, Western Kentucky 20

#6 Clemson (6-0, 3-0) at Miami (4-2, 1-1)

Prediction: Clemson 35, Miami 20

Indiana (4-3, 0-3) at #7 Michigan State (7-0, 3-0)

Prediction: Michigan State 27, Indiana 17

Tennessee (3-3, 1-2) at #8 Alabama (6-1, 3-1)

Prediction: Alabama 28, Tennessee 18

#9 Florida State (6-0, 3-0) at Georgia Tech (2-5, 0-4)

Prediction: Florida State 42, Georgia Tech 24

Washington (3-3, 1-2) at #10 Stanford (5-1, 4-0)

Prediction: Stanford 30, Washington 20

Last Week: 7-2
Overall: 58-14

The Hail Mary - Week 6

Sunday, October 18

Washington (2-3) at New York Jets (3-1), New York Jets favored by 6

The Redskins played their hearts out in Atlanta but it wasn't enough as Kirk Cousins threw a pick six in overtime. Receiver Ryan Grant slipped on the play and he took the bullet for the play but the throw was so off from where Grant was going to be, that to me it just looked like Careless Kirk rearing his ugly head. Now to be fair, Cousins did drive the Redskins down the field at the end of regulation to force overtime. No one is denying that Cousins has moments where he looks like a bonafide NFL starter. His problem has been he can't string enough of those moments together without having a major screw up in between them. The Jets are well rested for this game after having their bye week and their best position players, RB Chris Ivory and WR Brandon Marshall should be in line for strong games. The Redskins run defense had no answers for Devonta Freeman last week and Marshall's size will give the Skins corners trouble. Washington might get DeSean Jackson back this week but he would probably be covered by Darrelle Revis and thus be mostly a decoy. I think Cousins is going to struggle against the Jets secondary and try to force the issue, which means more interceptions. The Redskins will do enough to keep it close but once again come up short in the clutch.

Prediction: New York Jets 20, Washington 17

Kansas City (1-4) at Minnesota (2-2), Minnesota favored by 3 1/2

The Chiefs aren't going to win the AFC West I predicted and now without Jamaal Charles for the rest of the season, the question is when will they win another game. Charcandrick West will have to be the second coming in order for the Chiefs to not desperately miss Charles production. The Vikings have struggled in recent years coming off of a bye and while they are just .500 so far this season, their last game was a strong performance at Denver. Adrian Peterson has looked refreshed and as awesome as ever but Teddy Bridgewater hasn't taken the leap this year many expected of him. He seemed to develop a rapport with Mike Wallace last game, and hopefully they can carry that chemistry to this weekend against the Chiefs porous pass defense. How awful the Chiefs defense has been so far this year is one of the more surprising stories in the league. Big Red Andy Reid will have to try to drown his sorrows in a lot of barbecue after this game.

Prediction: Minnesota 28, Kansas City 17

Miami (1-3) at Tennessee (1-3), Tennessee favored by 2 1/2

I asked for the Dolphins to leave Joe Philbin in London and that is essentially what they did, firing Philbin another listless defeat. Interim coach Dan Campbell reminds me of Mike Singletary which isn't really a good thing. However, he seems to love old school football which should mean increased carries for Lamar Miller, which makes my fantasy football side very happy. QB Ryan Tannehill needs to get his play together and also his demeanor, as it is never a good look to berate practice squad guys for taking advantage of your sorry play. The Titans blew a game against Buffalo last week that they should have won. They were playing at home, and the Bills were down a lot of weapons on offense. You have to wonder how patient ownership will remain with Ken Whisenhunt, who is now 4-28 in his last 32 games as a coach. That is astoundingly bad. I think he will be 4-29 after Sunday as the new voice of Campbell will breathe some life into Miami.

Prediction: Miami 24, Tennessee 21

Arizona (4-1) at Pittsburgh (3-2), Arizona favored by 3

After taking a week off the Cardinals defense was back to its swarming, turnover causing selves in a blowout at Detroit. The offense was given good field position all game and Carson Palmer and David Johnson took advantage of it. The Steelers won their game on the last play of the game when they boldly went for a touchdown, instead of settling for a game tying field goal. Ben Roethlibserger is still likely about a week from returning, so Mike Vick is expected to make his third straight start. Vick was awful for three quarters at San Diego before turning things around just in time in the fourth quarter. If he is terrible on Sunday, then the Cardinals defense will eat him alive. He was helped out last week by Le'Veon Bell carrying the rushing load but for Pittsburgh to win this game Vick has to find a way to get Antonio Brown involved in the offense. No one is wishing for Roethlisberger to be back more than Brown, who has had just 8 catches and no touchdowns in his past two games. The Cardinals offense is just filled with weapons, even more so now that Andre Ellington is back and Chris Johnson seems to be undergoing the same career revival that Larry Fitzgerald is having. You can bet Cardinals coach Bruce Arians will be revved up for this game, as he was fired as the Steelers offensive coordinator a few years ago. With no Ben, I don't think the Steelers will be able to knock off the Cardinals.

Prediction: Arizona 34, Pittsburgh 24

Cincinnati (5-0) at Buffalo (3-2), Cincinnati favored by 3 1/2

Quite a stirring comeback from the Bengals, who overcame a 24-7 deficit to knock off the Seahawks in overtime. The Bills got an ugly win at Tennessee but it was a good win considering they were without Sammy Watkins, Karlos Williams, and LeSean McCoy. They may get Watkins and Williams back this week, but McCoy is likely out and now QB Tyrod Taylor is likely to miss the game. If Taylor can't go that would mean the return for at least one week, of E.J. Manuel to the starting position. To beat the Bengals you need to be at your best and be healthy and the Bills are likely to be neither on Sunday. They will need their defense to try to keep them in the game, but I don't think they will be able to do enough offensively to really give the Bengals a scare.

Prediction: Cincinnati 27, Buffalo 17

Chicago (2-3) at Detroit (0-5), Detroit favored by 3

The Bears pulled out a gutsy win at Kansas City last week, while things might have hit rock bottom in Detroit as Matt Stafford was benched after throwing his third interception. Stafford will be back under center on Sunday as the Lions try to join the 31 other teams in the NFL that have victories. At this point Detroit is simply playing for pride. The Bears probably thought they were only playing for pride after starting the year 0-3 and trading away defensive starters. But since then they got healthy against the AFC West and a third straight win is certainly within reach. They are hopeful that Alshon Jeffrey will return for this game and see his first action since Week 1. It would help the Lions if RB Ameer Abdullah could curb his fumbling problem. At Nebraska, it was often overlooked because he would be running for so many yards, but he isn't doing that in Detroit so far. Calvin Johnson isn't the same player as injuries have caught up with him and so a year after an 11-5 season, things are back to looking bleak for Detroit. But for one Sunday at least, I think they will find some light, as they will knock off the Chicago Bears behind a fired up Stafford and earn their first win of the year.

Prediction: Detroit 24, Chicago 20

Denver (5-0) at Cleveland (2-3), Denver favored by 4

Peyton Manning has 6 TDs and 7 INTs this year and yet the Broncos are 5-0. Two or three years ago, hell, even last season, there is no way this could have ever been the case. But on the backs of a strong defense, Denver keeps winning games in spite of their offense. They can't find a running game and Manning seems like a shell of his former self. The Browns QB Josh McCown is having a throwback to his 2013 season with the Bears. He has been putting up video game like numbers recently and it could be reasonably argued that at this point in the season he is currently a better quarterback than Manning. If Manning is going to have a vintage Manning performance, then the Browns are the perfect team to do it against. The Browns defense is giving up 413 yards per game, and 263.6 yards passing per game. Maybe this is also finally the game where Ronnie Hillman or C.J. Anderson will do something. I was thinking about picking the Browns to pull the upset, but they're the Browns, and while they had a one week reprieve last week of Brownsing a game, order will restore itself on Sunday.

Prediction: Denver 22, Cleveland 20

Houston (1-4) at Jacksonville (1-4), Houston favored by 1

Another solid performance from Jaguars quarterback Bloof Bortles. If the Jaguars would actually win, then I think I would finally come around on Mr. Bortles. The Houston Texans are so sorry that they couldn't beat a Matt Hasselebeck led team at home, and also allowed Andre Johnson to come out of hiding and catch two touchdowns on them. To top it all off, Bill O'Brien once again made a switch at quarterback, going back to Brian Hoyer. Jacksonville has been coming oh so close in recent weeks, and even with Bortles dealing with a shoulder injury, I am confident in his ability to put up another strong game and given Jacksonville their second wind of the season.

Prediction: Jacksonville 35, Houston 31

Carolina (4-0) at Seattle (2-3), Seattle favored by 7

I have been accused of hating on the Panthers, but even I think this line from Vegas is ridiculous. Seattle is a botched call from the refs against the Lions away from being 1-4. It has to be troubling to the Seahawks that their vaunted defense couldn't hold on to a 17 point second half lead. A year or two ago and that type of lead would have meant game over. The Panthers have had two weeks to prepare for this game and Josh Norman is quickly making a name for himself as a premiere cornerback in the NFL. If he keeps this up he might become the new Richard Sherman and teams will avoid going to his side altogether. Panthers LB Luke Kuechly is out of the concussion protocol and should be back for this game. Now, while I do find the line too high, I still have respect for the power of Qwest Field and how hard it is for opponents. This should be a game highlighted by defensive performances more than offensive. It will be interesting to see how Cam Newton and Russell Wilson use their legs to evade pressure in this game and make plays. Whichever quarterback is more successful at that will lead their team to victory. In this case, I think the homefield will be the difference, although I think the Panthers are the better team.

Prediction: Seattle 20, Carolina 17

San Diego (2-3) at Green Bay (5-0), Green Bay favored by 10

After a brutal loss last Monday night the Chargers now have to travel to Lambeau and try to be competitive with the Packers. Aaron Rodgers showed he was human by actually throwing 2 interceptions at home last week against the Rams. The Packers still won comfortably, as their defense forced turnovers themselves. The Packers defense of recent years has seemed to have that bend but don't break philosophy. They will give up yards and points in bunches but create enough turnovers that it doesn't hurt the team. Philip Rivers has thrown three pick sixes this year and I think it is likely he throws another one in this game. Antonio Gates had 2 touchdowns last week in his return, which helps the passing game, but the Chargers still can't get Melvin Gordon or the run game going. Speaking of struggling rushing games, the Packers are waiting on Eddie Lacy to have his first impactful game of the season. The Chargers don't have a good rush defense, so maybe this is the week.

Prediction: Green Bay 38, San Diego 21

Baltimore (1-4) at San Francisco (1-4), Baltimore favored by 2 1/2

A couple interesting storylines in this game between bad teams. John Harbaugh coaching against his brother's former team. John said that he doesn't harbor any resentment towards the 49ers on how things ended between them and his brother, but surely he was just being diplomatic. Former Ravens wideout Torrey Smith plays his former team, and based on his lack of production so far this season, its hard to tell that he actually is a part of the 49ers now. The 49ers played their best game since the opener against the Giants last Sunday, but it wasn't enough as they lost in heartbreaking fashion. Colin Kaepernick and the offense at least looked competent again. The Ravens used to be unbeatable at home but then blew a lead to the Browns and it is becoming increasingly clear that the Ravens are not the team they used to be. Joe Flacco hopes to have Steve Smith Sr. back for this game, but even his group of unknown receivers will probably rack up big yards against the 49ers generous pass defense. The 49ers have played just two home games so far this year but in their first home game they actually looked like a good team and in their second one they surprisingly were somewhat competitive with Green Bay. With how the Ravens are floundering, I think this is a good spot for the fart whisperer Jim Tomsula to lead his team to their second win of the season.

Prediction: San Francisco 24, Baltimore 21

New England (4-0) at Indianapolis (3-2), New England favored by 8

Based on how the Patriots have dominated the Colts since the Andrew Luck era begin, including in last season's AFC Championship game, you think this would be a possible revenge game for the Colts. But you also would have been living under a rock the past 10 months, which might have been a good thing so you wouldn't have heard about this stupid DeflateGate story. The Patriots will be the ones looking for revenge after the Colts snitched on them and nearly got Tom Brady suspended for a quarter of the season. Their snitching did lead to a fine for the Patriots and a loss of draft picks. Tom Brady even admitted that he has an extra bit of motivation for this game because of the controversy. The Colts managed to win their past two games without Andrew Luck and as expected got healthy playing the AFC South for three straight weeks. However, it is back to real competition and even with Luck expected to return for this game, I expect nothing less than another Patriots blowout win. The Colts have never been able to stop the Patriots run game, so I would expect a gameplan centered around LaGarrette Blount and Dion Lewis. Frank Gore has started looking better the past few weeks and he will need to have a strong game for the Colts to have a chance. But even if he does rush pretty well, Luck has looked uneven all season, and the Patriots are not the team for him to get right against.

Prediction: New England 42, Indianapolis 24


Monday, October 19

New York Giants (3-2) at Philadelphia (2-3), Philadelphia favored by 4

The Eagles offense put 3 quarters of strong football together and routed the Saints last Sunday. DeMarco Murray finally got over 20 carries and scored his first rushing touchdown for Philly and now the Eagles could be tied for first place in the NFC East if they can beat the Giants. Murray could be in line for another big game if Philly commits to him as the Giants run defense is mediocre at best. New York has won three straight after an 0-2 start, mostly because QB Eli Manning is having one of the finest seasons of his career so far. It was pretty amazing watching him lead the winning drive against the Niners without Reuben Randle and Odell Beckham Jr. serving as only a decoy. The Eagles are favored in this game but I don't have a good feeling about this one. They haven't been able to sustain any forward momentum this season and Sam Bradford, while playing better recently is still throwing too many interceptions. With how well Eli is playing right now, I think the Giants make it clear after Monday night that they are the team to beat in the NFC Least.

Prediction: New York Giants 26, Philadelphia 21

Last Week Straight Up: 9-5
Overall Straight Up: 50-27

Last Week Against the Spread: 6-7-1
Overall Against the Spread: 37-38-2

Cram Session - Week 7

Thursday, October 15

Atlanta (5-0) at New Orleans (1-4), Atlanta favored by 3

In Sunday's win over the Redskins, Matt Ryan was off, but thanks to Devonta Freeman having another big day and their defense, Atlanta remained unbeaten. They now have to turn around and go on the road in a short week against a Saints team that badly needs a new direction. If the Saints end up winning four or five games this year I would be very surprised if Sean Payton and Drew Brees are back next season. The Saints are clearly in need of a total rebuild. They did finally end their home losing streak a few weeks ago against Dallas, but the game was closer than it should have been with all the pieces the Cowboys are missing. Julio Jones has been battling a hamstring injury and hasn't quite looked himself the last two weeks. That being said, Jones at 75% is still one of the best receivers in the league. I expect Ryan to have a far better game this week and I also think Freeman is due for another 100-yard rushing effort against a leaky Saints defense. Brees will keep the Saints in the game, but as has been shown the last two years, he isn't the old Brees that can will them to victories.

Prediction: Atlanta 27, New Orleans 23


Games That Matter To Me

USC (3-2) at #14 Notre Dame (5-1)

It's been quite a week for the Trojans. First their former head coach Steve Sarkisian was asked to take a leave of absence after reportedly showing up drunk to practice. Then a day later, he was fired by Athletic Director and former Notre Dame commentator Pat Haden. Clay Helton is the interim coach and Cody Kessler and the rest of the Trojans will have to try to drown out all the noise and put forth a strong effort under the lights at Notre Dame Stadium. The Irish handed Navy a 17 point defeat last week, but the score doesn't indicate how close the game was. Navy was right there with the Irish in the first half, but Notre Dame responded strongly to put the game away in the second half. The Irish are looking to avenge an embarrassing loss at USC last year, when Kessler threw 6 TDs against them. WR JuJu Smith-Schuster didn't have any of those last year but if Kessler throws a touchdown in this game it will likely be to Smith-Schuster, who leads the Trojans with 6 TDs. He was held without a touchdown catch for the first time in a game last week in the Trojans loss to Washington. The whole offense played terribly and Notre Dame has to hope that is the USC team that shows up Saturday. Both of these teams struggle defensively and pour on the points and yards offensively, so this game could quickly turn into a track meet. Notre Dame has trouble stopping the run so that could mean a big day is in store for Trojans RB Tre Madden, who burned Washington for 7 yards a carry last week. Irish QB DeShone Kizer will have every opportunity to connect with Will Fuller who got on track against Navy after disappearing against Clemson the week before. C.J. Prosise also got back on track last week after a tough game against Clemson and he should be able to shred the Trojans weak rushing defense. After this game, the Irish have four very winnable games before closing the season at Stanford. An impressive win against USC will go a long way towards keeping Notre Dame in the College Football Playoff discussion.

Prediction: Notre Dame 38, USC 24

Nebraska (2-4, 0-2) at Minnesota (4-2, 1-1)

It appeared that Nebraska was finally going to win a close game last week after Wisconsin missed a game winning field goal with less than two minutes left in the game. But the Badgers still had all three of their timeouts and after holding Nebraska to a three and out, they got the ball back and drove down the field, hitting the winning field goal and sending Nebraska to their fourth heartbreaking loss of the season. The only goal left for the Huskers this year is to try to at least win four of their last six games and become bowl eligible. They have three ranked teams left on their schedule so odds are the Huskers will have their first losing season since 2007. When people said Bo Pelini must go they were expecting a much more inspiring hire than old, mediocre Mike Riley. To avoid their third straight loss the Huskers will have to win their first road game of the season, and also end a 2-game losing streak to Minnesota. The Gophers played TCU tough in their opener and have since played pretty mediocre competition, aside from being shut out by Northwestern on the road. The Golden Gophers have very little offense to speak of and rely on their defense to win games. After a strong start to the season Tommy Armstrong Jr. has been terribly inaccurate and ineffective the last two weeks for Nebraska. Since the Huskers don't have a running game that they can count on, Armstrong will have to play much better if Nebraska is to upset Minnesota. I never thought I would be talking about Nebraska needing to upset Minnesota, sigh. When I pick Nebraska to win they lose, so maybe I go with the reverse jinx this week and hope the Huskers finally get back on the winning side of things.

Prediction: Minnesota 27, Nebraska 20


Top 10

Penn State (5-1, 2-0) at #1 Ohio State (6-0, 2-0)

The Buckeyes path to the College Football playoff continues Saturday night when they host Penn State under the lights. The Nittany Lions lost to Temple in the opener, which looked bad at the time, but the Owls are currently undefeated. Since that loss, Penn State has reeled off five straight wins, although none against what would you call stiff competition. The Nittany Lions do have Christian Hackenberg at quarterback, a player that NFL scouts have been drooling over. Hackenberg has decent numbers this year but his last two games have not been very good, as he has barely completed over 50% of his passes. In fact, he has only cleared 200 yards passing in two of his six games this year. The Nittany Lions success has really been because of their defense. They allow just 275.7 yards per game and if they were to pull off the huge upset it would be because of their defense. The Buckeyes had one of their better offensive showings of the season against Maryland last week, but QB Cardale Jones can be turnover prone. The biggest question is can Penn State slow down Ezekiel Elliott? Even if Jones were to struggles, Elliott has shown he can carry the offense on his back. It's clear that Ohio State will struggle at some point this game, as they pretty much have in every game this season. It is also clear that eventually they will make the plays needed to secure victory and remain unbeaten.

Prediction: Ohio State 34, Penn State 20

West Virginia (3-2, 0-2) at #2 Baylor (5-0, 2-0)

There will be tons of fireworks in this one so basically like any other Big 12 game. Neither team plays defense but they both play offense very well. The problem for West Virginia is that Baylor plays offense at a level that no one can come close to matching. The Bears average 725 yards a game, an absolutely insane statistic. They distribute their offense just about evenly, with the passing attack averaging 367 yards a game and the rushing attack averaging 358 yards per game. Their lowest point total this season is 56. The Mountaineers are coming off a tough loss at home to Oklahoma State and a once promising season could really start going off the rails if they drop their third straight game here. I think they will hold Baylor to their lowest point total of the season, the problem is that, I still think the Bears will put up 54 points. The Mountaineers defense is going to have no answers for Bears QB Seth Russell and RB Shock Linwood.

Prediction: Baylor 54, West Virginia 30

#3 TCU (6-0, 3-0) at Iowa State (2-3, 1-1)

The Horned Frogs once again survived by the skin of their teeth on the road against an unranked opponent. They overcame a 35-17 halftime deficit to defeat Kansas State and remain unbeaten. Their time will be up at some point, most likely in two weeks when they travel to Stillwater to face Oklahoma State. Iowa State has sprung upsets at home in the past, but I don't think they have it in them to knock off TCU. Trevone Boykin is going to make plays all over the field, and the Horned Frogs will give up points all over the field but still stake along undefeated.

Prediction: TCU 49, Iowa State 31

Arizona State (4-2, 2-1) at #4 Utah (5-0, 2-0)

The Utes survived a tough home test against previously unbeaten Cal last weekend, and now face another test from the Sun Devils. Arizona State has played really well the last two weeks, after being blown out by USC at home. They handled previously unbeaten UCLA at home, and then blasted Colorado. The Sun Devils have a high powered offense led by QB Mike Bercovici, who is coming off a 5 touchdown performance in the win against Colorado. The Utes won their last game on the back of their defense, which forced six Cal turnovers and picked off NFL prospect Jared Goff five times. They also had a strong game from RB Devontae Booker, which helped overcome a poor performance by QB Travis Wilson. I think the Utes defense will cause Bercovici to make enough mistakes that they will once again survive undefeated by the skin of their teeth.

Prediction: Utah 35, Arizona State 28

#8 Florida (6-0, 4-0) at #6 LSU (5-0, 3-0)

Gator Nation received quite the shock on Monday when it was announced that starting QB Will Grier had been suspended for a year for testing positive for a performance enhancing drug. That thrusts Treon Harris back into the starting role he held for the final six games last season. Harris presents a different type of threat than Grier and shouldn't be too far of a downgrade from what Grier was providing them. That being said, he has seen limited action this year, which means the Gator offense might lean more heavily on RB Kelvin Taylor. Taylor has struggled his past two games, failing to reach 100 yards rushing and averaging less than 4 yards a carry. The LSU run defense is pretty stout so it figures to be another tough day for Taylor on Saturday. The Gators defense is top notch as well but even they are probably not capable of containing Tigers RB Leonard Fournette. Fournette's streak of 200+ yard rushing games came to an end last week but he still piled up 158 yards rushing and averaged almost 8 yards a carry. The Tigers average a pathetic 122 yards passing per game, so Fournette is about it offensively. If the Gators can contain him, they will win the game. Easier said than done though, and with the distractions that the Grier suspension brought about this week, I like LSU to squeak out a victory in this battle of unbeatens.

Prediction: LSU 24, Florida 17

#7 Michigan State (6-0, 2-0) at #12 Michigan (5-1, 2-0)

As a 49ers fan, watching Jim Harbaugh instantly turn around Michigan like he instantly turned around the 49ers has been tough. Oh, what could have still been for San Francisco. But the 49ers loss has certainly been the Wolverines gain. Michigan's defense is on an absurd streak of shutting out their opponent three straight games. In five games this season, the Wolverines have allowed 38 points, with 24 of those coming in the opener against Utah. Michigan State has been known for their defense the past few seasons, but their defense isn't what it once was, and they mostly rely on Connor Cook to lead them to victory. Cook has 12 TDs and just 2 INTs this season and has made some big plays in tight games. Most of the Spartans wins have been tight, including against subpar opponents, Purdue and Rutgers. The Spartans are going to have to up their play significantly at the Big House on Sunday to have any chance of "upsetting" the Wolverines. The Spartans best playmaker offensively arguably is WR Aaron Burbridge. Burbridge was the shining star against Rutgers and if Cook is able to get the passing game going in this one, it will be because Burbridge is making plays. Wolverines QB Jake Rudock is serviceable at best and his job basically is to not throw any pick 6's like he did in the opener so the defense can do their thing. I don't think Michigan will have a fourth straight shutout in them but I do believe they will dominate and be the key to Michigan beating the Spartans for just the second time in their last eight meetings.

Prediction: Michigan 21, Michigan State 14

#10 Alabama (5-1, 2-1) at #9 Texas A&M (5-0, 2-0)

Another tough road test for the Crimson Tide, but this time Vegas has them favored, so Nick Saban can't have a pity party if they win this game. The Aggies had last week so coach Kevin Sumlin and his staff have had plenty of time to prep for this game. Bama might be wishing they had two weeks to prepare for Aggies quarterback Kyle Allen. Allen has been excellent thus far and is a true duel threat in that he is a good passer and when the opportunity presents itself an advantageous rusher. The big edge Alabama has is their defense is far superior to the Aggies. Alabama allows less than 200 yards passing per game and less than 100 yards rushing. The Aggies will have to work extra hard to the ball in the hands of freshman WR Christian Kirk. I expect the difference maker in this game to be Bama RB Derrick Henry. I think the Bama offensive line will open plenty of holes for him and he will have a rushing day like he did against Georgia a few weeks ago. If Henry can do that then Jake Coker can simply manage the game, which seems to work best for Alabama, because when he presses he throws picks. This game looks like another chance for Alabama to remind everyone that they are the class of the SEC, and I expect another resounding statement similar to what we saw against Georgia.

Prediction: Alabama 37, Texas A&M 24

Last Week: 8-3
Overall: 51-12