Thursday, September 13, 2012

Cram Session - Week 3

Before I get into this weekend's college football action, a look at tonight's NFL battle between the Bears and Packers. Because there will be a Thursday NFL game the entire season, this will become a weekly part of Cram Session.

Thursday, September 13

Chicago (1-0) at Green Bay (0-1), Green Bay favored by 6

It stinks. I'm not talking about trash, dirty socks, or flatulence, I'm speaking of the Packers defense. Maybe Alex Smith really has become that good, but I tend to think the atrociousness of the Packers defense is what made Smith look like a Hall of Famer. It doesn't get any easier for the Pack as they have a quick turnaround and have to host Jay Cutler and the Bears. Cutler is salivating at the thought of what he and Brandon Marshall can do to the Packers secondary. However, Cutler also has to hope he has time to find his receivers, and that is always a question mark with his offensive line. Matt Forte could also have a big game on the ground going against the Packers leaky front seven. It is looking like Aaron Rodgers will be without his #1 target Greg Jennings, who suffered a groin injury against San Francisco. Fortunately for him, the Packers are pretty loaded at wide receiver and should be fine. This will be a close game, but I envision Rodgers driving the Pack down the field late, scoring the game winning touchdown and just narrowly avoiding a scary 0-2 start to the season.

Prediction: Green Bay 27, Chicago 23


Games That Matter To Me

Arkansas State (1-1) at Nebraska (1-1)

Fortunately, I didn't get to watch much of Nebraska's disappointing defeat at UCLA, as I was busy with my bachelor party. I can only imagine how frustrating it would have been to watch a freshman quarterback, and their running back tear the the Huskers defense to shreds. Lately, the defense has seemed to slip to Bill Callahan era levels of ineptness. The defense will be tested again this weekend as Gus Malzahn brings Arkansas State to town. Malzahn is considered to be an offensive wizard and it show has shown for the Red Wolves thus far, as they have averaged 33.5 points through two games. QB Ryan Aplin is a dual threat weapon, much like Brett Hundley from UCLA. I don't think he is near as good as Hundley, but he will keep the Nebraska linebackers honest. The Huskers run defense will have to step up their game if they hope to slown down RB David Oku. Aplin's top receivers are Josh Jarboe, who already has 19 catches through two games, and freshman J.D. McKissic. Also, it appears that Taylor Martinez still sucks as a passer and the week one game was an outlier.  The Huskers still don't know if Rex Burkhead will be able to give it a go after missing last week's game. However, the running game wasn't the problem, as Ameer Abdullah averaged over 7 yards a carry against the Bruins. Arkansas State doesn't play defense, which is a good thing, because if they did, I might be a little more scared about this game. Must win game for the Huskers.

Prediction: Nebraska 41, Arkansas State 27 





Top 10

#1 Alabama (2-0, 0-0) at Arkansas (1-1, 0-0)

Well this game sure lost its luster. This was going to be a huge game in the 2012 season, but Bobby Petrino couldn't say no to horse teeth, and then Arkansas went and lost to Louisiana-Monroe. That lost dropped the Razorbacks from 8th to unranked and has made the Tide overwhelming favorites in this game. A major reason for the Razorbacks collapse last week was Tyler Wilson having to leave the game. The Tide are preparing as if he will play, and if he does play it the only way possible Arkansas will lose by less than 20.  

Prediction: Alabama 38, Arkansas 21 

#2 USC (2-0, 0-0) at #21 Stanford (2-0, 0-0)

This has become the game of the weekend. USC was less than impressive in their win over Syracuse, while Stanford shook off a close opener with San Jose State, and destroyed Duke. A win would gave Stanford its first ever four game winning streak against USC. For the Cardinal to have any chance, their defense will have to pressure Trojans QB Matt Barkley constantly and not allow Maruise Lee and Robert Woods to take over the game. They also then have to focus on RB Silas Redd. Cardinal QB Josh Nunes looked better last week, but he probably won't know what hit him going up against USC. Because of that, it is imperative that Stepfan Taylor establish himself early in the ground game. Being at home will help Stanford keep this close, but it won't be enough to overcome USC's overwhelming talent.

Prediction: USC 26, Stanford 21 

Idaho (0-2) at #3 LSU (2-0)

LSU rolled Washington and didn't allow Huskies QB Keith Price to do anything against them. Poor, poor Idaho.

Prediction: LSU 45, Idaho 6 

Tennessee Tech (2-0) at #4 Oregon (2-0)

It is beyond hilarious to me that Notre Dame get's criticism for scheduling service academies, but teams like Oregon play a complete joke of a non-conference schedule and you don't hear a peep.

Prediction: Oregon 56, Tennessee Tech 17 

Wake Forest (2-0, 1-0) at #5 Florida State (2-0, 0-0)

One of those teams with a joke non-conference schedule is the Seminoles, who finally have to play a team with a pulse this weekend. They open up conference play against Wake Forest, who surprisingly defeated North Carolina last weekend. I think the Seminoles will get off to a slow start as they get used to playing an actual team, but will eventually run away with the game.

Prediction: Florida State 34, Wake Forest 20 

Florida Atlanta (1-1) at #7 Georgia (2-0)

Georgia was on the ropes against Missouri but scored a flurry of points late to make the game appear less close than it really was. Still, an impressive win for the Bulldogs and maybe they are better than I thought. They get to mess around with Florida Atlantic this weekend and then start to face the true meat of their SEC schedule.

Prediction: Georgia 51, Florida Atlantic 16 

UAB (0-1) at #8 South Carolina (2-0)

Despite being without their starting QB Connor Shaw, the Cocks violated East Carolina last weekend. It looks like Dylan Thompson will get the start again, and going up against a team like UAB, should be another chance for him to add to the confidence he gained from last week's start against East Carolina.

Prediction: South Carolina 42, UAB 13 

James Madison (2-0) vs. #9 West Virginia (1-0), in Landover, MD

Can the Dukes do anything to slow down the Moutaineers high powered offense? West Virginia ended last season by putting 70 points up on Clemson, then opened this year with 69 against Marshall. They can't overlook JMU, which memorably beat Virginia Tech in Blacksburg in 2010. This game will be played at FedEx Field and they should have a good amount of fans there. Think this game might stay close early, but the Mountaineers attack is too powerful.

Prediction: West Virginia 48, James Madison 31 

#20 Notre Dame (2-0) at #10 Michigan State (2-0)

Off the field, the Irish made headlines as it was announced they will be going to the ACC. They will retain their independent status in football but have committed to scheduling 5 ACC games a season. I like the move for the Irish, mostly because the ACC is terrible at football.

On the field, they play in the second biggest game of the weekend as they travel to East Lansing to take on the Spartans. Not many people are giving the Irish a chance, but to me those people are overselling how good Michigan State actually is. Their quarterback Andrew Maxwell, hasn't yet proven he can play well against upper echelon competition. Their star running back, Le'Veon Bell was held in check by Central Michigan, and did nothing against Notre Dame last season. The Spartans passing game isn't scary, and Notre Dame has been excellent against the run so far. 

What does concern me as an Irish fan is how Notre Dame will fare on the road against a stout Spartan defense. Everett Golson is expected to start, despite being replaced by Tommy Rees in the Purdue game. Rees came in and proceeded to direct the game winning drive. I think Golson will start, but I expect to see Rees get some time, as he has more experience playing in hostile environments. The Irish will also be getting back RB Cierre Wood, who is done serving his 2 game suspension. That is key, because the Irish rushing game did next to nothing without him against Purdue. Michigan State will have their hands full with Tyler Eifert, and also the emerging DeVaris Daniels. 

Notre Dame handled Michigan State last season, and not enough has changed in a year to think that they can't beat the Spartans this season. Far less talented Irish teams have gone into Spartan Stadium and competed. I feel confident that Notre Dame can move the ball enough on offense to pull off the upset. 



Prediction: Notre Dame 23, Michigan State 20 

Last Week: 8-3
Overall: 18-3

 






Friday, September 7, 2012

The Hail Mary - Week 1

There is no better way to recover from a bachelor party than by sitting in front of the TV for 10 hours watching football. Fiancee willing, that is what I will be doing Sunday as the NFL season fully kicks off. My favorite team, the San Francisco 49ers, are in the game of the day when they take on the Green Bay Packers. We will also see the debuts of highly touted rookie quarterbacks Andrew Luck, and Bob Griffin III against the Bears and Saints.


Sunday, September 9

Indianapolis at Chicago, Chicago favored by 9 1/2

A lot of people are very high on the Bears, with some even talking Super Bowl. I find that talk preposterous and don't even expect the Bears to make the playoffs. They will be better in the passing game with  Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery, but the offensive line is still a major issue and the defense is getting older. I think that Luck can make the Colts at least competitive right away, which would be a major step up from last season. I expect this game to go right down to the wire.

Prediction: Chicago 24, Indianapolis 20

Philadelphia at Cleveland, Philadelphia favored by 8

Things are going to get very ugly in Cleveland this season, which considering their history is really saying something. For the Eagles, this is a lot like last season where they get to open up against a bad team. The course of the Eagles season won't really be determined from this game, but the tougher games over the next couple of weeks. It is possible that the Browns best player, CB Joe Haden will be able to play as he appeals a four game suspension. Even if he does, the Eagles have way too many weapons for the Browns to match up against.

Prediction: Philadelphia 28, Cleveland 14

St. Louis at Detroit, Detroit favored by 8 1/2

Isn't it strange to see the Lions favored by 8 1/2? Makes sense though as they are coming off a playoff season, while the Rams won just two games. The Rams are hoping that Jeff Fisher and a slew of draft picks that they have acquired will lead to future success. For the time being they will have to take their lumps. I don't expect them to have many wins this year but I am expect them to be in a lot more games than they were last season. The Detroit offense should pick up right where it left off, with the lethal combo of Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson.

Prediction: Detroit 26, St. Louis 18

New England at Tennessee, New England favored by 6

I like the Titans chances of surprising most people and taking the AFC South this season. Jake Locker looked good in relief of Matt Hasselbeck last season, and I feel he has the mobility and the arm to succeed in the NFL. Going with my theme of being high on the Titans, I am picking them to upset the Patriots in this game. I think the Patriots line is still coming together with some new parts and that the Titans can exploit that. Even with the additions on defense, I am still not sold on that unit being significantly better this season. Don't get wrong, I still think the Patriots will make the Super Bowl, but they have a history of starting slow, and I think that will play out on Sunday.

Prediction: Tennessee 26, New England 24

Atlanta at Kansas City, Atlanta favored by 2 1/2

Another team getting some hype that I can't understand is the Falcons. Sure, they have been good in the regular season consistently in the Matt Ryan/Mike Smith era, but in their two playoff games they were blown out. I think the running game may fall off a cliff with Michael Turner starting to wear down. They do have Jacquizz Rodgers as his backup but Rodgers is tiny and I am not sure how durable he will be either. Ryan certainly has the weapons to throw to, but I felt like Roddy White was inconsistent last year, and Julio Jones was up and down as well. As for the Chiefs, considering all the turmoil and injuries they went through last year, they actually had an alright season. They have remained healthy through the preseason, so now it is up to Matt Cassel to try to prove his worth. This should be an exciting game, and I think the Chiefs win it with a late touchdown.

Prediction: Kansas City 21, Atlanta 20

Jacksonville at Minnesota, Minnesota favored by 4

It appears that Adrian Peterson will start this game, which is pretty miraculous following the major knee injury he suffered at the end of last season. It will be interesting to see how much the injury affects his speed bursts that have led to him being a dominant rusher. The Jaguars star running back Maurice Jones-Drew finally reported to camp, and while not expected to start, should receive a good amount of carries. These teams will need their running backs to carry them because they can't count on second year quarterbacks Christian Ponder and Blaine Gabbert. This will be a defensive battle, with the homefield advantage propelling Minnesota to victory.

Prediction: Minnesota 20, Jacksonville 13

Washington at New Orleans, New Orleans favored by 9

RGIII couldn't ask for a tougher place to start his career than the craziness that is the Superdome. The Saints were unbeatable at home last year, with every defense they faced being unable to slow their high powered offense. No one knows what to expect from Griffin, but I think he will have a good game, mostly because I don't think the Saints are very good on defense. Plus, I think no matter who runs the ball between Roy Helu, Evan Royster, or Alfred Morris will have success. Drew Brees should have a field day picking apart the Redskins secondary, especially their safeties. They lost Tenard Jackson for the year to a drug suspension and will also be without Brandon Merriweather. They were already pretty weak at that position, and now they are downright terrible.  Maybe in Washington, the Skins could pull off the upset, but playing a team that will have a crowd already jazzed up because of the Bountygate debacle will prove to be impossible to overcome.

Prediction: New Orleans 30, Washington 23

Buffalo at New York Jets, New York Jets favored by 3

What I believe will be a long, awful season, begins at home Sunday for the New York Jets. How much Tim Tebow will we see? Will it be as quarterback, running back, wide receiver, special teams? The Bills debut their revamped defensive line, with Mario Williams and Mark Anderson. I think they will make an immediate impact, including stuffing the Jets questionable running game. Expect to hear boos for Mark Sanchez by the third quarter at the latest.

Prediction: Buffalo 24, New York Jets 14

Miami at Houston, Houston favored by 11

I was probably a bit too optimistic when I pegged the Dolphins to get six wins this season. You can't take too much out of preseason but the Dolphins were terrible in just about every possible phase. Ryan Tannehill will have his work cut out for him on the road against one of the best defenses in the league last season. Houston fans will finally get to see what it is like to watch a healthy football team after not getting that for most of last year. Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson are back, throw in Arian Foster and Ben Tate, and the Texans should have no problem pouring it on the Miami defense.

Prediction: Houston 31, Miami 14

San Francisco at Green Bay, Green Bay favored by 5 1/2

Everyone is ready to write off the 49ers 2011 season as a fluke. No way Alex Smith can be that good again they say, or no way that defense can be that good again. Nevermind the fact that the 49ers beast defense returns every starter from last year. Let's forget that the Niners still play in the crappy NFC West and can wreck shop within the division. I don't think the Niners will win 13 games again, but they can certainly win at least 11 are definitely Super Bowl contenders. With the defense they have, they don't need Smith to be Superman, just competent. As for Green Bay, their is no questioning their offensive prowess, but their defense was atrocious last year. It came back to bite them in the playoffs when the offense couldn't stop turning the ball over. They didn't have a defense that could overcome the offense struggling. They tried to address that in the draft and also moved the aging Charles Woodson to safety. They need a better season out of BJ Raji, who disappeared way too often at times last season. Lambeau is always an intimidating place to play, and the game will come down to how much the Niners defense can slow the Packers offense. I don't think they will be able to do quite enough, and the Niners will suffer a heartbreaking defeat.

Prediction: Green Bay 27, San Francisco 23

Seattle at Arizona, Seattle favored by 2 1/2

Seahawks rookie quarterback Russell Wilson makes his debut in Arizona. These teams both feature overpaid backup quarterbacks, the Seahawks with Matt Flynn and the Cardinals with Kevin Kolb. John Skelton may have beaten out Kolb for the job but it wasn't like he was overly impressive in doing so. It will be fun to watch the debuts of RB Ryan Williams and WR Michael Floyd for the Cardinals. Arizona, no matter how good or bad, is always tough to beat at home, so I think they squeak this one out.

Prediction: Arizona 25, Seattle 23

Carolina at Tampa Bay, Carolina favored by 2 1/2

Panthers quarterback Cam Newton begins his second act. He will need to have a hell of a season to live up to his rookie year. I think he can and that is the reason I think this will be a playoff season for Carolina. Tampa Bay made a lot of flashy signings, but I still doubt Josh Freeman, and I don't think they did enough to improve a horrifically bad defense.

Prediction: Carolina 28, Tampa Bay 24

Pittsburgh at Denver, Denver favored by 1

Peyton Manning makes his official debut as a Bronco under the Sunday night lights. This game will be all about how well he plays, and also everyone watching how he recovers from that first big hit he gets from Pittsburgh. For the Steelers, this is the debut of a new offensive system under Todd Haley. How effective will Mike Wallace be at wide receiver after holding out for most of training camp. I think both teams offenses will have some kinks to work out, so this will be a low scoring game.

Prediction: Denver 17, Pittsburgh 15

Monday, September 10

Cincinnati at Baltimore, Baltimore favored by 6

The Bengals made the playoffs in Andy Dalton's rookie year last season, but couldn't beat either the Ravens or Steelers. They are hoping to get 2012 off to a different start when they travel to Baltimore on Monday night. The Ravens are looking to show that even without Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs, they can still be a dominant defense. Can Joe Flacco show real improvement in his fifth season? He may think he is elite but not many others agree with that assessment. I expect a close, mostly ugly game, with Ray Rice proving to be the difference maker.

Prediction: Baltimore 24, Cincinnati 21

San Diego at Oakland, San Diego favored by 1

Carson Palmer will be under center for a full season for the Raiders who once again have a new head coach. You would think at some point they would realize that changing coaches every year isn't really conducive to winning. But hey, at least it is Week 1 so that means that Darren McFadden is healthy for the time being. Norv Turner continues to have naked pictures of his bosses or something, as he somehow holds jobs while doing a shitty job longer than anyone in the history of coaching. Maybe it's because saps like me keep picking the Chargers to make the playoffs. Philip "guh huh" Rivers needs to play more like 2010 guh huh and less like 2011 guh huh for that to happen for San Diego. That will largely depend on how effective the passing game can be without Vincent Jackson, and if Antonio Gates can stay healthy. As for this game, I think the Raiders suck, and Palmer is good for at least two turnovers, giving the Chargers the win.

Prediction: San Diego 29, Oakland 21

Thursday, September 6, 2012

Cram Session - Week 2

Things should get a little more interesting in college football this weekend Georgia has to travel to SEC newcomer Missouri, which is never an easy place to win. As for my favorite teams, Notre Dame and Nebraska, they should be tested this weekend as well. Notre Dame hosts Purdue, who has been an easy game for a few years now, but the Boilermakers are thought by some to be an improved team. Nebraska has a tough road test in Pasadena against UCLA. They may be without their best player, RB Rex Burkhead, who suffered an injury in the opener.


Games That Matter To Me

Purdue (1-0) at #22 Notre Dame (1-0)

I didn't get to see any of the game but based on the score I feel safe in saying that the Irish looked impressive in Dublin against Navy. Everett Golson was solid in his debut but wasn't needed to do too much because the Irish run game was so dominant, even without Cierre Wood. They will be without Wood again this week, so the bulk of the carries will once again be from Theo Riddick and George Atkinson III. TE Tyler Eifert didn't produce a ton of yards but did score a touchdown in the victory. The defense looked good and did a nice job stifling the Midshipmen's rushing attack. The Boilermakers are more of a passing team so the Irish will have to adjust to that this week. They are welcoming back starting QB Caleb TerBush from suspension. TerBush never was really able to make an impact in last year's game against Notre Dame because the Irish raced out to a huge lead quickly. He is a threat to run the ball and is an accurate passer. Purdue receivers O.J. Ross and Antavian Edison played well against Eastern Kentucky last week, but it will be quite the step up in competition for them in South Bend. I expect this to be a back and forth game, but the Irish defense to make enough plays late to secure the victory.

Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Purdue 21

#16 Nebraska (1-0) at UCLA (1-0)

In years prior this may not look like much of a test for the Huskers, but it is a new era in UCLA with Jim Mora Jr. as the head coach. The Bruins got off to a fast start, especially running the ball, in their opening week rout at Rice. Freshman QB Brett Hundley proved to be a threat both passing and running the ball. Most of the Huskers attention on defense will have to go to RB Johnathan Franklin, who rushed for 215 yards in the win against Rice, and 3 TD's. Special teams will be something to watch, as the Bruins had their of their extra points blocked in the opener. Taylor Martinez made headlines for Nebraska against Southern Miss as he had a banner day throwing the ball. Martinez completed 76.5% of his passes for 354 yards and 5 TDs. The Huskers lost Burkhead early to a knee injury but the running game did fine without him, led by Ameer Abdullah, Braylon Heard and Imani Cross. Burkhead will be a game time decision and will make every effort to play. This game makes me nervous but I think that Martinez has found another defense that he can successfully throw against. The Huskers will have to slow down Franklin, and I think they will be successful in forcing the freshman Hundley to make some mistakes.

Prediction: Nebraska 33, UCLA 20


Top 10

Western Kentucky (1-0) at #1 Alabama (1-0)

The talk of the college football world following last weekend's games was how the Crimson Tide obliterated Michigan. People expected Alabama to still be good but with a major turnover on defense, people weren't expecting them to look that good. This week, the Tide get a tune up against Western Kentucky before their big showdown at Arkansas next weekend. Nick Saban won't show too much in this game and he won't have to.

Prediction: Alabama 35, Western Kentucky 7

#2 USC (1-0) at Syracuse (0-1)

The Trojans crushed Hawaii 49-10 and still dropped to number two in the polls. People will have more respect for their efforts this weekend as they take on Syracuse at the Carrier Dome. The Orange were lit up by the Northwestern offense, so things could get mighty ugly against Matt Barkley and company. Syracuse gave USC a scare last season but I expect things to be much different this year.

Prediction: USC 58, Syracuse 21

Washington (1-0) at #3 LSU (1-0)

The Tigers defense will be tested by the talented Huskies quarterback Keith Price, but it is the Huskies defense that will have to find a way to slow down the Tigers rushing attack. Both Kenny Hilliard and Alfred Blue ran for over 100 yards in the Tigers opener. I think this game will stay close in the first half, but the talent of LSU, as well as their defense will eventually overwhelm Washington.

Prediction: LSU 34, Washington 17

Fresno State (1-0) at #4 Oregon (1-0)

The Ducks offense looked like it won't miss a beat, even with a freshman quarterback as they raced to 50 points in the first half against Arkansas State. RBs Kenjon Barner and De'Anthony Thomas looked unstoppable, and freshman QB Marcus Mariota played well. The Ducks schedule plays out in such a way that they may not even be tested until they travel to USC on November 3rd.

Prediction: Oregon 48, Fresno State 24

Florida A&M (0-1) at #5 Oklahoma (1-0)

The Sooners looked sluggish at UTEP and only led by three going into the fourth quarter, before pulling away for a 24-7 win. The critics were quick to jump on Oklahoma, so the Sooners will probably be chomping at the bit when they host Florida A&M. One positive for the Sooners was that the Landry Jones/Kenny Stills connection picked up right where they left off.

Prediction: Oklahoma 42, Florida A&M 7

Savannah State (0-1) at #6 Florida State (1-0)

Florida State's joke of a schedule continues as they host Savannah State. The Seminoles did get stuck with this game after West Virginia bailed. Poor Savannah State is coming off of an 84-0 thrashing at Oklahoma State. I think this week they will hold their opponent under 60 and actually score some points.

Prediction: Florida State 55, Savannah State 6

#7 Georgia (1-0, 0-0) at Missouri (1-0, 0-0)

Missouri dives right into SEC action as they host Georgia. I feel like the Bulldogs have been getting way too much hype and a shoddy win over Buffalo only further emboldened my stance. Now they will have to try to win under the lights in Columbia. The edge in quarterback decisively goes to Georgia with Aaron Murray and the running games are pretty evenly matched. Freshman Todd Gurley made his presence felt immediately in the opener, while the Tigers Kendial Lawrence needed just ten carries to get 121 yards and 2 TDs in the Tigers opener. It will be up to Missouri's defense to make some big plays and slow down the Bulldogs attack. The atmosphere and crowd will be a major advantage for Missouri and will lead to the first true major upset of the season.

Prediction: Missouri 27, Georgia 24

Louisiana-Monroe (0-0) at #8 Arkansas (1-0)

This game is technically being played at a neutral site, but that neutral site is Little Rock, Arkansas. The Razorbacks got off to a slow start against Jacksonville State last week before pulling away. Knile Davis had a disappointing game but Tyler Wilson looked fantastic. This game is all about keeping everyone healthy before the huge game against Alabama next weekend.

Prediction: Arkansas 47, Louisiana-Monroe 20

East Carolina (1-0) at #9 South Carolina (1-0)

The Gamecocks got quite a scary at Vandy last week but it was hard to tell if Vanderbilt was better than people thought or if the Gamecocks are overrated. We might get a clearer picture of that when they host East Carolina. I am leaning towards them being overrated and think that the Cocks are in for another close one.

Prediction: South Carolina 28, East Carolina 21 

Last Week: 10-0 







Wednesday, September 5, 2012

The Hail Mary - Opening Night

Dallas at New York Giants, New York Giants favored by 4

It should be a national holiday. Sure, we just had Labor Day two days ago but America already has the fewest holidays, so adding another one wouldn't hurt. I am speaking of the opening of the NFL season.  For the next 21 out of 22 Sunday's myself, and many others will have plans. Anyone that knows me understands what a sports fanatic I am, but my love for football is well beyond the love I have for any other sport.

Enough about my fandom, time to talk about tonight's game. The Cowboys pick up where their 2011 season ended, at MetLife Stadium. Last year they lost their season finale at New York in a win or go home game. Despite the Giants sweeping the season series last year, Cowboys owner Jerry Jones couldn't stop himself from flapping his gums. Jones spoke of how the Cowboys were going to kick the Giants asses when they played them this year. If they do kick the Giants asses they will be doing it minus TE Jason Whitten and Jay Ratliff. However, Romo will still have some weapons, including Miles Austin, Dez Bryant, and DeMarco Murray in the backfield. The Giants pass rush has given the Cowboys fits in recent history and that will be a major factor to watch. Will Romo have any time to throw the ball?

Eli Manning and the Giants have some new parts on what was an efficient offense last season. David Wilson will make his debut at running back and will likely get a fair share of the workload with Ahmad Bradshaw. Hakeem Nicks is healthy just in time for the start of the season, and Victor Cruz begins in his quest to prove that he isn't a one year wonder. They will be going against a new look Cowboys secondary, featuring free agent signing Brandon Carr, and highly touted draft pick Morris Claiborne.

Defending Super Bowl champions have not lost their opening game since 1999. Even if the Cowboys weren't missing some key pieces I wouldn't be high on their chances of going into Jersey and getting a victory. It will be a tightly contested game, and one that I think the defenses will shine more than the offenses. In the end, the difference will be the Giants pass rush, as they won't allow Romo to get on track.

Prediction: New York Giants 23, Dallas 17

Tuesday, September 4, 2012

2012 NFL Predictions

All eight divisions have been previewed, now it is time to pick how the playoffs will unfold. In the NFC, I think that the 49ers, Saints, and Packers despite seeing drops in their win totals from last season, will all repeat as division champs. I think the Eagles will take the NFC East, and last year's NFC East and Super Bowl champions, the New York Giants will miss the playoffs altogether. The wild card spots will be taken by the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers. In the AFC, I predict that the Broncos and Patriots will repeat as division champions, while the Steelers and the Titans will win the AFC North and AFC South, respectively. San Diego will return to the playoffs as a wild card, and the Ravens will make their 5th straight playoff appearance as a wild card. Come February, I believe Super Bowl XLVII in New Orleans, will pit the Green Bay Packers against the New England Patriots. Aaron Rodgers will officially push himself above Tom Brady that day as the Packers will win their second Super Bowl in three seasons, while the Patriots will suffer their third straight defeat in a Super Bowl. The Packers were easily the best team in football last year before choosing an awful time to play their worst game of the season. They have all the personnel and coaching necessary to start a dynasty.

NFC

1. Green Bay Packers (NFC North Champ), 12-4
2. San Francisco 49ers (NFC West Champ), 11-5
3. New Orleans Saints (NFC South Champ), 10-6
4. Philadelphia Eagles (NFC East Champ), 10-6
5. Detroit Lions (Wild Card), 10-6
6. Carolina Panthers (Wild Card), 9-7

NFC Wild Card Round

#6 Carolina Panthers over #3 New Orleans Saints
#4 Philadelphia Eagles over #5 Detroit Lions

NFC Divisional Round

#1 Green Bay Packers over #6 Carolina Panthers
#2 San Francisco 49ers over #4 Philadelphia Eagles

NFC Championship

#1 Green Bay Packers over #2 San Francisco 49ers


AFC

1. New England Patriots (AFC East Champ), 11-5
2. Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC North Champ), 11-5
3. Denver Broncos (AFC West Champ), 10-6
4. Tennessee Titans (AFC South Champ), 9-7
5. San Diego Chargers (Wild Card), 10-6
6. Baltimore Ravens (Wild Card), 10-6

AFC Wild Card Round

#3 Denver Broncos over #6 Baltimore Ravens
#5 San Diego Chargers over #4 Tennessee Titans

AFC Divisional Round

#1 New England Patriots over #5 San Diego Chargers
#3 Denver Broncos over #2 Pittsburgh Steelers

AFC Championship

#1 New England Patriots over #3 Denver Broncos


Super Bowl XLVII

#1 Green Bay Packers over #1 New England Patriots

Friday, August 31, 2012

Cram Session - Week 1

The 2012 college football season is here as we begin to navigate our way through the end of the BCS era. This year and next year are the last remaining years of the BCS, before the four team playoff begins in 2014. The favorites to meet in the BCS Championship this year are USC and defending national champion Alabama. USC is off probation and bowl eligible this year after two years on probation. That probation included reduced scholarships so it is pretty amazing that coach Lane Kiffin has them in line to compete for a national championship. As for my favorite teams, Notre Dame and Nebraska expectations are pretty middling. Notre Dame isn't even ranked and with a incredibly difficult schedule and starting over at quarterback, they could find even making a bowl game difficult. Nebraska is ranked but not many people anticipate them even making the Big Ten championship game. It doesn't really mean all that much though. Last year, both teams were considered BCS contenders and that didn't happen for either.


Games That Matter to Me

Notre Dame "at" Navy in Dublin, Ireland

I'll be awake for the 9 am kickoff but will be helping a friend move, not watching this game. This game is notable for not only being in Ireland, but being the debut of new Irish QB Everett Golson. Golson won the job over incumbent Tommy Rees, who was suspended for this game anyway. Golson's job this year will be to cut down on the turnovers that plagued the Irish offense last year. Notre Dame could have potentially been a 10 win team if they hadn't turned the ball over so damn much, especially deep in the red zone. The Irish will also be without their starting RB Cierre Wood, who is suspended for the first two games of the season. That means Theo Riddick will get the lions share of the carries. The dominant Michael Floyd is gone at WR so TE Tyler Eifert figures to pick up his role as the main pass catcher. The Irish defense was very good last season and while LB Manti Te'o is back, there are some questions. Defensive end Aaron Lynch transferred to South Florida and during practice they lost starting CB Lo Wood to a season ending injury. With Navy, not much changes from year to year. The faces may change but the game plan remains the same, run all the time, pass only when you have to. That means we will see plenty of RBs John Howell and Gee Gee Greene. Revenge will be on Navy's minds after the 56-14 thrashing Notre Dame gave them last season. The Irish are missing some key players and this game could be closer than some people think, but I believe the Irish will start the season with a win.

Prediction: Notre Dame 31, Navy 20

Southern Miss at #17 Nebraska

Nebraska has been stuck in the same spot now for a few years under Bo Pelini. He has them consistently winning 9 games a year, but for Huskers fans used to greater success, it has become tiresome getting beaten up by the nation's elite. Expectations are lower this year than they were last year, despite QB Taylor Martinez and RB Rex Burkhead returning. Martinez took a pretty huge step back last year. His running ability while still good wasn't as dominant, which meant more scrutiny on his ugly passing ability. The Huskers are hopeful that the junior can become more confident in the passing game. Defensively, they have a new coordinator, John Papuchis who takes over for the departing Carl Pelini. It was disappointing year last season for the defense. Standout Jared Crick was hurt early and the Blackshirts were torched far too often. The Huskers first test won't likely be easy as they meet the defending Conference USA Champions, Southern Miss. However, the Golden Eagles have a new head coach and a new QB, Chris Campbell. The returning experience of Nebraska, as well as homefield advantage will lead to a relatively comfortable win.

Prediction: Nebraska 35, Southern Miss 17

Top 10

Hawaii at #1 USC

Trojans QB Matt Barkley surprised everyone when he announced he would return for his senior year. His return, along with the transfer of Penn State RB Silas Redd to the Trojans has many anointing USC as the best team in college football.  Former longtime USC assistant Norm Chow makes his head coaching debut with the Warriors. It will be a rude homecoming for Chow.

Prediction: USC 52, Hawaii 17

#8 Michigan vs #2 Alabama in Arlington, Texas

The Crimson Tide won't have to waste any time finding out how good they are after the mass exodus of talent to the NFL they suffered this off-season. That is because they open the season against fellow Top 10 team Michigan. The Wolverines are coming off an 11-win season and Hokeamania is running wild in Ann Arbor. The most interesting aspect of this game will be watching a retooled Bama defense go against Denard Robinson. The Crimson Tide had one of the best defenses in the history of college football last season, and the new guys will be eager to carry that legacy. I think this game will start off competitive but eventually Bama will overwhelm the Wolverines.

Prediction: Alabama 28, Michigan 13

North Texas at #3 LSU

The Tigers are ranked number one in the Coaches poll but slipped when the AP poll came out after the Honey Badger CB Tyrann Mathieu was kicked off the team. Zach Mettenberger takes over at QB for the Tigers, who were finally exposed by the poor QB play they received last season when they face Bama for the national title. The Tigers will probably be looking ahead to next weekend when they host Washington.

Prediction: LSU 45, North Texas 9

#4 Oklahoma at UTEP

Landry Jones is back at quarterback for the Sooners who once again will give it a go at trying not to live up to their Choklahoma nickname. UTEP is coached by horn dog Mike Price, who hasn't really brought success to the Miners but has been kept around.

Prediction: Oklahoma 49, UTEP 14

Arkansas State at #5 Oregon

Marcus Mariota, a freshman is the Ducks new quarterback this season. Even with that, the Ducks are a popular pick to play for the national title. The Ducks rushing attack figures to still be potent with the loss of LaMichael James. Kenjon Barner and De'Anthony Thomas will lead the attack. Arkansas State head coach Gus Malzahn will be making his debut and all the gagdets in the world don't figure to make this game competitive.


Prediction: Oregon 47, Arkansas State 20

Buffalo at #6 Georgia

I think the Bulldogs are greatly overrated and won't be surprised if they lose at Missouri next week. One are they are not overrated is quarterback, where they are led by the highly talented Andy Murray.


Prediction: Georgia 38, Buffalo 7

Murray State at #7 Florida State

Another year, another round of talks of how this is the year the Seminoles will get back to prominence. The funny thing is, most people seem to think that because of how ridiculously easy the Seminoles schedule is. I can't tell you a damn thing about Murray State other than they have a pretty good basketball team, which won't help them here.

Prediction: Florida State 34, Murray State 3

Jacksonville State at #10 Arkansas

It was quite an eventful off-season for the Razorbacks. They seemed destined to be contenders for the national title but then Bobby Petrino couldn't keep it in his pants or successfully drive a motorcycle, and he was fired. His replacement is John L. Smith, the same John L. who bombed as Michigan State coach. The Hogs have a ton of talent with QB Tyler Wilson and RB Knile Davis, who is coming back after missing all of 2011 with a knee injury. As questionable as John L. is as a coach, there is no way he can mess up a home game against Jacksonville State.

Prediction: Arkansas 55, Jacksonville State 19