Thursday, December 30, 2010

Cram Session - Bowl Edition

Life got in the way of me doing a full set of predictions for every bowl game. That being said, I have decided to predict the bowl games for my favorite teams, Notre Dame and Nebraska, and all the BCS games. This Cram Session will cover the Sun, Holiday, Rose, and Fiesta Bowl. On Monday, I will post predictions for the Orange and Sugar Bowl. On January 10th, I will have a comprehensive preview of the BCS Championship game.

Holiday Bowl, Thursday, December 30th

Washington (6-6) vs. #18 Nebraska (10-3)

This is pretty much the no win bowl for the Cornhuskers. They already blasted Washington earlier this year, 56-21, and will be playing the Huskies again in September. If they lose this game it is a major disappointment, and if they win this game it basically means nothing. The Huskers seemed well on their way to the Fiesta Bowl when they built a 17-0 lead on Oklahoma in the Big 12 Championship, but ended up choking and fumbling the game away. The Huskies have snuck into this game, winners of three in a row after a 3-6 start. It will be the last game for their overhyped QB Jake Locker. The Huskers shut Locker down in the first meeting, holding him to just 4 completions and 2 interceptions. The Huskies are weak on defense which should allow the Huskers to rush the ball effectively with Roy Helu, Jr., Rex Burkhead, and QB Taylor Martinez. The only way Nebraska loses this game is if they get another case of fumbleitis. They have to do a better job of holding on to the ball, and Martinez has to avoid the Freshman mistakes that have plagued him in the second half of the season.

Prediction: Nebraska 35, Washington 17

Sun Bowl, Friday, December 31st

Miami (7-5) vs. Notre Dame (7-5)

The Catholics vs. the Convicts rivalry is renewed in El-Paso, Texas. The stature of both programs has dropped significantly since their last game against each other 20 years ago. Miami just fired their head coach Randy Shannon after once again posting a disappointing season. Year after year people have wanted to proclaim that the U was back but its obvious they are still a ways away. The Irish are on a three game winning streak, including finally beating USC. They have overcome a multitude of injuries on the offensive end, and freshman QB Tommy Rees has played admirably since taking over for the injured Dayne Crist. The Canes will either start Jacory Harris or Stephen Morris at QB, but the player of most concern to the Irish is Canes WR
Leonard Hankerson, who had 12 TDs and 66 catches this season. Irish WR Michael Floyd may be playing his last game if he decides to go pro. He has had another outstanding year, hauling in 73 catches and 10 TDs. Rees will have his work cut out for him against a stout Hurricanes defense, that is exceptional against the pass and can rush the quarterback effectively. The Irish defense has stepped up during their winning streak, allowing 160 yards less per game during the streak.

Prediction: Notre Dame 20, Miami 17

Rose Bowl, Saturday, January 1st

#5 Wisconsin (11-1) vs. #3 TCU (12-0)

TCU will get their chance to stake a claim as the uncrowned champion of college football when they meet the Badgers in Pasadena. The public seems to be behind the Horned Frogs, as Vegas has them as somewhat surprising three point favorites. Both teams have high powered offenses that both averaged 43.3 points per game. The Horned Frogs have the edge on defense, allowing just 11.4 points per game, best in the nation. The Badgers rushing attack is quite the force, led by James White and John Clay. White rushed for 1,029 yards this season and Clay finished just 54 yards short of the 1,000 yard mark. They also combined for 27 touchdowns. TCU has an effective ground game but its most well known player is QB Andy Dalton who threw 26 TDs, and just 6 INTs. I don't think Wisconsin will manhandle the Horned Frogs defense, but I have no doubt that this is by far the best offense TCU has played against all season. That will be enough to give the Badgers the win.

Prediction: Wisconsin 24, TCU 21

Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, January 1st

Connecticut (8-4) vs. #7 Oklahoma (11-2)

The most interesting subplot to this game will be whether Oklahoma can muster up enough motivation, against what is considered to be a Huskies team that doesn't belong on the big stage. The Huskies aren't even ranked but still managed to win the sorry Big East. However, the Sooners have shrunk on the BCS stage in recent history, losing 5 straight BCS bowl games. The Huskies don't do much passing, quarterback Zach Frazer passed for just 1,202 yards this season and 5 TDs. If they pull off the upset it will be on the legs of RB Jordan Todman. Todman was second in the nation with 1,574 yards rushing and 14 TDs. The Sooners are effective at both running and passing. QB Landry Jones quietly had a monster year, throwing for 4,289 yards, and 35 TDs. He was helped by having a stud WR in Ryan Broyles, who is the Sooners all time leading receiver in receptions, TDs, and yards, and a stud RB in DeMarco Murray. Murray had over a 1,000 yards rushing this year, but hasn't broken the 100 yard rushing barrier in a game since October. On paper this is a complete mismatch, and really the only thing giving me any pause in picking Oklahoma is how horribly they have played in past BCS games. I think they exorcise those demons.

Prediction: Oklahoma 48, Connecticut 21

Overall Record: 72-14

The Hail Mary - Week 17

It is the last week of the regular season and there are still division titles and playoff spots to be decided. Let's waste no time, on to my picks!

Carolina (2-13) at Atlanta (12-3), Atlanta favored by 14 1/2

The Falcons blew an opportunity to wrap up the NFC South and homefield advantage on Monday night against the Saints. Lucky for them, they get a reprieve as they finish at home against the worst team in football, the Panthers. This is John Fox's swan song and I expect the Panthers to at least put up a fight for him in his last game with the team.

Prediction: Atlanta 21, Carolina 10

Pittsburgh (11-4) at Cleveland (5-10), Pittsburgh favored by 6

The Steelers need a win to clinch the AFC North and earn a First Round bye in the playoffs. The Browns have been tough all season but come in losers of three straight and this is likely the last game as coach for Eric Mangini.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 24, Cleveland 14

Minnesota (6-9) at Detroit (5-10), Detroit favored by 3

Will he or won't he? That is always the question with QB Brett Favre. Will he play in what is likely the final game of his career, or will he be forced to sit out? I think somehow, some way Favre will end up starting. Vikings QB Joe Webb played well against Philadelphia on Tuesday, but the Vikings still need to be looking for a quarterback in the offseason. The Lions appear to be on the right tract, mostly because of that beast of a DT Ndamukong Suh.

Prediction: Detroit 27, Minnesota 20

Oakland (7-8) at Kansas City (10-5), Kansas City favored by 4

With a win the Raiders would set an ignominious mark, becoming the first team since the 1970 merger to go undefeated in their division, yet miss the playoffs. With the Chiefs having already wrapped up the AFC West, and having very little to play for, I think Oakland accomplishes (is that even the right word for this) that mark.

Prediction: Oakland 28, Kansas City 27

Miami (7-8) at New England (13-2), New England favored by 4

I would be shocked if Tom Brady plays more than a couple series. The 2010 Dolphins may be the strangest team in history, finishing 1-7 at home, and currently 6-1 on the road. Because of their road record, and the fact that the Patriots will probably be playing a lot of backups I am picking the upset.

Prediction: Miami 20, New England 17

Tampa Bay (9-6) at New Orleans (11-4), New Orleans favored by 7 1/2

The Saints still have an outside shot at the NFC South and homefield throughout the playoffs but most likely this game is pretty meaningless. The Buccaneers also have a slight prayer of making the playoffs but that is unlikely as well. Even when the Bucs lose this game, a 9-7 record for them is something to be proud of. QB Josh Freeman has shown himself to be a legit player and the Bucs future with stars LaGarrette Blount, Mike Williams, and Kellen Winslow is very bright.

Prediction: New Orleans 24, Tampa Bay 21

Buffalo (4-11) at New York Jets (10-5), No Line

Completely meaningless game, as the Jets are locked in as the 6 seed in the AFC playoffs. That means we will likely get to see old fossil Mark Brunell chucking it around.

Prediction: New York Jets 20, Buffalo 17

Cincinnati (4-11) at Baltimore (11-4), Baltimore favored by 9 1/2

Pretty shocking to think that the Ravens actually lost to the Bengals earlier in the season. More shocking was how proficient the Bengals and Carson Palmer were last week without Chad Ochocinco or Terrell Owens. I think that will be just a one week aberration.

Prediction: Baltimore 31, Cincinnati 14

San Diego (8-7) at Denver (4-11), San Diego favored by 3 1/2

Control your Tebowners Broncos fans, the team he lit up last week was the hapless Houston Texans, who have made every QB look like a Hall of Famer this season. That being said, I think he leads them another victory against a deflated Chargers team with nothing to play for.

Prediction: Denver 26, San Diego 24

Chicago (11-4) at Green Bay (9-6), Green Bay favored by 10

This game lost most of its luster with the Eagles loss to the Vikings, which guaranteed the Bears a First Round bye. The Packers win and they are in the playoffs, keeping alive my preseason NFC Super Bowl representative prediction. Despite Chicago likely playing most of their backups, last week taught us that you can never take for granted a team playing without motivation against a team with motivation. I think the Bears keep this one close.

Prediction: Green Bay 21, Chicago 13

Tennessee (6-9) at Indianapolis (9-6), Indianapolis favored by 10

A win and my preseason Super Bowl champion pick of the Colts will make the playoffs once again, and win another AFC South title. The Titans are playing like a team ready for their overrated coach Jeff Fisher to finally be gone.

Prediction: Indianapolis 31, Tennessee 17

Dallas (5-10) at Philadelphia (10-5), No Line

Stephen McGee vs. Kevin Kolb, feel the excitement! The Eagles know they are locked in as the 3 seed so they should rest as many of their guys as possible.

Prediction: Philadelphia 24, Dallas 21

Arizona (5-10) at San Francisco (5-10), San Francisco favored by 6

The 49ers made the right move in firing Mike Singletary. I was a big Singletary fan when he first took the job and liked his fiery approach. However, if you are going to take that approach you have to some substance behind it, and it became clear that Singletary was overmatched. This is likely Alex Smith's last game as a 49er, and all I can say is good riddance.

Prediction: San Francisco 17, Arizona 14

New York Giants (9-6) at Washington (6-9), New York Giants favored by 4

The Giants have suffered another December collapse and are likely to be on the outside looking in come playoff time. Their biggest flaw has been turnovers, with Eli Manning leading the league in interceptions, and RBs Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs having problems fumbling. The Redskins are still playing inspired, and Sexy Rexy has made a pretty decent showing for himself. Skins in an upset.

Prediction: Washington 19, New York Giants 17

Jacksonville (8-7) at Houston (5-10), No Line

The Jaguars will be without both David Gerrard and Maurice Jones-Drew. They shot themselves in the foot with back to back losses and will need a miracle to make the playoffs. They are playing the right team in the Texans, who seem like they are allergic to winning. How do you blow a 17-0 lead to the sorry Broncos? How do people still think Gary Kubiak should keep his job?

Prediction: Houston 27, Jacksonville 17

St. Louis (7-8) at Seattle (6-9), St. Louis favored by 3

It's the someone has to win the pathetic NFC West game! I think the Rams will end up being that team and it is really quite remarkable. QB Sam Bradford has made chicken salad out of chicken shit and should easily be the Rookie of the Year. Sure, the Rams are going to get destroyed by New Orleans in the Wild Card round, but them making the playoffs is a miracle.

Prediction: St. Louis 21, Seattle 10

Last Week Straight Up: 8-7
Overall Straight Up: 72-58

Last Week Against the Spread: 6-8-2
Overall Against the Spread: 65-62-5

Thursday, December 23, 2010

The Hail Mary - Week 16

I'm back from another hiatus, just in time for Christmas!!! With just two weeks remaining in the season, only one of the eight divisions have been clinched. There is a lot to sort out with the playoffs just two weeks away.

Week 16 - Thursday, December 23

Carolina (2-12) at Pittsburgh (10-4), Pittsburgh favored by 14 1/2

Pretty awful Thursday night game. The Steelers can earn a First Round bye in the playoffs if they win out. They will be without S Troy Polomalu in this which usually spells doom for the Steelers. However, the Panthers are so bad that it should mean very little. QB Jimmy Clausen has just 2 TDs this season! I'm shocked Steve Smith hasn't gone crazy and punched him in the face yet.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 28, Carolina 6

Saturday, December 25

Dallas (5-9) at Arizona (4-10), Dallas favored by 6 1/2

Another awful game, and this one is completely meaningless. The Cardinals could have beaten Carolina and kept alive their slim chances of winning the NFC West, but they decided to the epic fails that they have always been as a franchise. I think some guy named Skeleton is their quarterback now, so expect a Dallas win, further entrenching Jason Garrett as the permanent coach after the season.

Prediction: Dallas 31, Arizona 14

Sunday, December 26

New England (12-2) at Buffalo (4-10), New England favored by 9

The NFL is not about moral victories but the Bills aren't nearly as bad as their record indicates. If they decide they don't want Ryan Fitzpatrick on their QB, I think the Skins should jump at the chance to get him. The Bills gave New England fits in their first meeting in Foxboro and I think they will do the same at home. The Patriots clinch the AFC East and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win.

Prediction: New England 27, Buffalo 24

New York Jets (10-4) at Chicago (10-4), Chicago favored by 1 1/2

I can't believe the Bears were the first team to clinch a division in the NFL. I still don't buy into them at all and think they will be one and done in the playoffs. The Jets got a much needed win at Pittsburgh last week and I'm sure the foot massage Rex Ryan gave his wife after that win was orgasmic. The Bears still have a first round bye to play for so they will be motivated but I think the Jets are clearly the better team.

Prediction: New York Jets 17, Chicago 14

Baltimore (10-4) at Cleveland (5-9), Baltimore favored by 3 1/2

The Ravens are still battling for the AFC North and can clinch a playoff spot with a win at Cleveland. The Browns have had back to back bad losses but have been a tough team to contend with at home all season. I'll be rooting hard for RB Peyton Hillis to replicate his first effort against the Ravens, which was his coming out party. If he plays well, I will be that much closer to winning my fantasy league championship.

Prediction: Baltimore 20, Cleveland 17

Tennessee (6-8) at Kansas City (9-5), Kansas City favored by 4 1/2

The Chiefs are trying to fight off the fast charging (pun intended) Chargers. The Titans have the slimmest possibly playoff hopes in the history of EVAR. What happened to Randy Moss? Is he alive? What was the point of signing him again if they didn't plan on using him or throwing him the ball? For such a supposed "genius" Titans coach Jeff Fisher makes a lot of dumb decisions.

Prediction: Kansas City 26, Tennessee 14

San Francisco (5-9) at St. Louis (6-8), St. Louis favored by 1 1/2

There is still hope!!! If the Niners can win this game, then beat Arizona at home in Week 17, and have Seattle lose one of their last two games, the 49ers will be hosting a playoff game despite finishing 7-9. It is entirely possible but based on how the season has gone, and how putrid the 49ers have been on the road, it is likely their season comes to an end Sunday. The 49ers are going back to Troy Smith at QB, and the love I used to have for Mike Singletary is a distant memory. Playoffs or no playoffs, he seems overwhelmed as a head coach and the Niners need to fire him as soon as their season ends.

Prediction: San Francisco 17, St. Louis 17 (Too afraid to pick a winner, don't want to jinx)

Detroit (4-10) at Miami (7-7), Miami favored by 3

The Dolphins are 6-1 on the road, and 1-6 at home. Weirdest stat perhaps in the history of football. The Lions ended their 26 game road losing streak last week, but even if they hadn't they definitely would have against Miami. The Dolphins will be looking for a QB once again, as it has become clear that Chad Henne is not the answer.

Prediction: Detroit 19, Miami 13

Washington (5-9) at Jacksonville (8-6), Jacksonville favored by 8

The Jaguars blew their chance at clinching the AFC South last week and now have seen their destiny ripped from their hands. Luckily for them they get to face the imploding Redskins this weekend. Sexy Rexy Grossman played decently, although lets not overblow the fact that he was playing an atrocious Dallas defense. Plus, let's not forget some of the mistakes he made during that game, along with his face, make it hard not to believe that he might be slightly mentally handicapped. If Sexy Rexy struggles expect Rat Mike Shanahan to "see what he has" in draft bust John Beck.

Prediction: Jacksonville 27, Washington 20

San Diego (8-6) at Cincinnati (3-11), San Diego favored by 9

The Chargers may have made their return from the dead a little too late this season. They have two very winnable games left but they need the Chiefs to lose one of their last two. Special teams will be the reason the Chargers don't make the playoffs, because the offense has performed admirably despite being banged up all season. I predict at least one Carson Palmer pick six.

Prediction: San Diego 30, Cincinnati 21

Houston (5-9) at Denver (3-11), Houston favored by 2 1/2

If the Texans lose to Denver, and Gary Kubiak still keeps his job after the season, then Texans fans should give up. I mean, even if they win this game, he has no business being back next year. After a 4-2 start, the Texans are 1-7. There is no way with the talent they have that the Texans should be this bad. Broncos QB Tim Tebow makes his second start. Watching him play quarterback is painful. It was probably like watching me play basketball in middle school. People wanted to root for me because I was a nice guy and tried hard but they knew they were watching something disastrous.

Prediction: Houston 34, Denver 20

Indianapolis (8-6) at Oakland (7-7), Indianapolis favored by 3

I want to pick Oakland in this game but I can't forget how they were manhandled at home by Miami. Plus, their QB is Jason Campbell who continues his mastery of putting up the same pedestrian, not good, not bad, numbers every single week. Picking a Jason Campbell led team over a Peyton Manning led team? No way.

Prediction: Indianapolis 28, Oakland 21

New York Giants (10-4) at Green Bay (8-6), No Line

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers will return in this must win game for the Packers. Both my pre-season Super Bowl picks, the Packers and Colts pretty much have to win out to even make the playoffs. The Giants are coming off one of the greatest collapses in NFL history. That loss will sting for a while but I still expect them to come out ready to play. Rodgers will likely be moved out of the pocket all day by the Giants pass rush, but unlike his backup Matt Flynn he will make plays on the run and get the win for Green Bay.

Prediction: Green Bay 21, New York Giants 19

Seattle (6-8) at Tampa Bay (8-6), Tampa Bay favored by 7

By time this game starts I will either be intently watching the score because the 49ers won or not giving a crap because the 49ers lost. Raheem Morris is a young coach and with that comes mistakes, such as proclaiming your team as the best in the NFC like he did a few months ago. The Bucs have a bright future, especially with QB Josh Freeman, but they are a year away from being true playoff material.

Prediction: Tampa Bay 24, Seattle 20

Minnesota (5-9) at Philadelphia (10-4), No Line

The Eagles can clinch the NFC East with a win. The resolve they showed last weekend at New York was a sight to behold, and it is clear that their offense keeps them in every game, no matter the deficit. If Tom Brady wasn't having such an incredible year, Mike Vick would clearly be the MVP and Comeback Player of the Year. Joe Webb likely gets the start for the Vikings, who have had an incredibly miserable season. Webb, much like Tebow, was difficult to watch play QB. Might be because he was supposed to play wide receiver in the NFL. Never though I'd be longing for Sage Rosencopter.

Prediction: Philadelphia 35, Minnesota 17

Monday, December 27

New Orleans (10-4) at Atlanta (12-2), Atlanta favored by 1

I'm not going to lie, I love to say I told you so. I predicted the Falcons as NFC South champs before the season and they have made me look like a smart man. I knew the Falcons were better than their 9-7 campaign a year ago, and that injuries were what derailed them. They have stayed healthy this season and with the maturation of QB Matt Ryan have become the second best team in the NFL. The Saints have padded their record on cupcakes for most of the year, and are not nearly as good as they were last season. It will be sweet for the Falcons to take the NFC South, dethroning the champions at home, where Matt Ryan pretty much never loses.

Prediction: Atlanta 26, New Orleans 23

Overall Straight Up: 64-51
Overall Against the Spread: 59-54-3

Friday, November 12, 2010

The Hail Mary - Week 10

It is a boring weekend for college football but tons of interesting games in the NFL. Just further proof that NFL > college football. With only 6 of 32 teams really out of playoff contention at the halfway point of the season, just about every game will have an impact on playoff positioning. The prime time games are excellent this weekend. It got started with the Falcons beating the Ravens (as I predicted on Facebook) last night, continues Sunday night with New England traveling to Pittsburgh, and concludes with Philadelphia going to Washington to take on their former QB Donovan McNabb.

Week 10 - Sunday, November 14

Detroit (2-6) at Buffalo (0-8), Buffalo favored by 3

Something has to give in this game. The Bills keep getting so close to their first victory only to come up just a bit short, while the Lions have lost 24 straight road games. The Lions are once again without brittle QB Matthew Stafford and it appears it will be the Shaun Hill show again. Hill played decently when he stepped in earlier this season. If Stafford were starting I would take the Lions to end their road hex, but I think this is finally the week for the Bills.

Prediction: Buffalo 24, Detroit 17

Minnesota (3-5) at Chicago (5-3), Minnesota favored by 1

The Vikings are never boring. Trailing at home to Arizona 24-10 with just five minutes remaining, the Vikings pulled a win out of their ass, mostly because of QB Brett Favre. The Bears continue to be one of the most underwhelming 5-3 teams in history. I had to pick up Jay Cutler at QB this week for one of my fantasy teams, so I am hoping he doesn't have a repeat of his last home performance, where he threw 4 interceptions. The Vikings pass rush finally came alive against Arizona last week, and I think that will continue against a porous Bears offensive line.

Prediction: Minnesota 23, Chicago 16

New York Jets (6-2) at Cleveland (3-5), New York Jets favored by 3

What do you make of the Cleveland Browns? Back to back wins against the Saints and Patriots, and not just wins, routs. The Browns may have dug themselves too big of a hole early to be a playoff factor but they can definitely play the role of spoiler. The Jets were fortunate to escape Detroit with a win. Browns RB Peyton Hillis has been a monster but I think the Jets have the horses to slow him down. I also think that if the Browns stick with QB Colt McCoy, he will end up throwing a few interceptions that will prove costly. If Cleveland wins again this weekend I am going to stop picking against them.

Prediction: New York Jets 18, Cleveland 12

Cincinnati (2-6) at Indianapolis (5-3), Indianapolis favored by 7

The Bengals are a mess and the end may finally be near for mediocre coach Marvin Lewis. WR Terrell Owens continues to be a dominant force, but no one else on the offense has really stepped up. The Colts continue to be one of the most banged up teams in the league but Peyton Manning keeps finding ways to involve and use the new pieces to his advantage. The Bengals keep losing but have remained competitive, so I think they are good for at least a cover.

Prediction: Indianapolis 24, Cincinnati 20

Tennessee (5-3) at Miami (4-4), Tennessee favored by 1

What a brutal home schedule the Dolphins have had thus far this season. They are 0-3 at home and with the Titans coming on Sunday, the teams they have faced at home have a combined record of 23-9. Former starter Chad Henne was throwing way too many interceptions, so the Dolphins are turning back the clock to Chad Pennington, the man who led them to the 2008 AFC East title. This game also marks the Titans debut of WR Randy Moss. Who knows how much of an impact Moss will make, he hasn't shown much this year. It is still up in the air as to whether Kerry Collins or Vince Young will start for the Titans. Either way I like Miami to win what is a must win game for them.

Prediction: Miami 23, Tennessee 22

Carolina (1-7) at Tampa Bay (5-3), Tampa Bay favored by 3 1/2

What an ugly, ugly season for the Panthers. If they had the kind of media attention on them that the Cowboys have, John Fox would have been long gone by now. It is possible that Tony Pike will get the start in this one, with Matt Moore out for the year and Jimmy Clausen out with sucking. The Bucs fought valiantly at Atlanta and are starting to prove that they may be an upper echelon team.

Prediction: Tampa Bay 30, Carolina 14

Houston (4-4) at Jacksonville (4-4), Jacksonville favored by 2

No one knows what to make of either of these teams. It seems to change on a weekly basis. The Jags are coming off their bye week after demolishing the Cowgirls. If David Gerrard could play every week like he played two weeks ago, the Jags would be contenders. The Houston pass defense continues to be awful, turning no name practice squad guys on the Chargers into stars last week. The Jags will probably put up better passing numbers than normal, but I think the offensive weapons for the Texans will carry them to victory.

Prediction: Houston 28, Jacksonville 27

Kansas City (5-3) at Denver (2-6), Kansas City favored by 1

I think this line is easy money. The Broncos are not good and the Chiefs, despite their penchant for blowing games they should win are much better. Playing at Denver is nowhere near as intimidating as it used to be. Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones will run all over the Broncos, and Cassel will do just enough, as he has done most of the season.

Prediction: Kansas City 27, Denver 21

Dallas (1-7) at New York Giants (6-2), New York Giants favored by 14

The Wade Phillips era finally came to an end, as Jerry Jones decided he was tired of seeing his team get absolutely destroyed every week. I foolishly thought the Cowgirls had some pride and would show up on national television last Sunday. I won't make that mistake this week. Doesn't matter to me if Jason Garrett is coaching them or has them practicing in pads. I haven't bought into the Giants like everyone else has, I think they have been feasting on bad teams recently, but Dallas certainly qualifies as being bad.

Prediction: New York Giants 38, Dallas 17

Seattle (4-4) at Arizona (3-5), Arizona favored by 3

I believe Charlie Whitehurst get's his second start in this one, too lazy to look up whether I am wrong. Neither team is good, actually, they are equal to each other in how bad they are. Go with the home team. Oh yeah, Charlie Whitehurst vs. Derek Anderson, what an epic battle!

Prediction: Arizona 23, Seattle 10

St. Louis (4-4) at San Francisco (2-6), San Francisco favored by 6

The Troy Smith era continues! The Niners are just 2 games out of the division lead and thus, still very much alive in the playoff race, despite being 2-6. However, lose this game and those talks of a division title can finally be laid to rest. Rams QB Sam Bradford is easily the best QB in this division and even with how bad the NFC West is, it is a minor miracle that he has the Rams in first place at the halfway mark. Don't really know who will win this game, so I go with my homer pick.

Prediction: San Francisco 19, St. Louis 17

New England (6-2) at Pittsburgh (6-2), Pittsburgh favored by 4 1/2

All that talk about New England being the best team in football was ended with their lambasting at the hands of the Browns. However, if they can travel to Pittsburgh and win, in this battle of 6-2 teams, sports radio will jump right back on the bandwagon. I expect the Patriots to be much more ready to play for this game than they were against Cleveland. Offensively, these teams are about equal but defensively the Steelers are head and shoulders above New England. Even with the Steelers offensive line hurting, I don't think the Patriots can generate enough of a pass rush to fluster Ben Roethlisberger. These are two good games so it will come right down to the wire, but Steelers for the win!

Prediction: Pittsburgh 24, New England 21

Monday, November 15

Philadelphia (5-3) at Washington (4-4), Philadelphia favored by 3

I will be attending this game, unless I somehow get sick again like I did before the Colts game that I ended up missing. The Eagles and Redskins met a little over a month ago, with the Skins coming out on top in Donovan McNabb's return to Philadelphia. A lot of people like to point to the fact that the Skins win because they knocked out Michael Vick. They are conveniently forgetting that the Skins were winning 14-0 before Vick even got hurt. In DC, the talk has been about Mike Shanahan's strange decision to bench McNabb at the end of the Lions game with the game still in doubt. Shanahan made it even worse by coming up with about 500 explanations for why he did it. It is so sad that the fact that McNabb will be practicing the 2 minute drill on Saturday is an actual headline on ESPN.com. I had a good feeling about the Skins winning at Philly, and I have an equally bad feeling about them losing at home on Monday night. Their running back situation is a mess with both Ryan Torain and Clinton Portis hurting. They still have barely an true offensive weapons, and the defense changes on a week to week basis on whether they can stop teams or not. While I think the Skins would have won that first game anyway, there is no disputing that Vick in the lineup makes a huge difference. The Eagles barely went deep once Kolb entered the game, while Vick can throw it deep without even trying. I think Vick and DeSean Jackson will continue to put up big numbers together and the turmoil will only increase in Washington.

Prediction: Philadelphia 30, Washington 20

Last Week Straight Up: 8-5
Overall Straight Up: 56-46

Last Week Against the Spread: 5-7-1
Overall Against the Spread: 52-47-3

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Cram Session - Week 11

Pretty weak slate of games this weekend. I guess the most intriguing game by default is Georgia at #2 Auburn, especially with all the controversy surrounding Heisman front runner QB Cam Newton. However, with that being said, sometimes the most interesting weekends in college football end up coming out of nowhere.

Games That Matter to Me That May Not Matter to You

#14 Utah (8-1) at Notre Dame (4-5)

Another nightmare season is close to ending for Notre Dame. A loss to Tulsa is inexcusable but then again look at all that the Irish are missing. Starting QB gone, leading running back gone, leading tight end gone, second leading receiver gone. I would dare any team to be missing that many guys that contribute on offense and keep winning. What makes it even harder for the Irish is that their defense is atrocious. I don't expect the Irish to win this game or win at USC to close the season, just please for the love of God don't lose to Army next week.

Prediction: Utah 38, Notre Dame 20

Top 10

Friday, November 12

#4 Boise State (8-0, 4-0) at Idaho (4-5, 1-3)

Wake me when it's November 26th and Boise is playing at Nevada. Until then, it's cupcake city for the Broncos.

Prediction: Boise State 57, Idaho 13

Top 10

Saturday, November 13

#1 Oregon (9-0, 6-0) at California (5-4, 3-3)

Oregon is number one and minus all the distractions that are accompanying their possible BCS opponent, number two Auburn. The Ducks have been piling up points all season, with their lowest output being 42. California is a terrible road team but has yet to lose at home this season. However, the Golden Bears won those home games with Kevin Riley at quarterback. In this game they will be forced to start the inexperienced Brock Mansion (great name). Mansion struggled against a terrible Washington State team last week, so things could get really ugly for him against the best team in the nation.

Prediction: Oregon 41, California 14

Georgia (5-5, 3-4) at #2 Auburn (10-0, 6-0)

It has been an awful season for Georgia but if they can knock off Auburn on the road and end the Tigers national title hopes, their fans would be able to feel some joy this season. The only reason the Tigers would lose this game is that they have been overwhelmed by the distraction that is Cam Newton's various alleged indiscretions. The Tigers are much better than the Bulldogs but they will have to account for perhaps the best receiver in college football, A.J. Green. I think once the game starts the distractions of the week will melt away and Cam Newton will once again have an outstanding, jaw dropping performance.

Prediction: Auburn 28, Georgia 24

San Diego State (7-2, 4-1) at #3 TCU (10-0, 6-0)

I've been banging the TCU drum all season, while most focused on Boise State. People have come around to my side after the butt whooping the Horned Frogs laid on the Utes in Utah last Saturday. Next they face the Aztecs who with a 7-2 record should present a challenge. Should is the key word though, as TCU is proven they are on a whole other level compared to the rest of the Mountain West conference.

Prediction: TCU 38, San Diego State 10

LA-Monroe (4-5) at #5 LSU (8-1)

Tigers coach Les Miles could eat grass this entire game, not wear a headset or make a single decision and LSU would still win.

Prediction: LSU 34, LA-Monroe 7

#6 Stanford (8-1, 5-1) at Arizona State (4-5, 2-4)

The Sun Devils are coming off a heartbreaking loss to USC, while Stanford just keeps decimating opponents. The Cardinal may not have faced the toughest schedule this year but their domination shouldn't be overlooked. The Sun Devils will present a challenge on the road but the Cardinal should keep rolling behind QB Andrew Luck.

Prediction: Stanford 47, Arizona State 24

Indiana (4-5, 0-5) at #7 Wisconsin (8-1, 4-1)

The Hoosiers would have knocked off Iowa last week if their player whose name I am too lazy to look up would have caught what should have been an easy touchdown. It was a heartbreaking defeat for the Hoosiers and kept them winless in the Big Ten. Good news for them is that they will never be close against Wisconsin, so they won't have any chance to be heartbroken.

Prediction: Wisconsin 43, Indiana 16

Kansas (3-6, 1-4) at #8 Nebraska (8-1, 4-1)

Former Husker QB and assistant coach Turner Gill returns to Memorial Stadium, as he leads the enemy Kansas Jayhawks into town. Gill has faced some bumps in the road in his first season in Kansas and shouldn't expect to fare any better this weekend. Nebraska is lucky to have escaped with a win at Iowa State, as they were forced to start third string QB Cody Green. Doesn't explain why the defense struggled so much with Iowa State though. QB Taylor Martinez is supposed to be back and starting in this game. The Jayhawks defense is awful and they will find themselves in a huge hole like they were against Colorado last week. Only difference is Nebraska won't choke the game away like the Buffaloes.

Prediction: Nebraska 47, Kansas 17

Penn State (6-3, 3-2) at #9 Ohio State (8-1, 4-1)

Nittany Lions coach Joe Paterno earned his 400th win last week, a feat that will likely never be seen again because no other school will let a man that can't control his bowels continue to coach their team. Ohio State is quite the fraud. They have played one good team all season, and what do you know, they got their asses handed to them. Penn State doesn't qualify as a good team, so the Buckeyes will continue to inflate their record versus mediocre competition.

Prediction: Ohio State 33, Penn State 13

#10 Oklahoma State (8-1, 4-1) at Texas (4-5, 2-4)

That loss to Texas is going to haunt Huskers fans for a while. Not only would Nebraska have won the game if their players could have caught the ball on that day, but Texas has dropped three in a row since beating the Huskers. In years past the Cowboys would get a huge lead over Texas, only to find some way to blow it. That changes this year, Cowboys get a huge lead, then pour more salt in the wounds of the Longhorns.

Prediction: Oklahoma State 35, Texas 12

Last Week: 6-2
Overall: 62-13

Friday, November 5, 2010

The Hail Mary - Week 9

The Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders hasn't meant much for a long time. However, this Sunday they meet in a battle of first and second place teams in the AFC West. Oakland is on a tear their last two teams, while the Chiefs are out to prove that they aren't the most fraudtastic 5-2 team in NFL history.

Week 9 - Sunday, November 7

Tampa Bay (5-2) at Atlanta (5-2), Atlanta favored by 8 1/2

Buccaneers fans are excited about the Bucs 5-2 start but Vegas obviously isn't buying in, inserting the Falcons as 8 1/2 points favorites in this one. Tampa hasn't beaten a good team all season, and was blown out at home when facing good teams like Pittsburgh and New Orleans. The Falcons are almost unbeatable at home, so the Bucs will go a long way towards silencing their critics if they can pull off the upset. They won't completely silence their critics are they lose on Sunday, but they will hang with the Falcons and show the league that they will be a true contender this season.

Prediction: Atlanta 27, Tampa Bay 21

Toronto, Canada: Chicago (4-3) vs. Buffalo (0-7), Chicago favored by 3

The Bills have come so close in their last two games to finally getting that elusive first win. They took both Baltimore and Kansas City to the wire on the road, both of which are very difficult places to play. The Bills just can't get their team on the same page. If the offense plays well, the defense struggles, and vice versa. The Bears are a mess, losers of three of four after a 3-0 start. The bye week probably didn't cure their awful offensive line and they seem like the perfect team for the Bills to get their first win against.

Prediction: Buffalo 20, Chicago 13

New England (6-1) at Cleveland (2-5), New England favored by 4 1/2

The Patriots have the best record in the NFL, and also got another win this week as they swindled the Vikings out of a third round pick to use Randy Moss for four weeks. The Browns had a week off after their shocking upset in New Orleans. QB Colt McCoy may get another chance to start this week and prove to the Browns that he is their quarterback of the future. The Browns may not be as bad as their record indicates but I don't think they will keep it that close against New England.

Prediction: New England 24, Cleveland 14

New York Jets (5-2) at Detroit (2-5), New York Jets favored by 4

The Lions would go 16-0 if they could play the Redskins every week. The Jets were embarrassed at home against the Packers, getting shut out. That means the Lions will pull off another upset at home this week, right? I don't think so. The Jets defense is far better than the Redskins defense and won't let Calvin Johnson kill them like the Skins did. I think the Jets will get their running game going enough to open up the passing game and hold off the Lions. Ndamukong Suh is quite the beast, huh?

Prediction: New York Jets 23, Detroit 16

Arizona (3-4) at Minnesota (2-5), Minnesota favored by 9

Right after I had gotten my #84 Randy Moss jersey out of mothballs, the Vikings waived him and once again made it a throwback jersey. Vikings coach Brad Childress should have known what he was getting into with Moss, and maybe fans should have known that with Moss' history Childress wasn't the type of coach to control Moss. WR Percy Harvin will really miss Moss, as he had started looking more like the receiver we saw last year. The Vikings have to win this game to keep alive their faint playoff hopes. The Cardinals are going back to Derek Anderson at quarterback after figuring out that an undrafted rookie probably wasn't going to take them to glory.

Prediction: Minnesota 27, Arizona 20

New Orleans (5-3) at Carolina (1-6), New Orleans favored by 6 1/2

The Panthers nearly shocked the Saints at the Superdome in the teams first meeting. New Orleans got to face Jimmy Clausen in this game, now they take on the man, the myth, the legend, Matt Moore. Saints QB Drew Brees still is throwing way too many INTs and doesn't look nearly as smooth as he did last year. It definitely hurts the Saints to be missing both Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush. However, the defense came alive last week and caused turnovers, which was their strong point last season. I think they continue that trend this weekend.

Prediction: New Orleans 30, Carolina 14

Miami (4-3) at Baltimore (5-2), Baltimore favored by 5 1/2

The Dolphins undefeated streak on the road likely comes to an end on Sunday. Baltimore is one of the toughest places to win, and the Ravens have yet to lose their this season. Baltimore also had an extra week to prepare for Miami. The Ravens defense looked awful against Buffalo two weeks ago but I expect a much stronger performance on Sunday. The Dolphins show signs of being a contender but they just can't seem to put it together on a consistent basis. Dolphins kicker Dan Carpenter won't be able to kick enough field goals to win this game.

Prediction: Baltimore 23, Miami 20

San Diego (3-5) at Houston (4-3), San Diego favored by 2 1/2

Down 19-7 to Tennessee last weekend the Chargers season was teetering towards being over. However, QB Philip Rivers threw the ball to his no name receivers, and TE Antonio Gates continued to be by far the best TE in the game, allowing the Chargers to get the come from behind win. The Texans were dominated by the Colts and continue to slip back to their normal level of mediocrity. All that being said, I like the Texans in this game. Their is a chance that Gates will finally have to miss a game with his various injuries, and the Chargers have yet to prove they can win on the road this season.

Prediction: Houston 30, San Diego 24

New York Giants (5-2) at Seattle (4-3), New York Giants favored by 6 1/2

When I first saw the spread for this game I couldn't believe it. The Seahawks are undefeated at home, and the last time the Giants came to Seattle they had 11 false start penalties. Then I heard that QB Matt Hasselbeck was out with a concussion, and Charlie Whitehurst would be forced to make his first start against a team that has been knocking out quarterbacks on a weekly basis. Not an ideal opponent for Whitehurst to start his career against, but you have to start somewhere. I would have picked the Seahawks to win if Hasselbeck could start, but I will stick with picking them to cover at least.

Prediction: New York Giants 21, Seattle 15

Kansas City (5-2) at Oakland (4-4), Oakland favored by 2 1/2

So are the Raiders really a contender or the beneficiaries of playing bad teams in Seattle and Denver? We may know a little better after they play the Chiefs. I don't think the Chiefs are as good as their 5-2 record indicates, but I certainly think their defense is good enough to not allow the Raiders to pile up 500 yards of offense on them. Both of these teams strengths are running the ball and they have the horses to do it. It will be Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones vs. Darren McFadden and Michael Bush. I'm not sold on the Raiders yet, I think the hype machine quiets down after this weekend.

Prediction: Kansas City 24, Oakland 21

Indianapolis (5-2) at Philadelphia (4-3), Philadelphia favored by 3

Not often you find the Colts listed as an underdog. The Eagles get back QB Michael Vick for this game. Vick may be out just as quickly as he returned if Robert Mathis or Dwight Freeney have their say. It is amazing how the Colts are able to hum along when missing guys like Joseph Addia, Austin Collie and Dallas Clark. Petyon Manning truly is amazing, even with his various playoff failures. I have consistently picked against the Eagles this year and for the most part they have proven me wrong. They get another chance this weekend.

Prediction: Indianapolis 27, Philadelphia 26

Dallas (1-6) at Green Bay (5-3), Green Bay favored by 8

The way Dallas laid down at home against Jacksonville on Sunday might have been one of the most pathetic performances I have ever witnessed. It definitely was hilarious to watch though. This team has proven consistently that when any expectations are placed on them they shrink under the pressure. Now with no expectations heading into this game, that is why I think they will cover and not completely embarrass themselves at Lambeau. These guys are still professionals, and I have to think that playing on national television will force them to play with some pride.

Prediction: Green Bay 27, Dallas 20

Monday, November 8

Pittsburgh (5-2) at Cincinnati (2-5), Pittsburgh favored by 4 1/2

Things are quickly unraveling in Cincinnati, another team that has shown they can never handle expectations. Pittsburgh has dominated the Bengals in Cincinnati, up until last season, which was a game they gave away. Their could be a total overhaul in Cincinnati if the season continues down this path, but then again Mike Brown has never really show any drive as an owner. I expect Pittsburgh to win this game, and the complaining between TO and Ocho has to start at some point.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 26, Cincinnati 13

Last Week Straight Up: 9-4
Overall Straight Up: 48-41

Last Week Against the Spread: 9-4
Overall Against the Spread: 47-40-2

Thursday, November 4, 2010

Cram Session - Week 10

The so called "little guys" take center stage in college football this weekend. #3 TCU travels to take on #5 Utah in a BCS buster elimination game. The top two teams in the country, Oregon and Auburn should have no problem remaining undefeated with easy home games this weekend.

Top 10

Washington (3-5, 2-3) at #1 Oregon (8-0, 5-0)

The Huskies are terrible with QB Jake Locker, who some fools talked about being a possible #1 draft pick in April, so how bad will they be without him? The Ducks fought off a road challenge from USC and continued to prove that their offense is almost impossible to stop. This is Oregon's last cakewalk of the season, as their last three games could prove to be challenging.

Prediction: Oregon 62, Washington 7

Chattanooga (5-3) at #2 Auburn (9-0)

One week ago Chattanooga was playing at home against tiny little Elon. This week they get huge payday and the pleasure of getting their tails kicked in Auburn. Auburn somehow dropped in the BCS ranking despite spanking Ole Miss on the road. QB Cam Newton continues to amaze, as he added a touchdown catch to his already gaudy, Heisman ready stats.

Prediction: Auburn 53, Chattanooga 7

#3 TCU (9-0, 5-0) at #5 Utah (8-0, 5-0)

Both of these teams have been biding their time, waiting for this inevitable clash. The Utes have a very balanced offensive attack led by QB Jordan Wynn and a two headed monster at RB with Eddie Wide and Matt Asiata. WR DeVonte Christopher is their deep threat averaging 19.2 yards per catch. For the Horned Frogs QB Andy Dalton has been playing lights out the last month, and has 16 TDs and 5 INTs on the season. The Horned Frogs have the 9th ranked rushing offense in the NCAA, and Ed Wesley averages 6.8 yards per carry and has 10 touchdowns this season. Both teams are in the top 10 in scoring defense. The TCU defense has only allowed 1 touchdown in their last 5 games. While homefield advantage gives the Utes a shot, I think it is clear that the Horned Frogs are the better team. Their defense is almost impossible to score on and I don't think the Utes offense has the horses necessary to penetrate TCU's defense.

Prediction: TCU 24, Utah 13

Hawaii (7-2, 5-0) at #4 Boise State (7-0, 3-0)

They aren't getting much attention but Hawaii has been very impressive in the last month. They knocked off the ranked Nevada Wolfpack and have blown away the rest of their WAC competition. No one is really giving them a shot at Boise and while I don't expect them to win they could end up giving the Broncos a scare. The Warriors lead the country in passing offense and QB Bryant Moniz has put up gaudy numbers. The Broncos will be the toughest defense Moniz has faced this year and I expect it to be a rude awakening.

Prediction: Boise State 38, Hawaii 24

#6 Alabama (7-1, 4-1) at #10 LSU (7-1, 4-1)

The Crimson Tide bandwagon is starting to fill up again. With a bunch of unbeatens falling, people are saying that if a one-loss team is to make the BCS Championship this season, it will be the Crimson Tide. First, they have to go into Tigers Stadium and knock off the luckiest team in the country, LSU. Each team has had a week off to get ready for this game so expect both teams to come out guns blazing. The Tigers will need to create turnovers on defense if they want to pull off the upset. If this were a night game I might be more inclined to pick LSU, but I think Saban is a far superior coach to Miles and that will be a huge factor in the Alabama win.

Prediction: Alabama 20, LSU 13

#7 Nebraska (7-1, 3-1) at Iowa State (5-4, 3-2)

Where the heck was that performance against Texas? The Huskers punched Missouri in the mouth from the opening kickoff and never had a doubt in their thrashing of the Tigers. They even were able to afford being without T-Magic for the second half. RB Roy Helu Jr. rushed for over 300 yards, setting a Nebraska school record. Pretty amazing considering the long list of talented rushers to go through Nebraska. The Cornhuskers now have the inside track to the Big 12 North and a spot in the Big 12 Championship. However, that could all be derailed if they don't focus on this weekend's game at Iowa State. After getting destroyed for 2 straight weeks, the Cyclones beat Texas on the road, and then defeated a sorry Kansas team at home. The Cyclones are a pretty middling team both offensively and defensively. Hopefully, the Huskers remember their embarrassing home loss to the Cyclones last season, when they turned the ball over 8 times. The Huskers have been fantastic on the road all season and I expect that to continue this weekend.

Prediction: Nebraska 48, Iowa State 17

#8 Oklahoma (7-1, 3-1) at Texas A&M (5-3, 2-2)

The 12th Man will be jacked up for the arrival of the Sooners. Aggies coach Mike Sherman is on the hot seat and if he can pull off this upset and make the Aggies bowl eligible it might calm things down considerably. The Aggies really aren't that bad of a team. They have one of the most potent passing offenses in the country, and are decent defensively. However, they will be missing their leading RB Christine Michael who is out for the year, and QB Ryan Tannehill will be making just his second start. Those factors will conspire to give Choklahoma a close victory.

Prediction: Oklahoma 30, Texas A&M 26

#9 Wisconsin (7-1, 3-1) at Purdue (4-4, 2-2)

The Badgers have been on fire since a tough loss at Michigan State, defeating two Top 20 teams in Ohio State and Iowa. The win over Iowa was on the road, proving that the Badgers can win in a tough environment. Purdue lost their last two games by a combined score of 93-10. That will only get worse this weekend.

Prediction: Wisconsin 38, Purdue 21

Last Week: 4-4
Overall: 56-11