Cram Session - Week 4

Week 4 of the college football season is highlighted by #1 Alabama facing their first road test of the season. No, going to Durham to bitch slap the Dookies doesn't count. They take on Arkansas, led by Heisman hopeful QB Ryan Mallett. This begins a brutal three game stretch for the Crimson Tide, where they play teams all in the Top 15. If Mallett can lead the Razorbacks to a win he will almost certainly put himself at the top of the Heisman list.

Games That Matter to Me That May Not Matter to You

#16 Stanford (3-0) at Notre Dame (1-2)

Ugh, being a Notre Dame fan just isn't very fun. For two straight weeks I have had to watch the Irish take a lead late and then watch their pathetic, sorry defense give it up. It got even better last Saturday when I got to see the Irish robbed because an official didn't call a delay of game penalty correctly. Things don't get much better Saturday as Jim Harbaugh's Stanford Cardinal roll into town. The Cardinal have decimated their first three opponents by a combined score of 155-41. They are averaging an insane 51 points per game, and are salivating over what they could do to a Notre Dame defense that gives up points in bunches. Junior QB Andrew Luck has thrown 10 TDs and no interceptions thus far. He is also a threat running the ball, averaging 10.8 yards per carry. Irish fans remember what Michigan QB Denard Robinson did to them, and while Luck is not quite the same threat, I can already see him gashing the Irish defense on the ground. Luck's favorite targets are senior wide receivers Ryan Whalen and Doug Baldwin. Not much has changed in early stages of the Brian Kelly era, from what we saw at the end of the Charlie Weis era. The Irish can still play offense and score points with the best of them, but they can't stop anyone. Kelly has never been known as a defensive coach, so it is a little scary to think that in the future the defense will never get better. The Irish will be able to put up points but they won't be able to stop or slow down the Cardinal's potent attack.

Prediction: Stanford 52, Notre Dame 31

Top 10

Friday, September 24

#4 TCU (3-0) at SMU (2-1)

Prediction: TCU 38, SMU 21

Saturday, September 25

#1 Alabama (3-0, 0-0) at #10 Arkansas (3-0, 1-0)

The Razorbacks earned a hard fought road win at Georgia last weekend. Leading by 14 late in the second half, the Razorbacks coughed up the lead, before Mallett calmly led them down the field to the winning score. I think the Crimson Tide are clearly the better team, and the only reason the Razorbacks will have any chance in this game is the homefield advantage. The Crimson Tide are just absolutely loaded in every facet of the game and I think it is inevitable that they are playing for the BCS Championship in January. Arkansas looks improved on defense from last season but their competition has been less than stellar through the first three games. The Crimson Tide are excellent on defense and I expect them to frustrate Mallett and force him into turnovers. The Razorbacks will hang around for most of the game but it won't be enough.

Prediction: Alabama 27, Arkansas 17

Eastern Michigan (0-3) at #2 Ohio State (3-0)

Why is this game on ABC? This has Big Ten Network written all over it. Game will be over within the first 10 minutes.

Prediction: Ohio State 48, Eastern Michigan 6

#24 Oregon State (1-1) at #3 Boise State (3-0)

This game seemed like it would be a lot more important when the Broncos win over sorry Virginia Tech actually meant something. If the Broncos win this game, and even are impressive it will really do nothing to help them, as it will just cause the Beavers to drop out of the polls. I am not overly impressed with Oregon State and don't look at this game as much of a challenge for the Broncos. It is the last possible game they could lose this year, so in that sense it is big, but no matter what the Broncos will be on the outside looking in when it comes to playing for the national title.

Prediction: Boise State 45, Oregon State 17

#5 Oregon (3-0, 0-0) at Arizona State (2-1, 0-0)

It is hard to argue than any team has been more impressive through the first three weeks of the season than the Oregon Ducks. They shut out New Mexico 72-0, and Portland State 69-0, and sandwiched between that a 48-13 whipping of Tennessee on the road. The Sun Devils played valiantly at Wisconsin, and may have pulled off the upset, if not for their game tying extra point being blocked. The Sun Devils have a pretty potent passing attack, currently ranked 12th in the nation, but it is hard to imagine the red hot Ducks losing right now.

Prediction: Oregon 42, Arizona State 21

South Dakota State (0-2) at #6 Nebraska (3-0)

Not much to say about this joke of a game for the Huskers so let me focus on last week's impressive blowout of Washington. The Huskers exposed Huskies QB Jake Locker for the fraud that he is, and continued to show that with Taylor Martinez at QB they now have a competent, perhaps even potent offense. The Huskers pass defense was outstanding, and the defense as a whole, while not as good as last season, continues to show that they are worthy of the Blackshirts. The Huskers only face one ranked team this season, and that is at home against an inexperienced Texas team. Trying not to get too excited just yet.

Prediction: Nebraska 54, South Dakota State 10

UCLA (1-2) at #7 Texas (3-0)

Boy how things can change in 13 years. The last time these two schools met in Texas, the Bruins embarrassed the Longhorns, beating them 66-3. Now, the Bruins are rebuilding, while the Longhorns have become an annual Top 10 team under Mack Brown. Some Texas fans complain about Brown, but hey, they could always go back to losing by 63 at home. The Longhorns are coming off a hard fought road victory against Texas Tech. QB Garrett Gilbert was shaky at times but the defense held the Red Raiders scoreless in the second half, securing the victory. The Longhorns have the Red River Shootout with Choklahoma next week, but they have to stay focused on the Bruins. Shouldn't be a problem.

Prediction: Texas 31, UCLA 10

#8 Oklahoma (3-0) at Cincinnati (1-2)

The Bearcats clearly miss Brian Kelly, while the Sooners seem to fluctuate between looking average and awesome. This is Choklahoma's first road game of the season and if it had been last season they might have reason to worry. QB Landry Jones has recovered nicely his last two games, after a sub par performance to open the season against Utah State. The Sooners should rout the Bearcats, but based on their unpredictability this season, they probably won't.

Prediction: Oklahoma 35, Cincinnati 20

Kentucky (3-0, 0-0) at #9 Florida (3-0, 1-0)

The Gators continue to do just enough to win each week, but continue to look underwhelming. The offense is still not clicking, and John Brantley is doing nothing to make anyone forget Tim Tebow. Kentucky is 3-0 but its a 3-0 that really means nothing as they haven't played anybody. The Gators will make it 24 straight wins against the Wildcats.

Prediction: Florida 30, Kentucky 16

Last Week: 11-0
Overall: 28-3

The Hail Mary - Week 2

Last week I finally got to experience the beauty that is the NFL Red Zone channel. Call me dumb but I took the channel's title as literal. I thought they only started showing games once they were in the red zone. However, I discovered they show every game at some point and usually don't miss a thing. It is dizzying to watch but perfect at the same time. It will change how I watch football from now on. So no more Games That I Will Be Watching header, I get to watch them all now! This weekend my viewing might be somewhat limited as I will be attending a bikini contest in Annapolis. Yes, boobs are one of the few things that could make me miss an NFL Sunday. However, I will be DVRing the Red Zone channel and trying to avoid scores all day.

Week 2

Arizona (1-0) at Atlanta (0-1), Atlanta favored by 6 1/2

I was disappointed that the Falcons were unable to beat the Steelers last week but I still believe in them. The main reason they lost is they could get nothing going on the ground as RB Michael Turner was invisible. I think he will get back to form in this game, and Cardinals QB Derek Anderson will be good for a few interceptions.

Prediction: Atlanta 27, Arizona 13

Baltimore (1-0) at Cincinnati (0-1), Baltimore favored by 1 1/2

The Bengals looked like pussy cats in New England as they had their doors completely blown away. The Ravens defense played inspired football against the Jets but the question is are they still the Ravens defense of forever, or did the Jets just make them look that good? The Bengals defense, the strength of the team also looked terrible last weekend, but I expect them to bounce back and play better against mediocre Joe Flacco.

Prediction: Cincinnati 20, Baltimore 17

Kansas City (1-0) at Cleveland (0-1), Cleveland favored by 2

I was really impressed with the Chiefs in their Monday night win against the Chargers. Their defense looked impressive and they have a ton of exciting rookies including Javier Arenas and Dexter McCluster. The Browns are, well the Browns.

Prediction: Kansas City 20, Cleveland 14

Chicago (1-0) at Dallas (0-1), Dallas favored by 8 1/2

The Bears were extremely lucky to come away with a win against the Lions, while the Cowboys awful preseason form carried over to the regular season. The Cowboys offense just seems out of sync and prone to mistakes. Their defense on the other hand, looked fantastic and I think they will harass Bears QB Jay Cutler all day.

Prediction: Dallas 21, Chicago 16

Philadelphia (0-1) at Detroit (0-1), Philadelphia favored by 4

Mike Vick will make his first start since 2006. The Lions will be forced to counter with a backup of their own, Shaun Hill. Vick replaced Kevin Kolb in the second half against Green Bay last weekend and looked like 10 times the quarterback Kolb is. Sure there are some sloppy aspects to Vick's game, but there is no denying the energy he brought to the team. If he plays well against the Lions, it will get harder and harder for Andy Reid to re-insert Kolb into the lineup.

Prediction: Philadelphia 23, Detroit 20

Buffalo (0-1) at Green Bay (1-0), Green Bay favored by 13

Remember last week how I talked about CJ Spiller and how exciting he was? His debut couldn't have been more of a dud. Maybe the stench that is the Buffalo Bills has rubbed off on him and taken away his play making abilities. The Packers lost RB Ryan Grant for the year but I expect their offense to remain potent. They were able to put up 27 points last weekend and that was with Aaron Rodgers not even playing well.

Prediction: Green Bay 38, Buffalo 14

Pittsburgh (1-0) at Tennessee (1-0), Tennessee favored by 5

The Steelers showed a lot of guts in defeating the Falcons last weekend. S Troy Polamalu makes such a difference to their defense and as long as he is healthy, the Steelers will be competitive without Ben Rapelisberger. Winning at Tennessee will be very difficult, but I think the Steelers can keep it close. I expect Titans RB Chris Johnson to have a solid day, but not go off like he did against the Raiders.

Prediction: Tennessee 19, Pittsburgh 16

Miami (1-0) at Minnesota (0-1), Minnesota favored by 5 1/2

Two teams I like go head to head at Mall of American Field. I will be pulling for the Dolphins in this one. LB Karlos Dansby paid immediate dividends against the Bills and the Dolphins could be set at inside linebacker for years. This is a must win for the Vikings, who don't want to fall two games back of the Packers right away in the division. Favre and his receivers have had some extra time over the past week and a half to try to find some sort of rhythm. Maybe Greg Camarillo can make some plays against his former team?

Prediction: Minnesota 24, Miami 20

Tampa Bay (1-0) at Carolina (0-1), No Line

It looks like Matt Moore will start for Carolina, but I am not sure if that is a good thing or a bad thing. I was on the Moore bandwagon but he looked overwhelmed against the Giants. The Bucs beat the Browns, but that doesn't mean they are good or anything.

Prediction: Carolina 24, Tampa Bay 13

Seattle (1-0) at Denver (0-1), Denver favored by 3 1/2

The Seahawks completely embarrassed the 49ers last weekend. I ripped the Seahawks pretty hard last week and they definitely made me eat my words. The question is, can they be as good on the road? I don't think the Broncos are all that good, but good enough to beat Seattle at home.

Prediction: Denver 27, Seattle 24

St. Louis (0-1) at Oakland (0-1), Oakland favored by 4

What do you know? Even in Oakland, Jason Campbell still sucks.

Prediction: Oakland 9, St. Louis 7

New England (1-0) at New York Jets (0-1), New England favored by 1 1/2

The Patriots looked reinvigorated in Week 1, while Mark Sanchez looked like...crappy Mark Sanchez. I think Sanchez will at least reach 100 yards passing in this one and maybe RB Shonn Greene will do something this week and not kill everyone's fantasy teams. If the Jets lose this game and start 0-2, mass hysteria will ensue in New York. I like Rex Ryan and I don't think there is anything wrong with believing in your team, but man he set himself up to look like a fool.

Prediction: New England 14, New York Jets 10

Jacksonville (1-0) at San Diego (0-1), San Diego favored by 8

I expected the Chiefs to give the Chargers a good game last week but never thought San Diego would lose. Chargers QB Philip Rivers was guh huhing all over the field and might want to work on that. Maybe what ails the Chargers can be cured at home like Vegas seems to think, I don't agree.

Prediction: San Diego 26, Jacksonville 20

Houston (1-0) at Washington (1-0), Houston favored by 3

Houston got the win they were so desperately seeking, as they smacked around the Colts last weekend. The Redskins won a game that they almost certainly would have lost under the Zorn/Campbell regime. Redskins offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan faces off against his former team. The question is will he knows the Texans offensive personnel inside and out and give the Redskins an advantage? Or will the Texans know everything about Shanahan's offense, giving the Texans the advantage? This is a really tough game to call. Texans RB Arian Foster may have a huge day, as the Redskins defense has struggled defending the run. A 2-0 start for the Redskins would have fans printing Super Bowl tickets, but I don't think that will happen.

Prediction: Houston 17, Washington 16

New York Giants (1-0) at Indianapolis (0-1), Indianapolis favored by 5 1/2

Manning Bowl II!!!! Peyton took their first meeting in New York four years ago, and Eli will look for revenge on the road. The Giants seemed to be in a malaise for three quarters against the Panthers and then busted loose in the fourth quarter. The Colts defense looked dreadful against the Texans, while the offense looked unstoppable. I think Peyton will outplay Eli and the Colts will right the ship.

Prediction: Indianapolis 35, New York Giants 24

New Orleans (1-0) at San Francisco (0-1), New Orleans favored by 5

The 49ers went to Seattle and laid the biggest turd I think I have ever seen. Our supposed awesome defense let the freaking Seahawks dominate them. Alex Smith looked like the crappy ass quarterback I have watched for years and played like the guy that has me cursing the Niners for passing on Aaron Rodgers. The Saints won in a different way against Minnesota. The offense only was able to put together two scoring drives, and the defense played fantastic. If the Niners get off to an 0-2 start it wouldn't be the end of the world since they play in a dreadful division. However, they need to show some heart and actually be competitive against the defending Super Bowl champions. I want to pick the upset, but I don't want to jinx it.

Prediction: New Orleans 21, San Francisco 17

Overall Record Straight Up: 7-9 (ouch!)
Overall Record Against the Spread: 5-10-1 (ouch!)

Cram Session - Week 3

Week 2 didn't really live up to the hype as none of the games between ranked teams were even that close. There is only one game this weekend between ranked teams, as #9 Iowa travels to Arizona, to take on the 24th ranked Wildcats. Some of the other Top 10 teams could have some challenges ahead of them as well.

Games That Matter to Me That May Not Matter to You

Notre Dame (1-1) at Michigan State (2-0)

The Irish and the Spartans meet under the lights this Saturday. This will be Michigan State's first true challenge of the season, while the Irish continue their tour of the Big Ten. Notre Dame suffered a bitter defeat at the hands of Michigan last weekend, as the defense was absolutely gashed by Wolverine QB Denard Robinson. The Irish defense will have another challenging QB to face in the Spartans Kirk Cousins. Cousins put up good numbers last season but hasn't been overly impressive in the Spartans games against Western Michigan and Florida Atlantic this season. The Spartans rushing attack has been potent and could be the difference. RBs Edwin Baker and Le'Veon Bell are both averaging over 9 yards a carry. I am not really sure what to make of the Spartans. I don't think they are that good but I am not very confident in the Irish being able to win at East Lansing under the lights. Irish QB Dayne Crist must stay healthy as it was obvious how far ahead he is of the other QB's on the Irish depth chart. I think the Irish will fight hard but fall short.

Prediction: Michigan State 26, Notre Dame 21

Top 10

#1 Alabama (2-0) at Duke (1-1)

The Blue Devils have actually become competitive since hiring David Cutcliffe a few seasons ago. However, they haven't faced a test like the #1 Crimson Tide. Alabama is actually getting better this weekend, with the return of Heisman winning RB Mark Ingram. This one will likely get very ugly. If Wake Forest can put up 54 points on Duke, how many could Alabama potentially score?

Prediction: Alabama 58, Duke 14

Ohio (1-1) at #2 Ohio State (2-0)

The Buckeyes defense was the story in their victory against Miami last weekend. The next four weeks of the Buckeyes schedule should be a cake walk, starting with the Bobcats.

Prediction: Ohio State 40, Ohio 10

#3 Boise State (1-0) at Wyoming (1-1)

Boise State saw their hopes at a national championship shatter when the Chokies shit the bed against James Madison. They will need a lot of teams around them to lose to have any shot and of course will have to go undefeated. The Cowboys crowd will definitely be pumped for this but the Broncos have proven they can handle much worse.

Prediction: Boise State 48, Wyoming 14

Baylor (2-0) at #4 TCU (2-0)

This game could be more competitive than people might initially think. Baylor has an exciting, and very good QB in Robert Griffin III. If the game was in Waco I would give the Bears more of a shot.

Prediction: TCU 37, Baylor 20

Portland State (1-1) at #5 Oregon (2-0)

Portland State got absolutely destroyed at Arizona State a few weeks ago. Oregon is far better than Portland State. Oregon just got done thrashing Tennessee at Tennessee. Avert your eyes if you don't like completely lopsided scores.

Prediction: Oregon 73, Portland State 7

#6 Texas (2-0) at Texas Tech (2-0)

Everyone remembers the last time the Longhorns traveled to Lubbock. Michael Crabtree stretching for the touchdown in the final second, giving the Red Raiders an upset win over the Longhorns. Things have changed quite a bit since then, no more Michael Crabtree and no more Mike Leach. This will be the first big game of the Tommy Tubberville era. Texas has won their first two games but as expected is struggling a bit with all of their new pieces. The atmosphere will be electric and a great test for Longhorns QB Garrett Gilbert. I want to pick the upset but don't have the guts.

Prediction: Texas 33, Texas Tech 21

Air Force (2-0) at #7 Oklahoma (2-0)

Well I read way too much into Oklahoma's unimpressive performance against Utah State. I thought it would mean that Florida State would pull off the upset, but instead the Sooners killed them. Maybe the Falcons will put up a better fight, especially after how good they looked against BYU last weekend. One problem, the Sooners don't lose at home.

Prediction: Oklahoma 27, Air Force 17

#8 Nebraska (2-0) at Washington (1-1)

The Cornhuskers get their first test of the season as they travel to Seattle to take on QB Jake Locker and the Huskies. Locker has had some Heisman hype surrounding him and it will ratchet up if he can play well against the Huskers defense and lead the Huskies to a win. Nebraska has played no one of consequence so far, so this will be my first chance to really know what to make of them this season. In Week 1, the offense shined and the defense played poorly, and it was the exact opposite in Week 2. I am really excited about the Taylor Martinez era and this will be a good first test for him. This is definitely a game Nebraska should win and I think they will.

Prediction: Nebraska 27, Washington 14

#9 Iowa (2-0) at #24 Arizona (2-0)

Still not sold on the Hawkeyes, although I admit they have looked impressive in their first two games. Arizona hasn't played anyone either so this will be our first glimpse into what these teams can bring. This might even be a possible Rose Bowl preview. Both teams are pretty loaded at the skill positions. Wildcats QB Nick Foles has been extremely accurate in his first two starts, completing 49 of his 59 passes. The Hawkeyes offense has looked much improved from last season but it remains to be seen if that's a by product of playing cupcakes. I think these teams are evenly matched and home field advantage will win out.

Prediction: Arizona 21, Iowa 20

#10 Florida (2-0, 0-0) at Tennessee (1-1, 0-0)

This game has certainly lost most of its shine in recent years with the downfall of the Volunteers football program. Tennessee was shellacked by Oregon last week at home and it gets no easier with the Gators coming to town. Florida has steadily dropped in the polls despite winning both of their games. This will be the first road test for Gators QB John Brantley, but I think he will be fine. Neither team has shown us much thus far, but there is no denying how much better the Gators are at their worst than even Tennessee would be at their best.

Prediction: Florida 28, Tennessee 14

Last Week: 8-2
Overall: 17-3

Cram Session - Week 2

After what was a Week 1 largely devoid of any intriguing games, Week 2 of the college football season has tons of them. Three teams in the Top 10 play ranked opponents this weekend, with the highlight being #18 Penn State traveling to Alabama to take on the #1 Crimson Tide. Those will be some very good games, but my eye will be on Michigan at Notre Dame. I liked a lot of what I saw from the Irish in Week 1 but also understand that was against a crappy Purdue team. The Irish suffered a tough loss at Michigan last year and it would be nice to get some revenge this season.

Games That Matter to Me That May Not Matter to You

Michigan (1-0) at Notre Dame (1-0)

Both of these teams had impressive Week 1 victories. For Notre Dame, it was great to see QB Dayne Crist look comfortable in Brian Kelly's offense. It was also nice to see the Irish establish a running game behind Armando Allen, and Cierre Wood. The Notre Dame defense also came to play and shut down what was a pretty high powered Boilermakers offense the year before. The Wolverines pushed Tate Forcier to the bench and handed the offense over to Denard Robinson who played brilliantly against Connecticut. Robinson was able to run and throw at will against the Huskies. However, before Wolverine fans get too excited they need to remember that they started 4-0 last season, and Forcier was supposedly their savior. This game all hinges on whether or not the Irish can slow down Robinson. They have to make sure he isn't able to run wild on them, so the Irish will have to pressure him constantly. For Notre Dame offensively, achieving balance like they did in Week 1 is key, and also getting Michael Floyd more involved than he was against Purdue would be an added bonus. I like the Irish to take this one at home.

Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Michigan 20

Top 10

#18 Penn State (1-0) at #1 Alabama (1-0)

It is appearing unlikely that Heisman winner RB Mark Ingram will play in this game. That is good news for Penn State. The bad news, they are going to have to try to beat the #1 team in the nation on the road with a true freshman as their QB. Sure QB Robert Bolden had a nice game at home against Youngstown State, but that in no way prepared him for what he will face in this game. With or without Ingram, I think Alabama rolls to victory.

Prediction: Alabama 30, Penn State 13

#12 Miami (1-0) at #2 Ohio State (1-0)

This is a game I will definitely be checking out during commercials of the Notre Dame/Michigan game. These teams meet for the first time since their 2003 National Championship meeting, when the Buckeyes shocked Miami. Both programs have gone in different directions since then, and now the Buckeyes will be heavily favored in this one. I am still not sold on the Canes at all, and think their QB Jacory Harris is highly overrated. Ohio State has an overrated QB in their own right in Terrelle Pryor, but their defense is much better in my opinion than Miami's. I think they will make life hell for Harris.

Prediction: Ohio State 35, Miami 17

Tennessee Tech (0-1) at #4 TCU (1-0)

TCU get's a nice break after a hard fought win against Oregon State last weekend. Everyone is talking about Boise State potentially playing for a national title but TCU will have a good shot as well.

Prediction: TCU 40, Tennessee Tech 6

Wyoming (1-0) at #5 Texas (1-0)

I don't envy the Cowboys who first have to take on #5 Texas this weekend, then host #3 Boise State next weekend. As expected the Longhorns looked a little shaky in their win over Rice and QB Garrett Gilbert wasn't overly impressive. The Longhorns need to work out the kinks this week, because they play under the lights next weekend at Texas Tech.

Prediction: Texas 45, Wyoming 20

Idaho (1-0) at #6 Nebraska (1-0)

I am very happy with Bo Pelini's decision to go with Freshman Taylor Martinez as his starting QB. Zac Lee wasn't getting it done and it's nice to finally have someone who could potentially be a starter for four years, since QB has been a revolving door position for a while for the Huskers. As a Huskers fan I loved seeing Martinez running and throwing, bringing back memories of Eric Crouch, Scott Frost, and Tommie Frazier. I wasn't so happy with the amount of yardage the Nebraska defense gave up. I was hoping that they wouldn't miss Suh too much but that appears to have been foolhardy. Nebraska has to travel to Washington next weekend, so hopefully the defense improves this week, because Huskies QB Jake Locker could give them trouble.

Prediction: Nebraska 48, Idaho 14

#7 Oregon (1-0) at Tennessee (1-0)

This game has gotten lost in the shuffle of the other big games this weekend but it could be a good one. Both teams posted gigantic shutouts against inferior competition last weekend, so neither team will be lacking confidence. The Ducks appeared like they will be more than capable, even with Jeremiah Massoli at quarterback. The Ducks will be getting back RB LeMichael James for this game, after he served a one-game suspension.

Prediction: Oregon 30, Tennessee 27

South Florida (1-0) at #8 Florida (1-0)

The Gators looked horrible at home against Miami of Ohio. So bad, that they were dropped four spots in the polls despite winning by 22 points. They couldn't even get the center/quarterback exchange right. The Bulls won at Tallahassee last season and if they were able to pull off a shocker in Gainesville it would be a program making win. I think they will come close but be unable to pull it off.

Prediction: Florida 28, South Florida 24

Iowa State (1-0) at #9 Iowa (1-0)

Only people in Iowa give a crap about this game.

Prediction: Iowa 31, Iowa State 20

#17 Florida State (1-0) at #10 Oklahoma (1-0)

The Seminoles started the Jimbo Fisher era off with a bang, while the Sooners barely survived Utah State at home. I smell upset in this one. I think QB Christian Ponder will play well, and I think Choklahoma proves once again that they are overrated, fluke frauds.

Prediction: Florida State 28, Oklahoma 27

Overall Record: 9-1

The Hail Mary - Week 1

The Hail Mary has returned! Last season I did an amazing job picking games straight up, and a not so amazing job picking games against the spread. I hope to be fully amazing this season. My Super Bowl picks, the Indianapolis Colts and Green Bay Packers have tough road challenges in Week 1. In fact, almost every team has a challenge in Week 1, as there is not a single double digit favorite this week.

Games That I Will Be Watching

Minnesota at New Orleans, New Orleans favored by 4 1/2

The season kicks off with a rematch of the NFC Championship game. The Vikings literally fumbled and threw away their chance at reaching the Super Bowl this year. The Vikings completely outplayed the Saints in that game and it is my belief that they are the better team. They will be without WR Sidney Rice, but I think WR Bernard Berrian is going to step up his game this season. I haven't liked the Saints attitude since they won the Super Bowl. Too much partying and not enough focus on defending their championship. Their schedule is so easy this year that it won't matter but it will matter in this game. Ever since the NFL has had the defending Super Bowl champion host the Thursday night game the champion has never lost. That changes tonight.

Prediction: Minnesota 27, New Orleans 26

Cincinnati at New England, New England favored by 4 1/2

The New England dynasty may have been buried for good by the Baltimore Ravens in last season's playoffs. The Patriots seem to be an old team running on its last legs. The Bengals surprised everyone last season by winning the AFC North. However, they faltered down their stretch, mostly due to an ineffective offense. They are hoping the additions of WRs Terrell Owens, Jordan Shipley, and TE Jermaine Gresham will bolster the passing game. Even with those additions, any improvement will likely hinge on QB Carson Palmer returning to his form from 2006. I am one of those people that feels like the Patriots are on the way down a bit this year and will lose some games that will surprise people. This is one of them.

Prediction: Cincinnati 27, New England 21

Carolina at New York Giants, New York Giants favored by 7

A little surprised by the Giants being favored by a touchdown. I think QB Matt Moore will prove to be quite the upgrade for the Panthers over Jake Delhomme. Not really sure what to make of the Giants this year. They have a ton of weapons on offense but defensively they were awful last season. Personnel wise they didn't change too much so it will come down to whether making a switch at Defensive Coordinator will help or not. I like the Giants to win this game but the Panthers to keep it close.

Prediction: New York Giants 23, Carolina 19

Green Bay at Philadelphia, Green Bay favored by 3

I didn't exactly go out on a limb with my pick of the Packers making the Super Bowl. They have been the trendy pick, although I doubt many would have them going to the Super Bowl as a 6 seed like I do. I think this will be a very tough season for the Eagles, who are in a rebuilding mode. Kevin Kolb makes his debut as the full time starter and for his sake I hope he doesn't get off to a slow start, as Eagles fans have no patience at all. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers continues to make the 49ers look like fools for choosing Alex Smith over him. I think he lights up the Eagles on Sunday.

Prediction: Green Bay 35, Philadelphia 21

Dallas at Washington, Dallas favored by 4

It's another new era in Washington and like always Redskins fans are hopelessly optimistic. It is unknown at this point whether Albert Haynesworth will play or not for the Redskins. I don't think it will matter either way as Haynesworth hasn't even proven he is in any sort of shape to make a difference. Lost in the Haynesworth saga has been Donovan McNabb preparing to make his Redskins debut. While I don't envy him having Joey Galloway as a number two receiver, McNabb has made a career out of performing well despite having less than stellar wide receivers. I think the atmosphere will be electric at FedEx Field and the new regime will get off to the right start.

Prediction: Washington 23, Dallas 20

Baltimore at New York Jets, New York Jets favored by 2 1/2

The New York Jets have put a ton of pressure on themselves. With all of their signings and trading in the offseason expectations would have been high as is, but the Jets have embraced it rather than shy away from it. I respect their bravado but their will be a lot of happy people if they fall flat on their faces. The Ravens have significantly upgraded their wide receiver corps with the additions of Anquan Boldin and TJ Houshmanzadeh. QB Joe Flacco will have to play better than he has, as he no longer has the excuse that he has no weapons to throw to. The Ravens defense is starting to get up there in age and it will be interesting to see how they hold up over the course of the season. This game will be a defensive struggle, with the Jets making a game winning interception to hold on to a tight victory.

Prediction: New York Jets 14, Baltimore 10

San Diego at Kansas City, San Diego favored by 5

There is hope in Kansas City that the combination of GM Scott Pioli and Offensive and Defensive Coordinators Charlie Weis and Romeo Crennel can recapture their New England magic. The Chargers are once again heavy favorites to win the AFC West but do have some question marks. They will be without star WR Vincent Jackson, so it will be up to Malcom Floyd to take over the number one spot. They are counting on rookie RB Ryan Mathews to provide instant contributions at the running back position. It is weird to me for Kansas City to be playing a game starting at 1015. I had to double check this game wasn't at San Diego. The Chiefs will make the game exciting but Chargers QB Philip Rivers will carry the Chargers to a win.

Prediction: San Diego 28, Kansas City 24

Rest of Week 1

Atlanta at Pittsburgh, Atlanta favored by 2 1/2

The Falcons are my sleeper team this year, as I think they will take the NFC South crown from the New Orleans Saints. The Steelers are hoping to survive the first four games of their season without QB Ben Rapelisberger. Dennis Dixon, who showed promise in his one start last season against Baltimore, get's the nod in this one.

Prediction: Atlanta 24, Pittsburgh 17

Cleveland at Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay favored by 3

This game get's no attention and likes it.

Prediction: Cleveland 8, Tampa Bay 4

Denver at Jacksonville, Jacksonville favored by 2 1/2

Will Tim Tebow see action in this one? That is about the only interesting subplot to this game.

Prediction: Denver 17, Jacksonville 13

Indianapolis at Houston, Indianapolis favored by 2 1/2

The Texans are a sexy, sleeper pick for most, and many think they will prove that by finally defeating their tormentors, the Colts. The Colts will be even better than last season and they will show that right out of the gate.

Prediction: Indianapolis 34, Houston 27

Miami at Buffalo, Miami favored by 3

I expect Bills RB C.J. Spiller to bust out a couple of exciting plays in this game. Got to see him in person at Maryland last year and he is truly amazing. However, I expect Dolphins new WR Brandon Marshall to have an even bigger day.

Prediction: Miami 22, Buffalo 14

Detroit at Chicago, Chicago favored by 6

Both of these teams will be dreadful this year. However, I am curious to see if Lions DT Ndamukong Suh will dominate in the pros, the way he did in college.

Prediction: Chicago 28, Detroit 23

Oakland at Tennessee, Tennessee favored by 6

Redskins fans will likely keep a close eye on the Raiders this season to see how QB Jason Campbell fares. I think Campbell will make the Raiders better, but anything other than JaMarcus Russell would make the Raiders better. I expect the Titans to be good this season and just narrowly miss out on the playoffs. Their defense has lost some stars the last few seasons and has its fair share of doubters.

Prediction: Tennesee 20, Oakland 15

Arizona at St. Louis, Arizona favored by 4

Rams QB Sam Bradford hasn't even taken a regular season snap and I feel he is already better than Cardinals QB Derek Anderson. However, the rest of the Rams are complete poo poo platter.

Prediction: Arizona 13, St. Louis 10

San Francisco at Seattle, San Francisco favored by 3

No more excuses left for the 49ers. Either win the NFC West this season or its a complete failure. I love Mike Singletary but there is no reason for the 49ers not make the playoffs this season. QB Alex Smith just has to be slightly competent, as the 49ers defense is one of the best in the NFL. For whatever reason, some people seem to be high on the Seahawks. Not sure why. Their defense sucks, their offense sucks, their coach sucks.

Prediction: San Francisco 20, Seattle 10

2010 NFL Predictions

Some of you may be wondering where my AFC and NFC West previews are. The truth is, you won't be getting them. I am sick, extremely busy at work, and not getting paid to do this so I won't have the time. However, with that being said, I did want to be on record with my predictions for the playoffs and Super Bowl. Last year I was able to correctly predict 3 of the 6 playoff teams in the NFC, and 5 of the 6 playoff teams in the AFC. Will I fare better this year?

NFC

1. Minnesota Vikings (NFC North winner), 13-3
2. Atlanta Falcons (NFC South winner), 11-5
3. San Francisco 49ers (NFC West winner), 11-5
4. Dallas Cowboys (NFC East winner), 10-6
5. New Orleans Saints (Wild Card), 11-5
6. Green Bay Packers (Wild Card), 10-6

NFC Wild Card Round

#6 Green Bay over Packers over #3 San Francisco 49ers
#5 New Orleans Saints over #4 Dallas Cowboys

NFC Divisional Round

#6 Green Bay Packers over #1 Minnesota Vikings
#5 New Orleans Saints over #2 Atlanta Falcons

NFC Championship

#6 Green Bay Packers over #5 New Orleans Saints


AFC

1. Indianapolis Colts (AFC South winner), 13-3
2. San Diego Chargers (AFC West winner), 12-4
3. New York Jets (AFC East winner), 11-5
4. Baltimore Ravens (AFC North winner), 11-5
5. Pittsburgh Steelers (Wild Card), 10-6
6. New England Patriots (Wild Card), 10-6

AFC Wild Card Round

#6 New England Patriots over #3 New York Jets
#4 Baltimore Ravens over #5 Pittsburgh Steelers

AFC Divisional Round

#1 Indianapolis Colts over #6 New England Patriots
#2 San Diego Chargers over #4 Baltimore Ravens

AFC Championship

#1 Indianapolis Colts over #2 San Diego Chargers


Super Bowl XLV

#1 Indianapolis Colts over #6 Green Bay Packers

2010 NFL Previews - AFC East

"Dirty" Jack Ryan brings you the AFC East preview. My predictions can be found below.

The New York Jets are this years premature Super Bowl champs. With the show Hard Knocks and all the media hype it is hard to get away from it. Typically in the NFL if a team can make it to the conference championship game, they will be favored the next season, especially when they make positive offseason moves. It seems that the league has already forgotten about the New England Patriots after the Baltimore Ravens gave them a taste of they're own medicine in last years Wild Card round. Maybe its just me but I find it very strange to not be talking more about the Patriots one way or another, I mean they only dominated the AFC East for a whole decade. If the Beast of the East is really being laid to rest after nearly 10 years it should be a big deal. The young up and coming Miami Dolphins are flying under the radar with a new Chad at quarterback. The Dolphins offseason pick ups of Brandon Marshall and Karlos Dansby gives them a lot of hope for the 2010 season. Could it become another 2008 season for Miami, when they went 11-5? As for the Buffalo Bills this will be another season of them being counted out completely by most, with them seemingly being the weakest link in the division. If Trent Edwards can capture the magic he had at the start of the 2008 season again, who knows what this Chan Gailey led Bills team is capable of.

1. New England Patriots

2009 Record: 10-6, 1st place AFC East
Head Coach: Bill Belichick- 11th year with Patriots (record 112-48), 3 time Super Bowl winner
Key Additions: TE Alge Crumpler, DL Gerard Warren, Rookies: LB Brandon Spikes, TE Rob Gronkowski, CB Devin Mcourty
Key Losses: DL Jarvis Green, TE Benjamin Watson, OLB Adalius Thomas

2010 Outlook: When a team is led by Bill Belichick and QB Tom Brady a winning record should be automatic. Since the 2007 season, Tom Brady has had two seasons passing for over 4,000 yards and both Wes Welker and Randy Moss have had 3 seasons receiving for over 1,000 yards. The 2010 season may be the last season you get to see Brady throwing to his two favorite wideouts. The questions that lie with the Patriots this coming season is they're young, inexperienced defense and their inability to run the ball. Through the course of regular season those weaknesses wont hurt them much but as far as the playoffs it could be their demise. The formula for the Patriots success this season will be to score a lot and score quick. When teams are down, Bill Belichick can utilize his young, fast defenders to put pressure on the opposing quarterback. One key defender to keep an eye on this season is SS Brandon Meriweather. He has gotten a little better each season since starting for the Pats, and could have a breakout season. On the offensive side of the ball expect to see TE Rob Gronkowski step in immediately. With his size, speed, toughness and great hands this kid could become one of Tom Brady's favorite weapons on the field.

Prediction: 12-4, Division: 5-1

2. New York Jets

2009 record: 9-7, 2nd place AFC East
Head Coach: Rex Ryan- 2nd year with Jets (record 9-7)
Key Additions: RB Ladainian Tomlinson, WR Santonio Holmes, CB Antonio Cromartie, K Nick Folk, LB Jason Taylor, DB Brodney Pool, rookie CB Kyle Wilson
Key Losses: FS Kerry Rhodes, G Alan Faneca, RB Thomas Jones, RB Leon Washington, LB Marques Douglas, K Jay Feely

2010 Outlook: One thing we have learned about coach Rex Ryan through watching the hit show Hard Knocks is that he not only has a huge appetite for Snickers bars but also for hard-nosed football. It appears that with or without star cornerback Darrelle Revis the Jets still come into the 2010 season with the best defense in the league. With additions to the defense like pass rusher Jason Taylor, CB Antonio Cromartie as well as 1st round rookie CB Kyle Wilson, this Rex Ryan defense has the chance of being better than 2009's defense. Running the ball is another specialty this Jets team has, even without last seasons leading rusher Thomas Jones. They will be fine with Shonn Green and rejuvenated Ladainian Tomlinson. I could mention the pick up of wideout Santonio Holmes making a difference but he will be suspended the first four games of the season. He also has the misfortune of not having an accurate quarterback throwing him the ball, Mark Sanchez threw almost twice as many interceptions as touchdowns in his 2009 rookie season, and I don't see much of an improvement happening in the near future. Having a QB that is careless with the ball will definitely be the weaknesses of the Jets 2010 campaign. The Jets are a team that is built to win a Super Bowl now, but only if their still wet behind the ear quarterback can learn real quick and not make as many mistakes. I really believe this team is built to win playoff games right now instead of regular season games, the opposite of divisional rivals the Patriots. The player on the defensive side of the ball to check out this year Cromartie, expect a comeback season from him. Rex Ryan won't let him give up on plays like he did in San Diego. Shonn Greene will carry the load on offense and could end up being one of the top five RB's in the league.

Prediction: 10-6, Division: 5-1

3. Miami Dolphins

2009 Record: 7-9, 3rd place AFC East
Head Coach: Tony Sparano- 3rd season as head coach in Miam ( record: 18-14)
Key Additions: LB Karlos Dansby, LB Tim Dobbins, G Richie Incognito, WR Brandon Marshall, Rookies: DE Jared Odrick, LB Koa Misi
Key Losses: LB Akin Ayodele, WR Ted Gin Jr, S Nate Jones, LB Joey Porter, G Justin Smiley, LB, Jason Taylor, LB Reggie Torber, S Gibril Wilson, WR Greg Camarillo

2010 Outlook: The big question for the Dolphins going into the new season is Chad Henne ready to be the Capo of Tony Sparano's Miami football family? The answer to that is yes, this young quarterback was making weapons of wideouts Davone Bess and Brian Hartline. One thing I liked about Miami's offseason was they let go of average talent and picked up high caliber players like WR Brandon Marshall and LB Karlos Dansby. Only problem is with all the talent Miami let go it has hurt their depth. For the Fins to have any success this season they need to have a healthy offensive backfield and utilize both Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams the same way they did in 2008. The problem I see with the Miami defense is that they lost a lot of starters during the offseason and didn't do enough to replace most of the them. Especially with the losses of Jason Taylor and Gibril Wilson. The Dolphins could turn some heads but it is not likely with the AFC East becoming stronger and having a pretty tough schedule. Some players to look watch this season are of course a much improved Chad Henne and I can see CB Vontae Davis having a Pro Bowl year.

Prediction: 7-9, Division: 2-4

4. Buffalo Bills

2009 Record: 6-10, last place AFC East
Head Coach: Chan Gailey 1st year in Buffalo
Key Additions: LB Andra Davis, DE Dwan Edwards, DT Marlon Favorite, OT Cornell Green, Rookie: RB CJ Spiller
Key Losses: WR Terrell Owens, DE Ryan Denney, G Richie Incognito, WR Josh Reed, OT Jonathan Scott, LB Chris Draft

2010 Outlook: With the firing of head coach Dick Jauron comes a new era in Buffalo led by Chan Gailey. Gailey brought in new offensive and defensive coordinators whose names aren't worth mentioning since you wouldn't have heard of them. If I were a Bills fan you better believe I would not be excited about my new head coach being one who lost his job instead of being promoted. Gailey's last gig was with the Kansas City Chiefs as an Offensive Coordinator in 2008 until losing his job just three preseason games into 2009. QB Trent Edwards showed us early on in the 2008 season a glimpse of great potential until he became concussed later that season and since has played like he's scared. The 2010 Buffalo Bills offense looks more like its built to run the ball with its now crowded back field and new Offensive Coordinator whose previous job was as a RB coach for the Arizona Cardinals. On the defensive side of the ball the Bills led the AFC in 2009 in interceptions. So don't get me wrong, Buffalo definitely has talented players but as far as them all coming together with this new coaching staff to win games, I don't see it. On the bright side Buffalo may be able to keep the fans attention with Rookie RB CJ Spiller, who could end up being one of the most electrifying players of 2010. With all the hype going around about the possibility of the New York Jets having the best cornerback tandem in Revis and Cromartie nobody is paying attention to Buffalo. Keep a look out for CB's Terrence Mcgee and Drayton Florence this season.

Prediction: 4-12, Division 0-6

Chris' AFC East Predictions:

1. New York Jets, 11-5
2. New England Patriots, 10-6
3. Miami Dolphins, 9-7
4. Buffalo Bills, 5-11